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We implement gradient-based variational inference routines for Wishart and inverse Wishart processes, which we apply as Bayesian models for the dynamic, heteroskedastic covariance matrix of a multivariate time series. The Wishart and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Creighton Heaukulani , Mark van der Wilk

Covariance matrix estimation arises in multivariate problems including multivariate normal sampling models and regression models where random effects are jointly modeled, e.g. random-intercept, random-slope models. A Bayesian analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Ignacio Alvarez , Jarad Niemi , Matt Simpson

Consider a doubly-infinite array of iid centered variables with moment conditions, from which one can extract a finite number of rectangular, overlapping submatrices, and form the corresponding Wishart matrices. We show that under basic…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-07 Ioana Dumitriu , Elliot Paquette

These lecture notes provide a comprehensive, self-contained introduction to the analysis of Wishart matrix moments. This study may act as an introduction to some particular aspects of random matrix theory, or as a self-contained exposition…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-12 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral , Angele Niclas

In complex systems, crucial parameters are often subject to unpredictable changes in time. Climate, biological evolution and networks provide numerous examples for such non-stationarities. In many cases, improved statistical models are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-09 Frederik Meudt , Martin Theissen , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

The Wishart model of random covariance or correlation matrices continues to find ever more applications as the wealth of data on complex systems of all types grows. The heavy tails often encountered prompt generalizations of the Wishart…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-05-26 Thomas Guhr , Andreas Schell

The random matrix theory method of planar Gaussian diagrammatic expansion is applied to find the mean spectral density of the Hermitian equal-time and non-Hermitian time-lagged cross-covariance estimators, firstly in the form of master…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-22 Andrzej Jarosz

In this paper, we derive the explicit series expansion of the eigenvalue distribution of various models, namely the case of non-central Wishart distributions, as well as correlated zero mean Wishart distributions. The tools used extend…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Ø. Ryan , A. Masucci , S. Yang , M. Debbah

There are various metrics for financial risk, such as value at risk (VaR), expected shortfall, expected/unexpected loss, etc. When estimating these metrics, it was very common to assume Gaussian distribution for the asset returns, which may…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-17 Shuguang Zhang , Minjing Tao , Xu-Feng Niu , Fred Huffer

We suggest that Free Random Variables, represented here by large random matrices with spectral Levy disorder, may be relevant for several problems related to the modeling of financial systems. In particular, we consider a financial…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Z. Burda , J. Jurkiewicz , M. A. Nowak , G. Papp , I. Zahed

We introduce a stochastic process with Wishart marginals: the generalised Wishart process (GWP). It is a collection of positive semi-definite random matrices indexed by any arbitrary dependent variable. We use it to model dynamic (e.g. time…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-04 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Zoubin Ghahramani

We discuss the applications of Random Matrix Theory in the context of financial markets and econometric models, a topic about which a considerable number of papers have been devoted to in the last decade. This mini-review is intended to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-08 J. P. Bouchaud , M. Potters

Random matrix theory is used to assess the significance of weak correlations and is well established for Gaussian statistics. However, many complex systems, with stock markets as a prominent example, exhibit statistics with power-law tails,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-03-19 Mauro Politi , Enrico Scalas , Daniel Fulger , Guido Germano

Graphical models express conditional independence relationships among variables. Although methods for vector-valued data are well established, functional data graphical models remain underdeveloped. We introduce a notion of conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-06 Hongxiao Zhu , Nate Strawn , David B. Dunson

In this paper we consider several continuous-time multivariate non-Gaussian models applied to finance and proposed in the literature in the last years. We study the models focusing on the parsimony of the number of parameters, the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-14 Michele Leonardo Bianchi , Asmerilda Hitaj , Gian Luca Tassinari

We show that quaternionic Gaussian random variables satisfy a generalization of the Wick formula for computing the expected value of products in terms of a family of graphical enumeration problems. When applied to the quaternionic Wigner…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-16 Wlodzimierz Bryc , Virgil U. Pierce

The paper deals with distribution of singular values of product of random matrices arising in the analysis of deep neural networks. The matrices resemble the product analogs of the sample covariance matrices, however, an important…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-11-23 Leonid Pastur

A new multivariate stochastic volatility estimation procedure for financial time series is proposed. A Wishart autoregressive process is considered for the volatility precision covariance matrix, for the estimation of which a two step…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

In order to pursue the issue of the relation between the financial cross-correlations and the conventional Random Matrix Theory we analyse several characteristics of the stock market correlation matrices like the distribution of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 S. Drozdz , J. Kwapien , P. Oswiecimka

Multivariate space-time data are increasingly available in various scientific disciplines. When analyzing these data, one of the key issues is to describe the multivariate space-time dependencies. Under the Gaussian framework, one needs to…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-10 Marc Bourotte , Denis Allard , Emilio Porcu
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