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We introduce a new approach to short-term earthquake prediction based on the concept of selforganization of seismically active fault networks. That approach is named "Reverse Detection of Precursors" (RDP), since it considers precursors in…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. Keilis-Borok , P. Shebalin , A. Gabrielov , D. Turcotte

This study describes a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) based technique for the prediction of intensity measurements (IMs) of ground shaking. The input data to the CNN model consists of multistation 3C broadband and accelerometric…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-05-13 Dario Jozinović , Anthony Lomax , Ivan Štajduhar , Alberto Michelini

Tectonic earthquakes of high magnitude can cause considerable losses in terms of human lives, economic and infrastructure, among others. According to an evaluation published by the U.S. Geological Survey, 30 is the number of earthquakes…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-08-20 Cinthya Mota-Hernandez , Luis Esquivel-Rodriguez , Rafael Alvarado-Corona

Since the beginning of this century, the significant advancements in artificial intelligence and neural networks have offered the potential to bring new transformations to short-term earthquake prediction research. However, currently, there…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-23 Zhiyu Xu , Qingliang Chen

We present a novel probabilistic finite element method (FEM) for the solution and uncertainty quantification of elliptic partial differential equations based on random meshes, which we call random mesh FEM (RM-FEM). Our methodology allows…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-17 Assyr Abdulle , Giacomo Garegnani

A theoretical analysis of the earthquake prediction problem in space-time is presented. We find an explicit structure of the optimal strategy and its relation to the generalized error diagram. This study is a generalization of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 G. Molchan , V. Keilis-Borok

A prominent feature of earthquakes is their empirical laws including memory (clustering) in time and space. Several earthquake forecasting models, like the EpidemicType Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model, were developed based on earthquake…

Seismic assessment of buildings and determination of their structural damage is at the forefront of modern scientific research. Since now, several researchers have proposed a number of procedures, in an attempt to estimate the damage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Konstantinos Demertzis , Konstantinos Kostinakis , Konstantinos Morfidis , Lazaros Iliadis

Seismic inversion refers to the process of estimating reservoir rock properties from seismic reflection data. Conventional and machine learning-based inversion workflows usually work in a trace-by-trace fashion on seismic data, utilizing…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-30 Ahmad Mustafa , Motaz Alfarraj , Ghassan AlRegib

Operational earthquake forecasting for risk management and communication during seismic sequences depends on our ability to select an optimal forecasting model. To do this, we need to compare the performance of competing models with each…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-20 Francesco Serafini , Mark Naylor , Finn Lindgren , Maximilian Werner , Ian Main

Immediately following a disaster event, such as an earthquake, estimates of the damage extent play a key role in informing the coordination of response and recovery efforts. We develop a novel impact estimation tool that leverages a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Max Anderson Loake , Hamish Patten , David Steinsaltz

Weather regimes are recurrent and persistent large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns that modulate the occurrence of local impact variables such as extreme precipitation. In their capacity as mediators between long-range…

We present a scheme by which a probabilistic forecasting system whose predictions have poor probabilistic calibration may be recalibrated by incorporating past performance information to produce a new forecasting system that is demonstrably…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-08 Carlo Graziani , Robert Rosner , Jennifer M. Adams , Reason L. Machete

We present a new method of data clustering applied to earthquake catalogs, with the goal of reconstructing the seismically active part of fault networks. We first use an original method to separate clustered events from uncorrelated…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

Seismic phase association is the task of grouping phase arrival picks across a seismic network into subsets with common origins. Building on recent successes in this area with machine learning tools, we introduce a neural mixture model…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-01-09 Zachary E. Ross , Weiqiang Zhu , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli

Rutting of asphalt pavements is a crucial design criterion in various pavement design guides. A good road transportation base can provide security for the transportation of oil and gas in road transportation. This study attempts to develop…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Zhuoxuan Li , Iakov Korovin , Xinli Shi , Sergey Gorbachev , Nadezhda Gorbacheva , Wei Huang , Jinde Cao

The detection and rapid characterisation of earthquake parameters such as magnitude are of prime importance in seismology, particularly in applications such as Earthquake Early Warning (EEW). Traditionally, algorithms such as STA/LTA are…

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown strong capabilities in document re-ranking, a key component in modern Information Retrieval (IR) systems. However, existing LLM-based approaches face notable limitations, including ranking…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Pinhuan Wang , Zhiqiu Xia , Chunhua Liao , Feiyi Wang , Hang Liu

Recent progress in randomized motion planners has led to the development of a new class of sampling-based algorithms that provide asymptotic optimality guarantees, notably the RRT* and the PRM* algorithms. Careful analysis reveals that the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-09-21 Oktay Arslan , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Terra Seismic can predict most major earthquakes (M6.2 or greater) at least 2 - 5 months before they will strike. Global earthquake prediction is based on determinations of the stressed areas that will start to behave abnormally before…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-03-18 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin