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Related papers: Scale-free avalanche dynamics in the stock market

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Temporal autocorrelation functions for avalanches in the Bak-Sneppen model display aging behavior similar to glassy systems. Numerical simulations show that they decay as power laws with two distinct regimes separated by a time scale which…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-30 Stefan Boettcher , Maya Paczuski

The notions of self-organised criticality (SOC) and turbulence are traditionally considered to be applicable to disjoint classes of phenomena. Nevertheless, scale-free burst statistics is a feature shared by turbulent as well as…

We study by theoretical analysis and by direct numerical simulation the dynamics of a wide class of asynchronous stochastic systems composed of many autocatalytic degrees of freedom. We describe the generic emergence of truncated power laws…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Zhi-Feng Huang , Sorin Solomon

We apply a recently developed wavelet based approach to characterize the correlation and scaling properties of non-stationary financial time series. This approach is local in nature and it makes use of wavelets from the Daubechies family…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-12-02 P. Manimaran , Prasanta K. Panigrahi , Jitendra. C. Parikh

For both investors and policymakers, forecasting the stock market is essential as it serves as an indicator of economic well-being. To this end, we harness the power of social media data, a rich source of public sentiment, to enhance the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Shengkun Wang , YangXiao Bai , Kaiqun Fu , Linhan Wang , Chang-Tien Lu , Taoran Ji

An interbank market lets participants pool the risk arising from the combination of illiquid investments and random withdrawals by depositors. But it also creates the potential for one bank's failure to trigger off avalanches of further…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Giulia Iori , Saqib Jafarey

In this study we aim for a deeper understanding of the power law slope, $\alpha$, of waiting time distributions. Statistically independent events with linear behavior can be characterized by binomial, Gaussian, exponential, or Poissonian…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-17 Markus J. Aschwanden , Jay R. Johnson , Yosia I. Nurhan

This paper presents an exclusive classification of the largest crashes in Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), SP500 and NASDAQ in the past century. Crashes are objectively defined as the top-rank filtered drawdowns (loss from the last…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Anders Johansen

We study the relaxation dynamics of a financial market just after the occurrence of a crash by investigating the number of times the absolute value of an index return is exceeding a given threshold value. We show that the empirical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

Critical states are sometimes identified experimentally through power-law statistics or universal scaling functions. We show here that such features naturally emerge from networks in self-sustained irregular regimes away from criticality.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-08 Jonathan Touboul , Alain Destexhe

In many important systems exhibiting crackling noise --- intermittent avalanche-like relaxation response with power-law and, thus, self-similar distributed event sizes --- the "laws" for the rate of activity after large events are not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Jörn Davidsen , Marco Baiesi

This paper presents experimental evidence and theoretical models supporting that dry friction stick-slip is described by self-organized criticality. We use the data, obtained with a pin-on-disc tribometer set to measure lateral force to…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-11 Sergey V. Buldyrev , John Ferrante , Fredy R. Zypman

We present a novel microscopic stock market model consisting of a large number of random agents modeling traders in a market. Each agent is characterized by a set of parameters that serve to make iterated predictions of two successive…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 R. Rothenstein , K. Pawelzik

The self-organized critical state is characterized by a power law distribution of cluster sizes and other properties. However experiments with sand and rice piles reveal distributions of avalanche sizes which are not power law distributed.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Vazquez , O. Sotolongo-Costa

The investigations of financial markets from a complex network perspective have unveiled many phenomenological properties, in which the majority of these studies map the financial markets into one complex network. In this work, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-15 Meng-Cen Qian , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

This paper investigates the optimal selection of portfolios for power utility maximizing investors in a financial market where stock returns depend on a hidden Gaussian mean reverting drift process. Information on the drift is obtained from…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Abdelali Gabih , Ralf Wunderlich

Continuous periodogram power spectral analysis of daily incidence of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) reported at a leading hospital for cardiology in Pune, India for the two-year period June 1992 to May 1994 show that the power spectra…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 A. M. Selvam , D. Sen , S. M. S. Mody

Financial networks have become extremely useful in characterizing the structure of complex financial systems. Meanwhile, the time evolution property of the stock markets can be described by temporal networks. We utilize the temporal network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-04 Longfeng Zhao , Gang-Jin Wang , Mingang Wang , Weiqi Bao , Wei Li , H. Eugene Stanley

A control scheme to reduce the size of avalanches of the Bak-Tang-Wiesenfeld model on complex networks is proposed. Three network types are considered: those proposed by Erd\H{o}s-Renyi, Goh-Kahng-Kim, and a real network representing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Daniel O. Cajueiro , Roberto F. S. Andrade

We study the distribution of fluctuations over a time scale $\Delta t$ (i.e., the returns) of the S&P 500 index by analyzing three distinct databases. Database (i) contains approximately 1 million records sampled at 1 min intervals for the…