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A dynamic herding model with interactions of trading volumes is introduced. At time $t$, an agent trades with a probability, which depends on the ratio of the total trading volume at time $t-1$ to its own trading volume at its last trade.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-03 F. Ren , B. Zheng , P. Chen

The inertia of particles driven by the turbulent flow of the surrounding fluid makes them prefer certain regions of the flow. The heavy particles lag behind the flow and tend to accumulate in the regions with less vorticity, while the light…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-30 Itzhak Fouxon

Power-law tails are ubiquitous in income distributions and in the energy distributions of diluted relativistic gases. We analyze the conceptual link between these two cases. In economic interactions fat tails arise because the richest…

General Physics · Physics 2016-01-25 G. Modanese

The dynamics of many socioeconomic systems is determined by the decision making process of agents. The decision process depends on agent's characteristics, such as preferences, risk aversion, behavioral biases, etc.. In addition, in some…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Gabriella Vaglica , Fabrizio Lillo , Esteban Moro , Rosario N. Mantegna

Inspired by reliability issues in electric transmission networks, we use a probabilistic approach to study the occurrence of large failures in a stylized cascading failure model. In this model, lines have random capacities that initially…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-14 F. Sloothaak , S. C. Borst , A. P. Zwart

Based on empirical financial time-series, we show that the "silence-breaking" probability follows a super-universal power law: the probability of observing a large movement is inversely proportional to the length of the on-going…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-06 Robert Kitt , Maksim Sakki , Jaan Kalda

We study how the presence of correlations in physical variables contributes to the form of probability distributions. We investigate a process with correlations in the variance generated by (i) a Gaussian or (ii) a truncated L\'{e}vy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Boris Podobnik , Plamen Ch. Ivanov , Youngki Lee , Alessandro Chessa , H. Eugene Stanley

A money-based model for the power law distribution (PLD) of wealth in an economically interacting population is introduced. The basic feature of our model is concentrating on the capital movements and avoiding the complexity of micro…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Yan-Bo Xie , Bo Hu , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

The link between structure and behavior is central to System Dynamics, but effective tools for understanding that relationship still elude us. The current state of the art in the field of loop dominance analysis relies on either…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-29 William Schoenberg , Pål Davidsen , Robert Eberlein

We provide a framework for determining the centralities of agents in a broad family of random networks. Current understanding of network centrality is largely restricted to deterministic settings, but practitioners frequently use random…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Krishna Dasaratha

A mechanism is proposed for the appearance of power law distributions in various complex systems. It is shown that in a conservative mechanical system composed of subsystems with different numbers of degrees of freedom a robust power-law…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-03 Anirban Chakraborti , Marco Patriarca

In the last years, researchers have realized the difficulties of fitting power-law distributions properly. These difficulties are higher in Zipf's systems, due to the discreteness of the variables and to the existence of two representations…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-11-29 Alvaro Corral , Isabel Serra , Ramon Ferrer-i-Cancho

Statistical properties of coupled dynamic-stochastic systems are studied within a combination of the maximum information principle and the superstatistical approach. The conditions at which the Shannon entropy functional leads to a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 E. V. Vakarin , J. P. Badiali

We study a game-theoretic variant of the maximum circulation problem. In a flow allocation game, we are given a directed flow network. Each node is a rational agent and can strategically allocate any incoming flow to the outgoing edges.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Nils Bertschinger , Martin Hoefer , Daniel Schmand

Benford's law states that many data sets have a bias towards lower leading digits (about $30\%$ are 1s). There are numerous applications, from designing efficient computers to detecting tax, voter and image fraud. It's important to know…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Victoria Cuff , Allison Lewis , Steven J. Miller

We study the risk criterion for investments based on the drawdown from the maximal value of the capital in the past. Depending on investor's risk attitude, thus his risk exposure, we find that the distribution of these drawdowns follows a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Sergei Maslov , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Snapshots of "best" (or "worst") experience are known to dominate human memory and may thus also have a significant effect on future behaviour. We consider here a model of repeated decision-making where, at every time step, an agent takes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-18 Evangelos Mitsokapas , Rosemary J. Harris

We study statistics of the knockout tournament, where only the winner of a fixture progresses to the next. We assign a real number called competitiveness to each contestant and find that the resulting distribution of prize money follows a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-09 Seung Ki Baek , Il Gu Yi , Hye Jin Park , Beom Jun Kim

We develop a general framework to analyze the distribution functions of wealth and income. Within this framework we study wealth distribution in a society by using a model which turns on two-party trading for poor people while for rich…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Arnab Das , Sudhakar Yarlagadda

Power law or generalized polynomial regressions with unknown real-valued exponents and coefficients, and weakly dependent errors, are considered for observations over time, space or space--time. Consistency and asymptotic normality of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-14 Peter M. Robinson
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