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We have shown recently that a Markov process conditioned on rare events involving time-integrated random variables can be described in the long-time limit by an effective Markov process, called the driven process, which is given…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-17 Raphael Chetrite , Hugo Touchette

Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Hao Ge , Steve Presse , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken Dill

We consider a Markov process on a Riemannian manifold, which solves a stochastic differential equation in the interior of the manifold and jumps according to a deterministic reset map when it reaches the boundary. We derive a partial…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Julien Bect , Hana Baili , Gilles Fleury

Long-range dependence (LRD) has been observed in a variety of phenomena in nature, and for several years also in the spiking activity of neurons. Often, this is interpreted as originating from a non-Markovian system. Here we show that a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-29 Alexandre Richard , Patricio Orio , Etienne Tanré

Systems with interacting degrees of freedom play a prominent role in stochastic thermodynamics. Our aim is to use the concept of detached path probabilities and detached entropy production for bipartite Markov processes and elaborate on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-17 Jannik Ehrich , Andreas Engel

We obtain error terms on the rate of convergence to Extreme Value Laws for a general class of weakly dependent stochastic processes. The dependence of the error terms on the `time' and `length' scales is very explicit. Specialising to data…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

This paper considers the optimal control of time varying continuous time Markov chains whose transition rates are themselves Markov processes. In one set of problems the solution of an ordinary differential equation is shown to determine…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-09-02 Manish Gupta

We present a simulation methodology for Bayesian estimation of rate parameters in Markov jump processes arising for example in stochastic kinetic models. To handle the problem of missing components and measurement errors in observed data,…

Computation · Statistics 2010-09-01 Michael Amrein , Hans R. Kuensch

Near equilibrium, thermodynamic intuition suggests that fast, irreversible processes will dissipate more energy and entropy than slow, quasistatic processes connecting the same initial and final states. Here, we test the hypothesis that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-07 Rebecca A. Bone , Daniel J. Sharpe , David J. Wales , Jason R. Green

The escape of the randomly accelerated undamped particle from the finite interval under action of stochastic resetting is studied. The motion of such a particle is described by the full Langevin equation and the particle is characterized by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-31 Karol Capała , Bartłomiej Dybiec

Studying the behaviour of Markov processes at boundary points of the state space has a long history, dating back all the way to William Feller. With different motivations in mind entrance and exit questions have been explored for different…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-11 Samuel Baguley , Leif Döring , Quan Shi

In this work, we consider the Fokker-Planck equation of the Nonlinear Noisy Leaky Integrate-and-Fire (NNLIF) model for neuron networks. Due to the firing events of neurons at the microscopic level, this Fokker-Planck equation contains…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-02 Pei Zhang , Yanli Wang , Zhennan Zhou

We derive spectral fluctuation--dissipation--response inequalities for finite-state Markov jump processes. By comparing the causal susceptibility to its passive equilibrium reference, we establish frequency-resolved and frequency-integrated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-23 Jie Gu

Dynamic heterogeneity has often been modeled by assuming that a single-particle observable, fluctuating at a molecular scale, is influenced by its coupling to environmental variables fluctuating on a second, perhaps slower, time scale.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Gregor Diezemann , Gerald Hinze , Hans Sillescu

In this paper, we study the dynamics of a linear control system with given state feedback control law in the presence of fast periodic sampling at temporal frequency $1/\delta$ ($0 < \delta \ll 1$), together with small white noise…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-15 Shivam Dhama , Chetan D. Pahlajani

We propose an extension to Hawkes processes by treating the levels of self-excitation as a stochastic differential equation. Our new point process allows better approximation in application domains where events and intensities accelerate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-23 Young Lee , Kar Wai Lim , Cheng Soon Ong

In order to simulate observational and experimental situations, we consider a leak in the phase space of a chaotic dynamical system. We obtain an expression for the escape rate of the survival probability applying the theory of transient…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-02-02 Eduardo G. Altmann , Tamas Tel

The highly variable dynamics of neocortical circuits observed in vivo have been hypothesized to represent a signature of ongoing stochastic inference but stand in apparent contrast to the deterministic response of neurons measured in vitro.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-14 Mihai A. Petrovici , Johannes Bill , Ilja Bytschok , Johannes Schemmel , Karlheinz Meier

Accurate modelling of the joint extremal dependence structure within a stationary time series is a challenging problem that is important in many applications.\ Several previous approaches to this problem are only applicable to certain types…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

The intermittent on-off switching of feedback control is considered as a major mechanism of postural stabilization during human quiet standing, which can be modeled by switched-type hybrid stochastic delay differential equations with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-01 Yasuyuki Suzuki , Keigo Togame , Akihiro Nakamura , Taishin Nomura