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Large climate-model ensembles are computationally expensive; yet many downstream analyses would benefit from additional, statistically consistent realizations of spatiotemporal climate variables. We study a generative modeling approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Jacquelyn Shelton , Przemyslaw Polewski , Alexander Robel , Matthew Hoffman , Stephen Price

We study maximum likelihood estimation for spatial generalized linear mixed models with Gaussian process approximations using a stochastic Newton-Raphson algorithm. We consider two Gaussian Process approximations in this context: spectral…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Samuel I. Watson , Yixin Wang , Emanuele Giorgi

We construct flexible spatio-temporal models through stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) where both diffusion and advection can be spatially varying. Computations are done through a Gaussian Markov random field approximation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Martin Outzen Berild , Geir-Arne Fuglstad

Due to spatial dependence -- often characterized as complex and non-linear -- model misspecification is a prevalent and critical issue in spatial data analysis and prediction. As the data, and thus model performance, is heterogeneous,…

A new dynamic latent space eigenmodel (LSM) is proposed for weighted temporal networks. The model accommodates integer-valued weights, excess of zeros, time-varying node positions (features), and time-varying network sparsity. The latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini , Antonio Peruzzi

Gaussian processes and random fields have a long history, covering multiple approaches to representing spatial and spatio-temporal dependence structures, such as covariance functions, spectral representations, reproducing kernel Hilbert…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-18 Finn Lindgren , David Bolin , Håvard Rue

Spatially misaligned data can be fused by using a Bayesian melding model that assumes that underlying all observations there is a spatially continuous Gaussian random field process. This model can be used, for example, to predict air…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 Ruiman Zhong , André Victor Ribeiro Amaral , Paula Moraga

This paper addresses the inference of spatial dependence in the context of a recently proposed framework. More specifically, the paper focuses on the estimation of model parameters for a class of generalized Gibbs random fields, i.e.,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Samuel Elogne , Dionisis Hristopulos

The generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is a popular model for analyzing and forecasting extreme weather data. To increase prediction accuracy, spatial information is often pooled via a latent Gaussian process (GP) on the GEV…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-20 Meixi Chen , Reza Ramezan , Martin Lysy

Generalized estimating equations (GEE) are widely used to analyze longitudinal data; however, they are not appropriate for heteroscedastic data, because they only estimate regressor effects on the mean response{\textemdash}and therefore do…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-29 Amadou Barry , Karim Oualkacha , Arthur Charpentier

We develop a new model for spatial random field reconstruction of a binary-valued spatial phenomenon. In our model, sensors are deployed in a wireless sensor network across a large geographical region. Each sensor measures a non-Gaussian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-12 Shunan Sheng , Qikun Xiang , Ido Nevat , Ariel Neufeld

Dynamic heterogeneity has often been modeled by assuming that a single-particle observable, fluctuating at a molecular scale, is influenced by its coupling to environmental variables fluctuating on a second, perhaps slower, time scale.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Gregor Diezemann , Gerald Hinze , Hans Sillescu

Spatio-temporal processes in environmental applications are often assumed to follow a Gaussian model, possibly after some transformation. However, heterogeneity in space and time might have a pattern that will not be accommodated by…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-15 Thaís C. O. da Fonseca , Viviana G. R. Lobo , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Recently, we proposed a method to estimate parameters of stochastic dynamics based on the linear response statistics. The method rests upon a nonlinear least-squares problem that takes into account the response properties that stem from the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-24 He Zhang , John Harlim , Xiantao Li

Spatial statistics is concerned with the analysis of data that have spatial locations associated with them, and those locations are used to model statistical dependence between the data. The spatial data are treated as a single realisation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-09 Noel Cressie , Matthew Sainsbury-Dale , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

This paper proposes a local representation for Empirical Likelihood (EL). EL admits the classical local linear quadratic representation by its likelihood ratio property. A local estimator is derived by using the new representation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Zhengyuan Gao

The coefficient function of the leading differential operator is estimated from observations of a linear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE). The estimation is based on continuous time observations which are localised in space.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Randolf Altmeyer , Markus Reiß

With extreme weather events becoming more common, the risk posed by surface water flooding is ever increasing. In this work we propose a model, and associated Bayesian inference scheme, for generating probabilistic (high-resolution…

A method (Ember) for non-stationary spatial modelling with multiple secondary variables by combining Geostatistics with Random Forests is applied to a three-dimensional Reservoir Model. It extends the Random Forest method to an…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-11-12 Colin Daly

Stochastic differential equations provide a powerful tool for modelling dynamic phenomena affected by random noise. In case of repeated observations of time series for several experimental units, it is often the case that some of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-06 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen
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