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We introduce highly optimized tolerance (HOT), a mechanism that connects evolving structure and power laws in interconnected systems. HOT systems arise, e.g., in biology and engineering, where design and evolution create complex systems…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 J. M. Carlson , John Doyle

We introduce noncooperatively optimized tolerance (NOT), a generalization of highly optimized tolerance (HOT) that involves strategic (game theoretic) interactions between parties in a complex system. We illustrate our model in the forest…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Yevgeniy Vorobeychik , Jackson Mayo , Robert Armstrong , Joseph Ruthruff

Highly optimized tolerance is a model of optimization in engineered systems, which gives rise to power-law distributions of failure events in such systems. The archetypal example is the highly optimized forest fire model. Here we give an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. E. J. Newman , Michelle Girvan , J. Doyne Farmer

The size distribution of planned and forced outages and following restoration times in power systems have been studied for almost two decades and has drawn great interest as they display heavy tails. Understanding of this phenomenon has…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-09 Bálint Hartmann , Shengfeng Deng , Géza Ódor , Jeffrey Kelling

We propose an approach to estimate the number of samples required for a model to reach a target performance. We find that the power law, the de facto principle to estimate model performance, leads to large error when using a small dataset…

Over the last few decades power law distributions have been suggested as forming generative mechanisms in a variety of disparate fields, such as, astrophysics, criminology and database curation. However, fitting these heavy tailed…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-26 Colin S. Gillespie

The role of forest heterogeneity in the long-term, large-scale dynamics of forest fires is investigated by means of a cellular automata model and mean field approximation. Heterogeneity was conceived as trees (or acres of forest) with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-08-04 G. Camelo-Neto , S. Coutinho

Large Language Models have driven significant AI advancements, yet their training is resource-intensive and highly sensitive to hyper-parameter selection. While scaling laws provide valuable guidance on model size and data requirements,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Xingyu Xie , Kuangyu Ding , Shuicheng Yan , Kim-Chuan Toh , Tianwen Wei

This is the second part of a two-part paper on data-based distributionally robust stochastic optimal power flow (OPF). The general problem formulation and methodology have been presented in Part I [1]. Here, we present extensive numerical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Yi Guo , Kyri Baker , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Zechun Hu , Tyler H. Summers

We investigate the relevance of {\sl self-organized criticality (SOC)} models in previously published empirical datasets, which includes statistical observations in astrophysics, geophysics, biophysics, sociophysics, and informatics. We…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-05 Markus J. Aschwanden , Felix Scholkmann

Spreading processes, e.g. epidemics, wildfires and rumors, are often modeled on static networks. However, their underlying network structures, e.g. changing contacts in social networks, different weather forecasts for wildfires, are due to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-07 Vera L. J. Somers , Ian R. Manchester

The alignment of large language models (LLMs) often assumes that using more clean data yields better outcomes, overlooking the match between model capacity and example difficulty. Challenging this, we propose a new principle: Preference…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Chengqian Gao , Haonan Li , Liu Liu , Zeke Xie , Peilin Zhao , Zhiqiang Xu

The rapid scaling of Large Language Models (LLMs) has pushed training workloads far beyond the limits of single-node analysis, demanding a deeper understanding of how these models behave across large-scale, multi-GPU systems. In this paper,…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Seokjin Go , Joongun Park , Spandan More , Hanjiang Wu , Irene Wang , Aaron Jezghani , Tushar Krishna , Divya Mahajan

This paper investigates properties of the class of graphs based on exchangeable point processes. We provide asymptotic expressions for the number of edges, number of nodes and degree distributions, identifying four regimes: (i) a dense…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 François Caron , Francesca Panero , Judith Rousseau

Large language models with a huge number of parameters, when trained on near internet-sized number of tokens, have been empirically shown to obey neural scaling laws: specifically, their performance behaves predictably as a power law in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Alexander Maloney , Daniel A. Roberts , James Sully

Probabilistic modelling of power systems operation and planning processes depends on data-driven methods, which require sufficiently large datasets. When historical data lacks this, it is desired to model the underlying data generation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-26 Kutay Bölat , Simon H. Tindemans , Peter Palensky

We consider an energy harvesting communication system where the temperature dynamics is governed by the transmission power policy. Different from the previous work, we consider a discrete time system where transmission power is kept…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Abdulrahman Baknina , Omur Ozel , Sennur Ulukus

We characterize collective diffusion of hardcore run-and-tumble particles (RTPs) by explicitly calculating the bulk-diffusion coefficient $D(\rho, \gamma)$ in two minimal models on a $d$ dimensional periodic lattice for arbitrary density…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-12 Tanmoy Chakraborty , Punyabrata Pradhan

Power-law distributions are typical macroscopic features occurring in almost all complex systems observable in nature. As a result, researchers in quantitative analyses must often generate random synthetic variates obeying power-law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-11 Filippo Radicchi

Power laws and distributions with heavy tails are common features of many experimentally studied complex systems, like the distribution of the sizes of earthquakes and solar flares, or the duration of neuronal avalanches in the brain.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-03-05 Dimitrije Markovic , Claudius Gros
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