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Related papers: Modeling bursts and heavy tails in human dynamics

200 papers

Human activities can play a crucial role in the statistical properties of observables in many complex systems such as social, technological and economic systems. We demonstrate this by looking into the heavy-tailed distributions of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-08-24 Jie-Jun Tseng , Ming-Jer Lee , Sai-Ping Li

We empirically study the activity patterns of individual blog-posting and find significant memory effects. The memory coefficient first decays in a power law and then turns to an exponential form. Moreover, the inter-event time distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-11-03 Peng Wang , Tao Zhou , Xiao-Pu Han , Bing-Hong Wang

Human dynamics is known to be inhomogeneous and bursty but the detailed understanding of the role of human factors in bursty dynamics is still lacking. In order to investigate their role we devise an agent-based model, where an agent in an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-01-06 Hang-Hyun Jo , Eunyoung Moon , Kimmo Kaski

Human social interactions tend to vary in intensity over time, whether they are in person or online. Variable rates of interaction in structured populations can be described by networks with the time-varying activity of links and nodes. One…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-17 Anzhi Sheng , Qi Su , Aming Li , Long Wang , Joshua B. Plotkin

Social, technological and economic time series are divided by events which are usually assumed to be random albeit with some hierarchical structure. It is well known that the interevent statistics observed in these contexts differs from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 J. Perello , J. Masoliver , A. Kasprzak , R. Kutner

Halting a computer or biological virus outbreak requires a detailed understanding of the timing of the interactions between susceptible and infected individuals. While current spreading models assume that users interact uniformly in time,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 Alexei Vazquez , Racz Balazs , Lukacs Andras , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

A number of human activities exhibit a bursty pattern, namely periods of very high activity that are followed by rest periods. Records of these processes generate time series of events whose inter-event times follow a probability…

It has been shown by A.-L. Barabasi that the priority based scheduling rules in single stage queuing systems (QS) generates fat tail behavior for the tasks waiting time distributions (WTD). Such fat tails are due to the waiting times of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Ph. Blanchard , M. -O. Hongler

Whether an idea, information, infection, or innovation diffuses throughout a society depends not only on the structure of the network of interactions, but also on the timing of those interactions. Recent studies have shown that diffusion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-19 Mohammad Akbarpour , Matthew O. Jackson

Inhomogeneous temporal processes, like those appearing in human communications, neuron spike trains, and seismic signals, consist of high-activity bursty intervals alternating with long low-activity periods. In recent studies such bursty…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-12-01 Márton Karsai , Kimmo Kaski , Albert-László Barabási , János Kertész

The interest in non-Markovian dynamics within the complex systems community has recently blossomed, due to a new wealth of time-resolved data pointing out the bursty dynamics of many natural and human interactions, manifested in an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-25 Antoine Moinet , Michele Starnini , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

Studies of human attention dynamics analyses how attention is focused on specific topics, issues or people. In online social media, there are clear signs of exogenous shocks, bursty dynamics, and an exponential or powerlaw lifetime…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-09-11 V. A. Traag , R. Reinanda , J. Hicks , G. van Klinken

A minimal model based on individual interactions is proposed to study the non-Poisson statistical properties of human behavior: individuals in the system interact with their neighbors, the probability of an individual acting correlates to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-10-21 Dan Peng , Xiao-Pu Han , Zong-Wen Wei , Bing-Hong Wang

The concept of temporal networks provides a framework to understand how the interaction between system components changes over time. In empirical communication data, we often detect non-Poissonian, so-called bursty behavior in the activity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-29 Takayuki Hiraoka , Naoki Masuda , Aming Li , Hang-Hyun Jo

The dynamics of a wide range of real systems, from email patterns to earthquakes, display a bursty, intermittent nature, characterized by short timeframes of intensive activity followed by long times of no or reduced activity. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Kwang-Il Goh , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

Interevent times in temporal contact data from humans and animals typically obey heavy-tailed distributions, and this property impacts contagion and other dynamical processes on networks. We theoretically show that distributions of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-08 Elohim Fonseca dos Reis , Naoki Masuda

Intervals between discrete events representing human activities, as well as other types of events, often obey heavy-tailed distributions, and their impacts on collective dynamics on networks such as contagion processes have been intensively…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-24 Elohim Fonseca dos Reis , Aming Li , Naoki Masuda

A workload model using the infinite source Poisson model for bursts is combined with the on--off model for within burst activity. Burst durations and on--off durations are assumed to have heavy-tailed distributions with infinite variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-06 David A. Rolls

We consider the editorial processing of papers in scientific journals as a human activity process based on the decision making. A functional form of the probability distributions of random variables describing a human dynamics is studied…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-09-29 O. Mryglod , Yu. Holovatch

Identifying and quantifying factors influencing human decision making remains an outstanding challenge, impacting the performance and predictability of social and technological systems. In many cases, system failures are traced to human…