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Related papers: Power laws and market crashes

200 papers

Financial markets can be seen as complex systems in non-equilibrium steady state, one of whose most important properties is the distribution of price fluctuations. Recently, there have been assertions that this distribution is qualitatively…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Raj Kumar Pan , Sitabhra Sinha

We study rank-size distribution of cities in Japan on the basis of data analysis. From the census data after World War II, we find that the rank-size distribution of cities is composed of two parts, each of which has independent power…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Hiroto Kuninaka , Mitsugu Matsushita

We study the cross-correlations in stock price changes between the S&P 500 companies by introducing a weighted random graph, where all vertices (companies) are fully connected, and each edge is weighted. The weight assigned to each edge is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Hyun-Joo Kim , Youngki Lee , In-mook Kim , Byungnam Kahng

Equity activity is an essential topic for financial market studies. To explore its statistical regularities, we comprehensively examine the trading value, a measure of the equity activity, of the 3314 most-traded stocks in the U.S. equity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-24 Fengzhong Wang , Kazuko Yamasaki , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

We present a detailed bubble analysis of the Bitcoin to US Dollar price dynamics from January 2012 to February 2018. We introduce a robust automatic peak detection method that classifies price time series into periods of uninterrupted…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-31 Jan-Christian Gerlach , Guilherme Demos , Didier Sornette

By analyzing a large data set of daily returns with data clustering technique, we identify economic sectors as clusters of assets with a similar economic dynamics. The sector size distribution follows Zipf's law. Secondly, we find that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Matteo Marsili

The observation of power laws in the time to extrema of volatility, volume and intertrade times, from milliseconds to years, are shown to result straightforwardly from the selection of biased statistical subsets of realizations in otherwise…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-03 Vladimir Filimonov , Didier Sornette

We study the relaxation dynamics of a financial market just after the occurrence of a crash by investigating the number of times the absolute value of an index return is exceeding a given threshold value. We show that the empirical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

Power law distributions of macroscopic observables are ubiquitous in both the natural and social sciences. They are indicative of correlated, cooperative phenomena between groups of interacting agents at the microscopic level. In this paper…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 P Ormerod , C Mounfield

We study in this paper the time evolution of stock markets using a statistical physics approach. Each agent is represented by a spin having a number of discrete states $q$ or continuous states, describing the tendency of the agent for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-09 Hung T. Diep , Gabriel Desgranges

The scale-free power-law behavior of the statistics of the download frequency of publications has been, for the first time, reported. The data of the download frequency of publications are taken from a well-constructed web page in the field…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 D. D. Han , J. G. Liu , Y. G. Ma , X. Z. Cai , W. Q. Shen

Empirical evidence is given for a significant difference in the collective trend of the share prices during the stock index rising and falling periods. Data on the Dow Jones Industrial Average and its stock components are studied between…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-06-06 Emeric Balogh , Ingve Simonsen , Balint Zs. Nagy , Zoltan Neda

We analyze the constituents stocks of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA30) and the Standard & Poor's 100 index (S&P100) of the NYSE stock exchange market. Surprisingly, we discover the data collapse of the histograms of the DJIA30…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-03-13 Rui Gonçalves , Alberto Pinto

Price gap, defined as the logarithmic price difference between the first two occupied price levels on the same side of a limit order book (LOB), is a key determinant of market depth, which is one of the dimensions of liquidity. However, the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-27 Gao-Feng Gu , Xiong Xiong , Yong-Jie Zhang , Wei Chen , Wei Zhang , Wei-Xing Zhou

This paper addresses the statistical properties of time series driven by rational bubbles a la Blanchard and Watson (1982), corresponding to multiplicative maps, whose study has recently be revived recently in physics as a mechanism of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Thomas Lux , D. Sornette

In the Cont-Bouchaud model [cond-mat/9712318] of stock markets, percolation clusters act as buying or selling investors and their statistics controls that of the price variations. Rather than fixing the concentration controlling each…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dietrich Stauffer , D. Sornette

We propose a new set of stylized facts quantifying the structure of financial markets. The key idea is to study the combined structure of both investment strategies and prices in order to open a qualitatively new level of understanding of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Wei-Xing Zhou , Guo-Hua Mu , Wei Chen , Didier Sornette

During a stock market peak the price of a given stock ($ i $) jumps from an initial level $ p_1(i) $ to a peak level $ p_2(i) $ before falling back to a bottom level $ p_3(i) $. The ratios $ A(i) = p_2(i)/p_1(i) $ and $ B(i)= p_3(i)/p_1(i)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 B. M. Roehner

The distribution of the magnitudes of damage avalanches during a failure process typically follows a power law. When these avalanches are recorded close to the point at which the system fails catastrophically, we find that the power law has…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-08-03 Srutarshi Pradhan , Alex Hansen , Per C. Hemmer

Pareto distributions, and power laws in general, have demonstrated to be very useful models to describe very different phenomena, from physics to finance. In recent years, the econophysical literature has proposed a large amount of papers…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-16 Pasquale Cirillo