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"Climate dice", describing the chance of unusually warm or cool seasons relative to climatology, have become progressively "loaded" in the past 30 years, coincident with rapid global warming. The distribution of seasonal mean temperature…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-09-12 James Hansen , Makiko Sato , Reto Ruedy

Climate variability over the past million years shows a strong glacial-interglacial cycle of ~100,000 years as a combined result of Milankovitch orbital forcing and climatic resonance. It has been suggested that anthropogenic contributions…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-07-24 Jacob Haqq-Misra

Ice sheets appeared in the northern hemisphere around 3 million years ago and glacial-interglacial cycles have paced Earth's climate since then. Superimposed on these long glacial cycles comes an intricate pattern of millennial and…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-03-19 Michel Crucifix

Arctic sea ice is rapidly retreating due to global warming, and emerging evidence suggests that the rate of decline may have been underestimated. A key factor contributing to this underestimation is the coarse resolution of current climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-10 Ruijian Gou , Gerrit Lohmann , Deliang Chen , Shiming Xu , Ruiqi Shu , Shaoqing Zhang , Lixin Wu

The Milankovitch theory states that the orbital eccentricity, precession, and obliquity of the Earth influence our climate by modulating the summer insolation at high latitudes in the northern hemisphere. Despite considerable success of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-12 Fabo Feng , C. A. L. Bailer-Jones

Shaviv (2003) has shown evidence for a correlation between variations in the Galactic cosmic ray flux reaching Earth and the glaciation period record on Earth during the last 2 Gyr. If the flux of cosmic rays is mainly the result of Type II…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 R. de la Fuente Marcos , C. de la Fuente Marcos

Improved knowledge of glacial-to-interglacial global temperature change implies that fast-feedback equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is 1.2 +/- 0.3{\deg}C (2$\sigma$) per W/m$^2$. Consistent analysis of temperature over the full…

We present a phase-space model that simulates Pleistocene ice volume changes based on Earth's orbital parameters. Terminations in the model are triggered by a combination of ice volume and orbital forcing and agree well with age estimates…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-19 John Z. Imbrie , Annabel Imbrie-Moore , Lorraine E. Lisiecki

Synoptic magnetograms and relevant proxy data were analyzed to study the evolution of the Sun's polar magnetic fields. Time-latitude analysis of large-scale magnetic fields demonstrates cyclic changes in their zonal structure and the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-27 A. V. Mordvinov , L. L. Kitchatinov

Paleoclimate proxies reveal abrupt transitions of the North Atlantic climate during past glacial intervals known as Dansgaard--Oeschger (DO) events. A central feature of DO events is a sudden warming of about 10$^{\circ}$C in Greenland…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-29 Keno Riechers , Georg Gottwald , Niklas Boers

We discuss 3D global simulations of the early Martian climate that we have performed assuming a faint young Sun and denser CO2 atmosphere. We include a self-consistent representation of the water cycle, with atmosphere-surface interactions,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2012-11-26 R. Wordsworth , F. Forget , E. Millour , J. Head , J. -B. Madeleine , B. Charnay

Tidally locked terrestrial planets around low-mass stars are the prime targets for future atmospheric characterizations of potentially habitable systems, especially the three nearby ones--Proxima b, TRAPPIST-1e, and LHS 1140b. Previous…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-25 Jun Yang , Weiwen Ji , Yaoxuan Zeng

The "edge" of the Antarctic polar vortex is known to behave as a barrier to the meridional (poleward) transport of ozone during the austral winter. This chemical isolation of the polar vortex from the middle and low latitudes produces an…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Gary Froyland , Adam Monahan

Since the beginning of satellite observations, the Arctic sea ice extent has shown a downward trend. The decline has been weaker in the March maximum than in the September minimum and masked by inter-annual fluctuations. One of the less…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-08-23 Peter D. Ditlevsen , Ivana Cvijanovic

What was the nature of the Late Hesperian climate? Warm and wet or cold and dry? Formulated this way the question leads to an apparent paradox since both options seem implausible. A warm and wet climate would have produced extensive fluvial…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-03 Schmidt F. , Way M. J. , Costard F. , Bouley S. , Séjourné A. , Aleinov I

Understanding how sea ice melts is critical to climate projections. In the Arctic, melt ponds that develop on the surface of sea ice floes during the late spring and summer largely determine their albedo -- a key parameter in climate…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2017-11-28 Ivan Sudakov , Sergey A. Vakulenko , Kenneth M. Golden

Earth's climate can be understood as a dynamical system that changes due to external forcing and internal couplings. Essential climate variables, such as surface air temperature, describe this dynamics. Our current interglacial, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-24 Beatrice Ellerhoff , Kira Rehfeld

We report on a set of laboratory experiments to investigate the effect of Arctic warming on the amplitude and drift speed of the mid-latitude jet stream. Our results show that a progressive decrease of the meridional temperature difference…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-27 Costanza Rodda , Uwe Harlander , Miklos Vincze

Earth's earliest sedimentary record contains evidence that surface temperatures were similar to, or perhaps even warmer than modern. In contrast, standard Solar models suggest the Sun was 25% less luminous at this ancient epoch, implying a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-04-03 Christopher Spalding , Woodward W. Fischer

Holocene (the last 12,000 years) temperature variation, including the transition out of the last Ice Age to a warmer climate, is reconstructed at multiple locations in southern Finland, Sweden and Estonia based on pollen fossil data from…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-06 Lasse Holmström , Liisa Ilvonen , Heikki Seppä , Siim Veski