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In high-frequency financial data not only returns, but also waiting times between consecutive trades are random variables. Therefore, it is possible to apply continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) as phenomenological models of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Enrico Scalas , Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi , Maurizio Mantelli , Marco Raberto

Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are used in physics to model anomalous diffusion, by incorporating a random waiting time between particle jumps. In finance, the particle jumps are log-returns and the waiting times measure delay between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-10 Mark M. Meerschaert , Enrico Scalas

In many physical, social or economical phenomena we observe changes of a studied quantity only in discrete, irregularly distributed points in time. The stochastic process used by physicists to describe this kind of variables is the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Jarosław Klamut , Tomasz Gubiec

We adapt continuous time random walk (CTRW) formalism to describe asset price evolution and discuss some of the problems that can be treated using this approach. We basically focus on two aspects: (i) the derivation of the price…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 J. Masoliver , M. Montero , J. Perello , G. H. Weiss

Anomalous diffusions arise as scaling limits of continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) whose innovation times are distributed according to a power law. The impact of a non-exponential waiting time does not vanish with time and leads to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-13 Antoine Jacquier , Lorenzo Torricelli

In financial markets, not only prices and returns can be considered as random variables, but also the waiting time between two transactions varies randomly. In the following, we analyse the statistical properties of General Electric stock…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. Raberto , E. Scalas , F. Mainardi

A novel version of the Continuous-Time Random Walk (CTRW) model with memory is developed. This memory means the dependence between arbitrary number of successive jumps of the process, while waiting times between jumps are considered as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-16 Tomasz Gubiec , Ryszard Kutner

Continuous time random walks have random waiting times between particle jumps. We define the correlated continuous time random walks (CTRWs) that converge to fractional Pearson diffusions (fPDs). The jumps in these CTRWs are obtained from…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-24 Nikolai N. Leonenko , Ivan Papić , Alla Sikorskii , Nenad Šuvak

Functional limit theorem for continuous-time random walks (CTRW) are found in general case of dependent waiting times and jump sizes that are also position dependent. The limiting anomalous diffusion is described in terms of fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Vassili N. Kolokoltsov

The usual development of the continuous time random walk (CTRW) assumes that jumps and time intervals are a two-dimensional set of independent and identically distributed random variables. In this paper we address the theoretical setting of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-09-29 Miquel Montero , Jaume Masoliver

An intense research on financial market microstructure is presently in progress. Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are general models capable to capture the small-scale properties that high frequency data series show. The use of CTRW…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Miquel Montero , Jaume Masoliver

Subordinating a random walk to a renewal process yields a continuous time random walk (CTRW) model for diffusion, including the possibility of anomalous diffusion. Transition densities of scaling limits of power law CTRWs have been shown to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-14 Peter Straka , Bruce Ian Henry

We complement the theory of tick-by-tick dynamics of financial markets based on a Continuous-Time Random Walk (CTRW) model recently proposed by Scalas et al., and we point out its consistency with the behaviour observed in the waiting-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Francesco Mainardi , Marco Raberto , Rudolf Gorenflo , Enrico Scalas

We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko

We propose a new Directed Continuous-Time Random Walk (CTRW) model with memory. As CTRW trajectory consists of spatial jumps preceded by waiting times, in Directed CTRW, we consider the case with only positive spatial jumps. Moreover, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-01 Jarosław Klamut , Tomasz Gubiec

Standard continuous time random walk (CTRW) models are renewal processes in the sense that at each jump a new, independent pair of jump length and waiting time are chosen. Globally, anomalous diffusion emerges through action of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-17 Johannes HP Schulz , Aleksei V Chechkin , Ralf Metzler

Continuous Time Random Walks (CTRWs) are jump processes with random waiting times between jumps. We study scaling limits for CTRWs where the distribution of jumps and waiting times is coupled and varies in space and time. Such processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-06 Peter Straka

A continuous time random walk (CTRW) is a random walk in which both spatial changes represented by jumps and waiting times between the jumps are random. The CTRW is coupled if a jump and its preceding or following waiting time are dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-14 Adam Barczyk , Peter Kern

This paper builds a model of high-frequency equity returns by separately modeling the dynamics of trade-time returns and trade arrivals. Our main contributions are threefold. First, we characterize the distributional behavior of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-02 Eric M. Aldrich , Indra Heckenbach , Gregory Laughlin

The continuous time random walk model plays an important role in modeling of so called anomalous diffusion behaviour. One of the specific property of such model are constant time periods visible in trajectory. In the continuous time random…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-01-04 Rafał Połoczański , Agnieszka Wyłomańska , Janusz Gajda , Monika Maciejewska , Andrzej Szczurek
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