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The evolution of the probability distributions of Japan and US major market indices, NIKKEI 225 and NASDAQ composite index, and $JPY/DEM$ and $DEM/USD$ currency exchange rates is described by means of the Fokker-Planck equation (FPE). In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-20 K. Ivanova , M. Ausloos , H. Takayasu

It is shown that prize changes of the US dollar - German Mark exchange rates upon different delay times can be regarded as a stochastic Marcovian process. Furthermore we show that from the empirical data the Kramers-Moyal coefficients can…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-31 Rudolf Friedrich , Joachim Peinke , Christoph Renner

The shape and tails of partial distribution functions (PDF) for a financial signal, i.e. the S&P500 and the turbulent nature of the markets are linked through a model encompassing Tsallis nonextensive statistics and leading to evolution…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Marcel Ausloos , Kristinka Ivanova

Distributions derived from non-extensive Tsallis statistics are closely connected with dynamics described by a nonlinear Fokker-Planck equation. The combination shows promise in describing stochastic processes with power-law distributions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fredrick Michael , M. D. Johnson

Motivated by empirical data, we develop a statistical description of the queue dynamics for large tick assets based on a two-dimensional Fokker-Planck (diffusion) equation, that explicitly includes state dependence, i.e. the fact that the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-25 A. Gareche , G. Disdier , J. Kockelkoren , J. -P. Bouchaud

This paper proposes a governing equation for stock market indexes that accounts for non-stationary effects. This is a linear Fokker-Planck equation (FPE) that describes the time evolution of the probability distribution function (PDF) of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-25 Karina Arias-Calluari , Morteza. N. Najafi , Michael S. Harré , Fernando Alonso-Marroquin

Understanding the stochastic behavior of currency exchange rates is critical for assessing financial stability and anticipating market transitions. In this study, we investigate the empirical dynamics of the USD exchange rate in three…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 Yazdan Babazadeh Maghsoodlo , Amin Safaeesirat

In this study, we generalize the Fokker-Planck equation to two-dimensional cases, including potential functions with periodic boundary conditions and piecewise-defined structures, to analyze the probability distribution in multi-field…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-04-17 Deog Ki Hong , Jie Jiang , Dong-han Yeom

We derive a mesoscopic description of the behavior of a simple financial market where the agents can create their own portfolio between two investment alternatives: a stock and a bond. The model is derived starting from the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-19 S. Cordier , L. Pareschi , C. Piatecki

Our purpose is to relate the Fokker-Planck formalism proposed by [Friedrich et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 84, 5224 (2000)] for the distribution of stock market returns to the empirically well-established power law distribution with an exponent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 D. Sornette

This paper develops solutions of fractional Fokker-Planck equations describing subdiffusion of probability densities of stochastic dynamical systems driven by non-Gaussian L\'evy processes, with space-time-dependent drift, diffusion and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Erkan Nane , Yinan NI

We study the Heston model, where the stock price dynamics is governed by a geometrical (multiplicative) Brownian motion with stochastic variance. We solve the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation exactly and, after integrating out the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Adrian A. Dragulescu , Victor M. Yakovenko

We study the temporal evolution of the market efficiency in the stock markets using the complexity, entropy density, standard deviation, autocorrelation function, and probability distribution of the log return for Standard and Poor's 500…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Jae-Suk Yang , Wooseop Kwak , Taisei Kaizoji , In-mook Kim

The kinetic equation is crucial for understanding the statistical properties of stochastic processes, yet current equations, such as the classical Fokker-Planck, are limited to local analysis. This paper derives a new kinetic equation for…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-04-18 De-yu Zhong , Guang-qian Wang

The focus of our study in this paper is on the active dynamics and a fractional generalized Langevin equation with a memory kernel K(t). The Fokker-Planck equation is obtained by deriving it from a second-order differential equation. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-17 Yun Jeong Kang , Kyungsik Kim

This paper deals with the analysis of stochastic systems which can be described by a Langevin equation. By the method presented in this paper drift and diffusion terms of the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation can be extracted from the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Siegert , R. Friedrich , J. Peinke

A generalized Langevin equation is suggested to describe a system with memory($u(t,t') = \frac{1}{\Gamma (\nu )}(t - t')^\nu $) as well as with positive and negative damping. The equation can be transformed into the Fokker-Planck equation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-11 Peng Wang , Feng-Chun Pan , Jie Huo , Xu-Ming Wang

How to distinguish and quantify deterministic and random influences on the statistics of turbulence data in meteorology cases is discussed from first principles. Liquid water path (LWP) changes in clouds, as retrieved from radio signals,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-24 K. Ivanova , M. Ausloos

The behavior of stock market returns over a period of 1-60 days has been investigated for S&P 500 and Nasdaq within the framework of nonextensive Tsallis statistics. Even for such long terms, the distributions of the returns are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-18 Sandhya Devi

The multifractal behavior for tick data of prices is investigated in Korean financial market. Using the rescaled range analysis(R/S analysis), we show the multifractal nature of returns for the won-dollar exchange rate and the KOSPI. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon
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