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Bisimulation metrics are powerful tools for measuring similarities between stochastic processes, and specifically Markov chains. Recent advances have uncovered that bisimulation metrics are, in fact, optimal-transport distances, which has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Sergio Calo , Anders Jonsson , Gergely Neu , Ludovic Schwartz , Javier Segovia-Aguas

Continuous-time Markov chains are used to model stochastic systems where transitions can occur at irregular times, e.g., birth-death processes, chemical reaction networks, population dynamics, and gene regulatory networks. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Majerle Reeves , Harish S. Bhat

The method of potential solutions of Fokker-Planck equations is used to develop a transport equation for the joint probability of N stochastic variables with Lochner's generalized Dirichlet distribution (R.H. Lochner, A Generalized…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-10-02 J. Bakosi , J. R. Ristorcelli

The formal verification of large probabilistic models is important and challenging. Exploiting the concurrency that is often present is one way to address this problem. Here we study a restricted class of asynchronous distributed…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2014-08-06 Sumit Kumar Jha , Madhavan Mukund , Ratul Saha , P S Thiagarajan

Markov chains provide a foundational framework for modeling sequential stochastic processes, with the transition probability matrix characterizing the dynamics of state evolution. While classical estimation methods such as maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Agamani Saha , Souvik Roy

Markov chains with variable length are useful parsimonious stochastic models able to generate most stationary sequence of discrete symbols. The idea is to identify the suffixes of the past, called contexts, that are relevant to predict the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-10 Victor Freguglia , Nancy Garcia

The mathematical model of a linear system with the short memory about own stochastic behavior is proposed. It is assumed that the system is under a continual influence of independent stochastic impulses. In a short memory approximation the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 D. N. Zhabin

Stochastic processes with long memories, known as long memory processes, are ubiquitous in various science and engineering problems. Superposing Markovian stochastic processes generates a non-Markovian long memory process serving as…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Hidekazu Yoshioka

We propose a data-driven approach for propagating uncertainty in stochastic power grid simulations and apply it to the estimation of transmission line failure probabilities. A reduced-order equation governing the evolution of the observed…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Hongli Zhao , Tyler E. Maltba , D. Adrian Maldonado , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

This paper generalizes the notion of stochastic order to a relation between probability measures over arbitrary measurable spaces. This generalization is motivated by the observation that for the stochastic ordering of two stationary Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-24 Lasse Leskelä

We present a new class of interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for solving numerically discrete-time measure-valued equations. The associated stochastic processes belong to the class of self-interacting Markov chains. In contrast…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

This paper addresses distributed parameter estimation in stochastic dynamic systems with quantized measurements, constrained by quantized communication and Markovian switching directed topologies. To enable accurate recovery of the original…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Ying Wang , Jian Guo , Yanlong Zhao , Ji-feng Zhang

We propose a new model based on the Ising model with the aim to study synaptic plasticity phenomena in neural networks. It is today well established in biology that the synapses or connections between certain types of neurons are…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-07-22 Eugene Pechersky , Guillem Via , Anatoly Yambartsev

We study the properties of a subclass of stochastic processes called discrete time nonlinear Markov chains with an aggregator, which naturally appear in various topics such as strategic queueing systems, inventory dynamics, opinion…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Bar Light

This paper is motivated by examples from stochastic reaction network theory. The $Q$-matrix of a stochastic reaction network can be derived from the reaction graph, an edge-labelled directed graph encoding the jump vectors of an associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-24 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

The stochastic motion in a nonhomogeneous medium with traps is studied and diffusion properties of that system are discussed. The particle is subjected to a stochastic stimulation obeying a general L\'evy stable statistics and experiences…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Tomasz Srokowski

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models with a wide range of applications in biochemistry, ecology, and epidemiology, and are often complex to analyze. Except for some special cases, it is generally difficult to predict how the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Daniele Cappelletti , Giulio Cuniberti , Paola Siri

Density dependent families of Markov chains, such as the stochastic models of mass-action chemical kinetics, converge for large values of the indexing parameter $N$ to deterministic systems of differential equations (Kurtz, 1970). Moreover…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Enrico Bibbona , Roberta Sirovich

Multi-time-scale stochastic approximation is an iterative algorithm for finding the fixed point of a set of $N$ coupled operators given their noisy samples. It has been observed that due to the coupling between the decision variables and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-13 Sihan Zeng , Thinh T. Doan