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We consider the problem of detecting jumps in an otherwise smoothly evolving trend whilst the covariance and higher-order structures of the system can experience both smooth and abrupt changes over time. The number of jump points is allowed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

Most data processing techniques, applied to biomedical and sociological time series, are only valid for random fluctuations that are stationary in time. Unfortunately, these data are often non stationary and the use of techniques of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Ignaccolo , P. Allegrini , P. Grigolini , P. Hamilton , B. J. West

Our understanding of a variety of phenomena in physics, biology and economics crucially depends on the analysis of multivariate time series. While a wide range of tools and techniques for time series analysis already exist, the increasing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-27 Lucas Lacasa , Vincenzo Nicosia , Vito Latora

Most complex systems are intrinsically dynamic in nature. The evolution of a dynamic complex system is typically represented as a sequence of snapshots, where each snapshot describes the configuration of the system at a particular instant…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-30 Richard K. Darst , Clara Granell , Alex Arenas , Sergio Gómez , Jari Saramäki , Santo Fortunato

To quantify the complexity of a system, entropy-based methods have received considerable critical attentions in real-world data analysis. Among numerous entropy algorithms, amplitude-based formulas, represented by Sample Entropy, suffer…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-12 Hongjian Xiao , Danilo P. Mandic

A time-dependent statistical description of multiple particle breakage is presented. The approach combines the Tsallis non-extensive entropy with a fractal kinetic equation for the time variation of the number of fragments. The obtained…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-12-04 Oscar Sotolongo-Costa , Luis Manuel Gaggero-Sager , Miguel Eduardo Mora-Ramos

The multiscale entropy assesses the complexity of a signal across different timescales. It originates from the biomedical domain and was recently successfully used to characterize light curves as part of a supervised machine learning…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-12 Jeroen Audenaert , Andrew Tkachenko

The Gaussian process is a powerful and flexible technique for interpolating spatiotemporal data, especially with its ability to capture complex trends and uncertainty from the input signal. This chapter describes Gaussian processes as an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Kien Nguyen , John Krumm , Cyrus Shahabi

A Bayesian approach is developed to analyze change points in multivariate time series and space-time data. The methodology is used to assess the impact of extended inundation on the ecosystem of the Gulf Plains bioregion in northern…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-21 Chris Strickland , Robert Burdett , Robert Denham , Robert Kohn , Kerrie Mengersen

For many complex systems the interaction of different scales is among the most interesting and challenging features. It seems not very successful to extract the physical properties in different scale regimes by the existing approaches, such…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-14 L. P. Wang , Y. X. Huang

The crossover among two or more types of diffusive processes represents a vibrant theme in nonequilibrium statistical physics. In this work we propose two models to generate crossovers among different L\'evy processes: in the first model we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-15 Maike A. F. dos Santos , Fernando D. Nobre , Evaldo M. F. Curado

For a long time, many methods are developed to make temporal signal analyses based on time series. However, for geographical systems, spatial signal analyses are as important as temporal signal analyses. Nonstationary spatial and temporal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-29 Yanguang Chen , Yuqing Long

We study a scenario under which variable step random walks give anomalous statistics. We begin by analyzing the Martingale Central Limit Theorem to find a sufficient condition for the limit distribution to be non-Gaussian. We note that the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Gemunu H. Gunaratne , Joseph L. McCauley , Matthew Nicol , Andrei Torok

Complex systems are sometimes subject to non Gaussian alpha stable Levy fluctuations. A new method is devised to estimate this uncertain parameter and other system parameters, using observations on either mean exit time or escape…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

This topic review communicates working experiences regarding interaction of a multiplicity of processes. Our experiences come from climate change modelling, materials science, cell physiology and public health, and macroeconomic modelling.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-02-07 Bernhelm Booss-Bavnbek , Rasmus Kristoffer Pedersen , Ulf Rørbæk Pedersen

The dynamical evolution of multiscaling in financial time series is investigated using time-dependent Generalized Hurst Exponents (GHE), $H_q$, for various values of the parameter $q$. Using $H_q$, we introduce a new visual methodology to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-10 Ioannis P. Antoniades , Giuseppe Brandi , L. G. Magafas , T. Di Matteo

We develop a method that relates the truncated cumulant-function of the fourth order with the L\'evian cumulant-function. This gives us explicit formulas for the L\'evy-parameters, which allow a real-time analysis of the state of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-04 Alexander Jurisch

We develop a rigorously controlled multi-time scale averaging technique; the averaging is done on a finite time interval, properly chosen, and then, via iterations and normal form transformations, the time intervals are scaled to arbitrary…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-08-16 Shmuel Fishman , Avy Soffer

We present a new technique in order to quantify the dynamics of spatially extended systems. Using a test on the existence of unstable periodic orbits, we identify intermediate spatial scales, wherein the dynamics is characterized by maximum…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 G. Zoeller , R. Engbert , S. Hainzl , J. Kurths

The complex dynamics of physical systems can often be modeled with stochastic differential equations. However, computational constraints inhibit the estimation of dynamics from large time-series datasets. I present a method for estimating…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-11-02 William Davis