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We review recent developments in detecting and estimating multiple change-points in time series models with exogenous and endogenous regressors, panel data models, and factor models. This review differs from others in multiple ways: (1) it…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-31 Otilia Boldea , Alastair R. Hall

This paper presents a new period finding method based on conditional entropy that is both efficient and accurate. We demonstrate its applicability on simulated and real data. We find that it has comparable performance to other…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 Matthew J. Graham , Andrew J. Drake , S. G. Djorgovski , Ashish A Mahabal , Ciro Donalek

This study addresses the problem of learning a summary causal graph on time series with potentially different sampling rates. To do so, we first propose a new causal temporal mutual information measure for time series. We then show how this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Charles K. Assaad , Emilie Devijver , Eric Gaussier

Measuring the predictability and complexity of time series using entropy is essential tool de-signing and controlling a nonlinear system. However, the existing methods have some drawbacks related to the strong dependence of entropy on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Andrei Velichko , Hanif Heidari

This paper introduces premier and innovative (real-time) multi-scale method for target classification in electro-sensing. The intent is that of mimicking the behavior of the weakly electric fish, which is able to retrieve much more…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Lorenzo Baldassari , Andrea Scapin

Time series anomaly detection has achieved remarkable progress in recent years. However, evaluation practices have received comparatively less attention, despite their critical importance. Existing metrics exhibit several limitations: (1)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Yuewei Li , Dalin Zhang , Huan Li , Xinyi Gong , Hongjun Chu , Zhaohui Song

The coincidence method of measuring the entropy of a system, proposed some time ago by Ma, is generalized to include systems out of equilibrium. It is suggested that the method can be adapted to analyze multiparticle states produced in…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Bialas , W. Czyz

Motivated by the increasing risks of data misuse and fabrication, we investigate the problem of identifying synthetic time series generated by Time-Series Large Models (TSLMs) in this work. While there are extensive researches on detecting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Junji Hou , Junzhou Zhao , Shuo Zhang , Pinghui Wang

Understanding the structural complexity and predictability of complex networks is a central challenge in network science. Although recent studies have revealed a relationship between compression-based entropy and link prediction…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Sebastián Brzovic , Cristóbal Rojas , Andrés Abeliuk

Permutation entropy measures the complexity of deterministic time series via a data symbolic quantization consisting of rank vectors called ordinal patterns or just permutations. The reasons for the increasing popularity of this entropy in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-03-08 José M. Amigó , Roberto Dale , Piergiulio Tempesta

We introduce a new method for detecting scaling in time series. The method uses the properties of the probability flux for stochastic self-affine processes and is called the probability flux analysis (PFA). The advantages of this method…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-04-05 M. Ignaccolo , P. Grigolini , B. J. West

Changes in the timescales at which complex systems evolve are essential to predicting critical transitions and catastrophic failures. Disentangling the timescales of the dynamics governing complex systems remains a key challenge. With this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Giona Casiraghi , Georges Andres

We develop new econometric methods for the comparison of nonparametric time trends. In many applications, practitioners are interested in whether the observed time series all have the same time trend. Moreover, they would often like to know…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-23 Marina Khismatullina , Michael Vogt

Non-uniform sampling arises when an experimenter does not have full control over the sampling characteristics of the process under investigation. Moreover, it is introduced intentionally in algorithms such as Bayesian optimization and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-03 Stijn de Waele

The problem of assigning probability distributions which objectively reflect the prior information available about experiments is one of the major stumbling blocks in the use of Bayesian methods of data analysis. In this paper the method of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha , Roland Preuss

Machine learning algorithms are designed to capture complex relationships between features. In this context, the high dimensionality of data often results in poor model performance, with the risk of overfitting. Feature selection, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Paolo Bonetti , Alberto Maria Metelli , Marcello Restelli

Data-driven methods that detect anomalies in times series data are ubiquitous in practice, but they are in general unable to provide helpful explanations for the predictions they make. In this work we propose a model-agnostic algorithm that…

Finding interdependency relations between (possibly multivariate) time series provides valuable knowledge about the processes that generate the signals. Information theory sets a natural framework for non-parametric measures of several…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-09 German Gomez-Herrero , Wei Wu , Kalle Rutanen , Miguel C. Soriano , Gordon Pipa , Raul Vicente

Multithreshold Entropy Linear Classifier (MELC) is a recent classifier idea which employs information theoretic concept in order to create a multithreshold maximum margin model. In this paper we analyze its consistency over multithreshold…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-21 Wojciech Marian Czarnecki

Linear classifiers separate the data with a hyperplane. In this paper we focus on the novel method of construction of multithreshold linear classifier, which separates the data with multiple parallel hyperplanes. Proposed model is based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-10 Wojciech Marian Czarnecki , Jacek Tabor