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This study considers the multivariate segmentation procedure under the assumption of the multivariate Gaussian mixture. Jensen-Shannon divergence between two multivariate Gaussian distributions is employed as a discriminator and a recursive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-03 Aki-Hiro Sato

We study the impact of exchange rate volatility on cost efficiency and market structure in a cross-section of banks that have non-trivial exposures to foreign currency (FX) operations. We use unique data on quarterly revaluations of FX…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-13 Mikhail Mamonov , Christopher Parmeter , Artem Prokhorov

This paper investigates arbitrage chains involving four currencies and four foreign exchange trader-arbitrageurs. In contrast with the three-currency case, we find that arbitrage operations when four currencies are present may appear…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-02 Rod Cross , Victor Kozyakin , Brian O'Callaghan , Alexei Pokrovskii , Alexey Pokrovskiy

We carry out a detailed large-scale data analysis of price response functions in the spot foreign exchange market for different years and different time scales. Such response functions provide quantitative information on the deviation from…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-26 Juan Camilo Henao Londono , Thomas Guhr

This paper examines how shocks to currency volatilities predict exchange rates. Using option-implied volatilities, we construct a dynamic, directed network of volatility connections. Currencies that transmit more volatility shocks, which…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-12 Mykola Babiak , Jozef Barunik

The cross-correlations between price fluctuations of 201 frequently traded stocks in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India are analyzed in this paper. We use daily closing prices for the period 1996-2006, which coincides with the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-11 Sitabhra Sinha , Raj Kumar Pan

Identifying behavior that is relatively invariant under different conditions is a challenging task in far-from-equilibrium complex systems. As an example of how the existence of a semi-invariant signature can be masked by the heterogeneity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-22 Abhijit Chakraborty , Soumya Easwaran , Sitabhra Sinha

Asset value forecasting has always attracted an enormous amount of interest among researchers in quantitative analysis. The advent of modern machine learning models has introduced new tools to tackle this classical problem. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Firuz Kamalov , Ikhlaas Gurrib

Specialized topics on financial data analysis from a numerical and physical point of view are discussed. They pertain to the analysis of crash prediction in stock market indices and to the persistence or not of coherent and random sequences…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Ausloos , K. Ivanova

A large set of daily FOREX time series is analyzed. The corresponding correlation matrices (CM) are constructed for USD, EUR and PLZ used as the base currencies. The triangle rule is interpreted as constraints reducing the number of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Z. Gorski , S. Drozdz , J. Kwapien , P. Oswiecimka

We evaluate the average waiting time between observing the price of financial markets and the next price change, especially in an on-line foreign exchange trading service for individual customers via the internet. Basic technical idea of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Naoya Sazuka , Jun-ichi Inoue

A time-varying cointegration model for foreign exchange rates is presented. Unlike previous studies, we allow the loading matrix in the vector error correction (VEC) model to be varying over time. Because the loading matrix in the VEC model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-17 Mikio Ito , Akihiko Noda , Tatsuma Wada

To investigate the universality of the structure of interactions in different markets, we analyze the cross-correlation matrix C of stock price fluctuations in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India. We find that this emerging market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Raj Kumar Pan , Sitabhra Sinha

We investigate the relative market efficiency in financial market data, using the approximate entropy(ApEn) method for a quantification of randomness in time series. We used the global foreign exchange market indices for 17 countries during…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Gabjin Oh , Seunghwan Kim , Cheoljun Eom

This paper proposes a public daily-frequency benchmark for post-GFC government-bond CIP deviations. Although CIP deviations are observed daily, the literature lacks a canonical benchmark for daily regressions comparable to standard factor…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Useong Shin

In this paper the diffusion entropy technique is applied to investigate the scaling behavior of financial markets. The scaling behaviors of four representative stock markets, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Standard&Poor 500, Heng Seng Index,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Shi-Min Cai , Pei-Ling Zhou , Hui-Jie Yang , Chun-Xia Yang , Bing-Hong Wang , Tao Zhou

Reinforcement learning can interact with the environment and is suitable for applications in decision control systems. Therefore, we used the reinforcement learning method to establish a foreign exchange transaction, avoiding the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Yun-Cheng Tsai , Chun-Chieh Wang

The performance of the multifractal detrended analysis on short time series is evaluated for synthetic samples of several mono- and multifractal models. The reconstruction of the generalized Hurst exponents is used to determine the range of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-12 Juan Luis Lopez , Jesus Guillermo Contreras

This paper presents static and dynamic versions of univariate, multivariate, and multilevel functional time-series methods to forecast implied volatility surfaces in foreign exchange markets. We find that dynamic functional principal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Han Lin Shang , Fearghal Kearney

We discuss price variations distributions in foreign exchange markets, characterizing them both in calendar and business time frameworks. The price dynamics is found to be the result of two distinct processes, a multi-variance diffusion and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Michele Pasquini , Maurizio Serva
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