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The estimation of rare event probabilities plays a pivotal role in diverse fields. Our aim is to determine the probability of a hazard or system failure occurring when a quantity of interest exceeds a critical value. In our approach, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Lea Friedli , David Ginsbourger , Arnaud Doucet , Niklas Linde

The so-called 'energy test' is a frequentist technique used in experimental particle physics to decide whether two samples are drawn from the same distribution. Its usage requires a good understanding of the distribution of the test…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-03-12 Thomas P. S. Gillam , Christopher G. Lester

The ensemble average of physical properties of molecules is closely related to the distribution of molecular conformations, and sampling such distributions is a fundamental challenge in physics and chemistry. Traditional methods like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Liya Guo , Zun Wang , Chang Liu , Junzhe Li , Pipi Hu , Yi Zhu

Free energy of crystal phases is commonly evaluated by thermodynamic integration (TDI) along a reversible path that involves an external potential. A persistent problem in this method is that a significant hysteresis is observed due to…

Materials Science · Physics 2010-02-27 Pankaj A. Apte

Training on class-imbalanced data usually results in biased models that tend to predict samples into the majority classes, which is a common and notorious problem. From the perspective of energy-based model, we demonstrate that the free…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Bowen Zhao , Chen Chen , Qi Ju , ShuTao Xia

Atomistic modelling of phase transitions, chemical reactions, or other rare events that involve overcoming high free energy barriers usually entails prohibitively long simulation times. Introducing a bias potential as a function of an…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-11-06 Federico Giberti , Bingqing Cheng , Gareth Aneurin Tribello , Michele Ceriotti

Free energy calculations based on atomistic Hamiltonians and sampling are key to a first principles understanding of biomolecular processes, material properties, and macromolecular chemistry. Here, we generalize the Free Energy Perturbation…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-07-19 Martin Reinhardt , Helmut Grubmüller

Energy-based models (EBMs) are powerful probabilistic models, but suffer from intractable sampling and density evaluation due to the partition function. As a result, inference in EBMs relies on approximate sampling algorithms, leading to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Dieterich Lawson , George Tucker , Bo Dai , Rajesh Ranganath

Free energy calculations based on atomistic Hamiltonians provide microscopic insight into the thermodynamic driving forces of biophysical or condensed matter systems. Many approaches use intermediate Hamiltonians interpolating between the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-12-08 Martin Reinhardt , Helmut Grubmüller

Based on an analysis of the short range chemical environment of each atom in a system, standard machine learning based approaches to the construction of interatomic potentials aim at determining directly the central quantity which is the…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-08-05 S. Alireza Ghasemi , Albert Hofstetter , Santanu Saha , Stefan Goedecker

Bias in causal comparisons has a direct correspondence with distributional imbalance of covariates between treatment groups. Weighting strategies such as inverse propensity score weighting attempt to mitigate bias by either modeling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-14 Jared D. Huling , Simon Mak

Estimating the free energy in molecular simulation requires, implicitly or explicitly, counting how many times the system is observed in a finite region. If the simulation is biased by an external potential, the weight of the configurations…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-12-22 Matteo Carli , Alessandro Laio

We describe a method to explore the configurational phase space of chemical systems. It is based on the nested sampling algorithm recently proposed by Skilling [Skilling J. (2004) In AIP Conference Proceedings, vol. 735, p. 395.; Skilling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-07-08 Livia B. Pártay , Albert P. Bartók , Gábor Csányi

An ensemble of atoms in steady-state, whether in thermal equilibrium or not, has a well defined energy distribution. Since the energy of single atoms within the ensemble cannot be individually measured, energy distributions are typically…

Atomic Physics · Physics 2017-08-30 Ziv Meir , Tomas Sikorsky , Nitzan Akerman , Ruti Ben-shlomi , Meirav Pinkas , Roee Ozeri

We propose an efficient novel path sampling-based framework designed to accelerate the investigation of rare events in complex molecular systems. A key innovation is the shift from sampling restricted path ensemble distributions, as in…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-03-28 Gianmarco Lazzeri , Peter G. Bolhuis , Roberto Covino

Ensuring a satisfactory statistical convergence of anharmonic thermodynamic properties requires sampling of many atomic configurations, however the methods to obtain those necessarily produce correlated samples, thereby reducing the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-07 Erki Metsanurk

The numerical computation of chemical potential in dense, non-homogeneous fluids is a key problem in the study of confined fluids thermodynamics. To this day several methods have been proposed, however there is still need for a robust…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-05-09 Claudio Perego , Omar Valsson , Michele Parrinello

When studying high-dimensional dynamical systems such as macromolecules, quantum systems and polymers, a prime concern is the identification of the most probable states and their stationary probabilities or free energies. Often, these…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-01 Hao Wu , Frank Noé

We present a method to search low energy configurations of polar molecules in the complex potential energy surfaces associated with dense fluids. The search is done in the configurational space of the translational and rotational degrees of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 Gianni De Fabritiis , Rafael Delgado-Buscalioni , Peter V. Coveney

Metadynamics is an enhanced sampling method of great popularity, based on the on-the-fly construction of a bias potential that is function of a selected number of collective variables. We propose here a change in perspective that shifts the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-03-24 Michele Invernizzi , Michele Parrinello
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