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The measured correlations of financial time series in subsequent epochs change considerably as a function of time. When studying the whole correlation matrices, quasi-stationary patterns, referred to as market states, are seen by applying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-03 Anton J. Heckens , Sebastian M. Krause , Thomas Guhr

We analyze the spectral properties of large, time-lagged correlation matrices using the tools of random matrix theory. We compare predictions of the one-dimensional spectra, based on approaches already proposed in the literature. Employing…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-07-03 Maciej A. Nowak , Wojciech Tarnowski

Financial markets worldwide do not have the same working hours. As a consequence, the study of correlation or causality between financial market indices becomes dependent on wether we should consider in computations of correlation matrices…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-11 Leonidas Sandoval Junior

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Financial stock returns correlations have been studied in the prism of random matrix theory, to distinguish the signal from the "noise". Eigenvalues of the matrix that are above the rescaled Marchenko Pastur distribution can be interpreted…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Ixandra Achitouv

We propose here a multiplex network approach to investigate simultaneously different types of dependency in complex data sets. In particular, we consider multiplex networks made of four layers corresponding respectively to linear,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-16 Nicoló Musmeci , Vincenzo Nicosia , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo , Vito Latora

We start with the idea that open quantum systems can be used to represent financial markets by modelling events from the external environment and their impact on the market price. We show how to characterize distinct orbits of the time…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-05 Will Hicks

Financial markets, being spectacular examples of complex systems, display rich correlation structures among price returns of different assets. The correlation structures change drastically, akin to phase transitions in physical phenomena,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-23 Anirban Chakraborti , Hrishidev , Kiran Sharma , Hirdesh K. Pharasi

In this paper we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time-varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-06 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

We investigate the dynamics of correlations present between pairs of industry indices of US stocks traded in US markets by studying correlation based networks and spectral properties of the correlation matrix. The study is performed by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-16 Giuseppe Buccheri , Stefano Marmi , Rosario N. Mantegna

Market Mill is a complex dependence pattern leading to nonlinear correlations and predictability in intraday dynamics of stock prices. The present paper puts together previous efforts to build a dynamical model reflecting the market mill…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Sergey Zaitsev , Alexander Zaitsev , Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin

Correlation matrices contain a wide variety of spatio-temporal information about a dynamical system. Predicting correlation matrices from partial time series information of a few nodes characterizes the spatio-temporal dynamics of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Nikhil Easaw , Woo Seok Lee , Prashant Singh Lohiya , Sarika Jalan , Priodyuti Pradhan

Random-matrix theory is applied to transition-rate matrices in the Pauli master equation. We study the distribution and correlations of eigenvalues, which govern the dynamics of complex stochastic systems. Both the cases of identical and of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Carsten Timm

In addressing the question of the time scales characteristic for the market formation, we analyze high frequency tick-by-tick data from the NYSE and from the German market. By using returns on various time scales ranging from seconds or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. Kwapien , S. Drozdz , J. Speth

Multivariate Distributions are needed to capture the correlation structure of complex systems. In previous works, we developed a Random Matrix Model for such correlated multivariate joint probability density functions that accounts for the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Anton J. Heckens , Efstratios Manolakis , Cedric Schuhmann , Thomas Guhr

The presence of significant cross-correlations between the synchronous time evolution of a pair of equity returns is a well-known empirical fact. The Pearson correlation is commonly used to indicate the level of similarity in the price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-07 Dror Y. Kenett , Xuqing Huang , Irena Vodenska , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

This paper develops new mathematical techniques to identify temporal shifts among a collection of US equities partitioned into a new and more detailed set of market sectors. Although conceptually related, our three analyses reveal distinct…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-11 Nick James , Max Menzies

Asynchronous trading in high-frequency financial markets introduces significant biases into econometric analysis, distorting risk estimates and leading to suboptimal portfolio decisions. Existing synchronization methods, such as the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-17 Xinbing Kong , Cheng Liu , Bin Wu

This paper studies the time-varying structure of the equity market with respect to market capitalization. First, we analyze the distribution of the 100 largest companies' market capitalizations over time, in terms of inequality,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-21 Nick James , Max Menzies

Financial networks have become extremely useful in characterizing the structure of complex financial systems. Meanwhile, the time evolution property of the stock markets can be described by temporal networks. We utilize the temporal network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-04 Longfeng Zhao , Gang-Jin Wang , Mingang Wang , Weiqi Bao , Wei Li , H. Eugene Stanley