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The reliable statistical characterization of the spatial and temporal properties of large earthquakes occurrence is one of the most debated issues in seismic hazard assessment, due to the unavoidably limited observations from past events.…

The $b$-value in the Gutenberg-Richter (GR) law contains information that is essential for evaluating earthquake hazard and predicting the occurrence of large earthquakes. Estimates of $b$ are often based on seismic events whose magnitude…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-03-19 Jesper Martinsson , Adam Jonsson

Machine learning for weather prediction increasingly relies on ensemble methods to provide probabilistic forecasts. Diffusion-based models have shown strong performance in Limited-Area Modeling (LAM) but remain computationally expensive at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Erik Larsson , Joel Oskarsson , Tomas Landelius , Fredrik Lindsten

This study suggests a new data-driven model for the prediction of geomagnetic storm. The model which is an instance of Brain Emotional Learning Inspired Models (BELIMs), is known as the Brain Emotional Learning-based Prediction Model…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-04 Mahboobeh Parsapoor

Evaluating the quality of search, ranking and RAG systems traditionally requires a significant number of human relevance annotations. In recent times, several deployed systems have explored the usage of Large Language Models (LLMs) as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Abhishek Divekar , Anirban Majumder

We present a method for locating the seismic event epicenters without assuming an Earth model of the seismic velocity structure, based on the linear relationship between $\log R$ and $\log t$ (where $R$ is the radius of spherical P wave…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-08-23 Rong Qiang Wei

This study explores integrating reinforcement learning (RL) with idealised climate models to address key parameterisation challenges in climate science. Current climate models rely on complex mathematical parameterisations to represent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Pritthijit Nath , Henry Moss , Emily Shuckburgh , Mark Webb

Currently, one of the best performing and most popular earthquake forecasting models rely on the working hypothesis that: "locations of past background earthquakes reveal the probable location of future seismicity". As an alternative, we…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette , Stefan Wiemer

Earthquake forecasting and prediction have long and in some cases sordid histories but recent work has rekindled interest based on advances in early warning, hazard assessment for induced seismicity and successful prediction of laboratory…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-10-13 Laura Laurenti , Elisa Tinti , Fabio Galasso , Luca Franco , Chris Marone

In healthcare applications, predictive uncertainty has been used to assess predictive accuracy. In this paper, we demonstrate that predictive uncertainty estimated by the current methods does not highly correlate with prediction error by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Shi Hu , Nicola Pezzotti , Max Welling

Effective structural assessment of urban infrastructure is essential for sustainable land use and resilience to climate change and natural hazards. Seismic wave methods are widely applied in these areas for subsurface characterization and…

Estimating the probability of failures or accidents with aerospace systems is often necessary when new concepts or designs are introduced, as it is being done for Autonomous Aircraft. If the design is safe, as it is supposed to be, accident…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-10 Ítalo Romani de Oliveira , Jeffery Musiak

Without rigorous attention to the completeness of earthquake catalogs, claims of new discoveries or forecasting skills cannot be deemed credible. Therefore, estimating the completeness magnitude (Mc) is a critical step. Among various…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-09-12 Xinyi Wang , Jiawei Li , Ao Feng , Didier Sornette

The recent exploitation of natural resources and associated waste water injection in the subsurface have induced many small and moderate earthquakes in the tectonically quiet Central United States. This increase in seismic activity has…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-18 José Augusto Proença Maia Devienne

Subsurface seismic velocity structure is essential for earthquake source studies, including hypocenter determination. Conventional hypocenter determination methods ignore the inherent uncertainty in seismic velocity structure models, and…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-07-11 Ryoichiro Agata , Kazuya Shiraishi , Gou Fujie

The cross-lagged panel model (CLPM) has been widely used, particularly in psychology, to infer longitudinal relations among variables. At the same time, controlling for between-person heterogeneity and capturing within-person relations as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Satoshi Usami

Heatmap-based methods dominate in the field of human pose estimation by modelling the output distribution through likelihood heatmaps. In contrast, regression-based methods are more efficient but suffer from inferior performance. In this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Jiefeng Li , Siyuan Bian , Ailing Zeng , Can Wang , Bo Pang , Wentao Liu , Cewu Lu

Predicting disaster events from seismic data is of paramount importance and can save thousands of lives, especially in earthquake-prone areas and habitations around volcanic craters. The drastic rise in the number of seismic monitoring…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-23 Samayan Bhattacharya , Sk Shahnawaz

Parts of Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas have experienced increased rates of seismicity in recent years, providing new datasets of earthquake recordings to develop ground motion prediction models for this particular region of the Central and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-11 Farid Khosravikia , Yasaman Zeinali , Zoltan Nagy , Patricia Clayton , Ellen M. Rathje

Recent applications of machine learning algorithms in the seismic domain have shown great potential in different areas such as seismic inversion and interpretation. However, such algorithms rarely enforce geophysical constraints - the lack…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-08-22 Motaz Alfarraj , Ghassan AlRegib