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We obtain a description of the Poincar\'e recurrences of chaotic systems in terms of the ergodic theory of transient chaos. It is based on the equivalence between the recurrence time distribution and an escape time distribution obtained by…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-04-29 Eduardo G. Altmann , Tamas Tel

Extreme events are unusual and rare large-amplitude fluctuations that occur can unexpectedly in nonlinear dynamical systems. Events above the extreme event threshold of the probability distribution of a nonlinear process characterize…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-03-08 Premraj Durairaj , Sathiyadevi Kanagaraj , Suresh Kumarasamy , Karthikeyan Rajagopal

The mechanism of the exponential transient statistics of Poincar\'e recurrences in the presence of chaos border with its critical structure is studied using two simple models: separatrix map and the kicked rotator ('microtron'). For the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Boris Chirikov

Recurrence analysis is a well settled method allowing to discern chaos from order, and determinism from noise. We apply this tool to study time series representing geodesic and inspiraling motion of a test particle in a deformed Kerr…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2017-10-24 Georgios Lukes-Gerakopoulos , Ondřej Kopáček

We show that the probability distribution function that best fits the distribution of return times between two consecutive visits of a chaotic trajectory to finite size regions in phase space deviates from the exponential statistics by a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-13 Murilo S. Baptista , Dariel M. Maranhao , Jose C. Sartorelli

Recurrence is a fundamental property of dynamical systems, which can be exploited to characterise the system's behaviour in phase space. A powerful tool for their visualisation and analysis called recurrence plot was introduced in the late…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-27 Norbert Marwan , Maria Carmen Romano , Marco Thiel , Jürgen Kurths

This paper presents a new approach for analysing structural properties of time series from complex systems. Starting from the concept of recurrences in phase space, the recurrence matrix of a time series is interpreted as the adjacency…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-03-03 Reik V. Donner , Y. Zou , Jonathan F. Donges , Norbert Marwan , Juergen Kurths

In this article there is no intention to repeat basic concepts about risk management, but we will try to define why often is usefull the time series analysis during the assessment of risks, and how is possible to compute a significative…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-13 Gianluca Rosso

The emergent dynamics of complex systems often arise from the internal dynamical interactions among different elements and hence is to be modeled using multiple variables that represent the different dynamical processes. When such systems…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-05 Shivam Kumar , R. Misra , G. Ambika

Recurrence plots provide a graphical representation of the recurrent patterns in a timeseries, the quantification of which is a relatively new field. Here we derive analytical expressions which relate the values of key statistics, notably…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 T. K. March , S. C. Chapman , R. O. Dendy

Recurrence networks are a novel tool of nonlinear time series analysis allowing the characterisation of higher-order geometric properties of complex dynamical systems based on recurrences in phase space, which are a fundamental concept in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-04-07 Y. Zou , J. Heitzig , R. V. Donner , J. F. Donges , J. D. Farmer , R. Meucci , S. Euzzor , N. Marwan , J. Kurths

A high dimensional dynamical system is often studied by experimentalists through the measurement of a relatively low number of different quantities, called an observation. Following this idea and in the continuity of Boshernitzan's work,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-07-08 Jerôme Rousseau , Benoit Saussol

In this paper, we analyze several instrumental records of temperatures at different locations by using new techniques originally developed for the analysis of extreme values of dynamical systems. We show that they have the same recurrence…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-03-24 Davide Faranda , Sandro Vaienti

Under some mild condition, a random walk in the plane is recurrent. In particular each trajectory is dense, and a natural question is how much time one needs to approach a given small neighborhood of the origin. We address this question in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-09-18 Françoise Pène , Benoit Saussol

The last decade has witnessed a number of important and exciting developments that had been achieved for improving recurrence plot based data analysis and to widen its application potential. We will give a brief overview about important and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-09-09 Norbert Marwan , K. Hauke Kraemer

For non-uniformly hyperbolic dynamical systems we consider the time series of maxima along typical orbits. Using ideas based upon quantitative recurrence time statistics we prove convergence of the maxima (under suitable normalization) to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Mark Holland , Pau Rabassa , Alef Sterk

Complex networks are an important paradigm of modern complex systems sciences which allows quantitatively assessing the structural properties of systems composed of different interacting entities. During the last years, intensive efforts…

Studying event time series is a powerful approach for analyzing the dynamics of complex dynamical systems in many fields of science. In this paper, we describe the method of event coincidence analysis to provide a framework for quantifying…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-06 Jonathan F. Donges , Carl-Friedrich Schleussner , Jonatan F. Siegmund , Reik V. Donner

We present a method that allows to distinguish between nearly periodic and strictly periodic time series. To this purpose, we employ a conservative criterion for periodicity, namely that the time series can be interpolated by a periodic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-11 Gerrit Ansmann

We use point processes theory to describe the asymptotic distribution of all upper order statistics for observations collected at renewal times. As a corollary, we obtain limiting theorems for corresponding extremal processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić