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Along with the accumulation of atmospheric carbon dioxide, the loss of primary forests and other natural ecosystems is a major disruption of the Earth system causing global concern. Quantifying planetary warming from carbon emissions,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-28 Anastassia M. Makarieva , Andrei V. Nefiodov , Anja Rammig , Antonio Donato Nobre

There is argument as to the extent to which there has been an increase over the past few decades in the frequency of the extremes of climatic parameters, such as temperature, storminess, precipitation, etc, an obvious point being that…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-03-19 A. D. Erlykin , B. A. Laken , A. W. Wolfendale

The effect of warming on severe convective storm potential is commonly explained in terms of changes in vertically-integrated ("bulk") environmental parameters, such as CAPE and 0--6 km shear. However, such events are known to depend on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-19 Isaac Davis , Funing Li , Daniel Chavas

The attribution of part of global warming to changes in the total solar irradiance (TSI) is an important topic which is not, yet, fully understood. Here, we examine the TSI induced temperature (T) changes on a variety of time scales, from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Anatoly Erlykin , Arnold Wolfendale

Two future scenarios that are not explicitly in the range of scenarios (the Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios) utilised by the IPCC. These two scenarios are the emissions trend under peak fossil fuel (for example, Mohr et al.,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-15 L. Mark W. Leggett , David. A. Ball

The Fisher Ideal index, developed to measure price inflation, is applied to define a population-weighted temperature trend. This method has the advantages that the trend is representative for the population distribution throughout the…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-16 Richard S. J. Tol

The IPCC AR6 assessment of the impacts and risks associated with projected climate changes for the 21st century is both alarming and ambiguous. According to computer projections, the global surface may warm from 1.3 to 8.0 {\deg}C by 2100,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-18 Nicola Scafetta

What is certain is that surface temperatures around the globe vary considerably, regardless of the time scales or underlying causes. Since 1850, we have observed an average increase in global surface temperature anomalies of 1.2$^{\circ}$…

This paper is a continuation of a study by Douglass and Clader. We extend the analysis through December 2003 using the latest updates of the observational temperature and solar irradiance data sets in addition to a new volcano proxy data…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 David H. Douglass , B. David Clader , Robert S. Knox

As IPCC ARs stated, global warming is estimated based on the average from 1850 to 1900 (global average temperature of preindustrialization estimated from relatively sparse observations). Given the impossibility of massive increasing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-10 Qingxiang Li , Zichen Li , Xuqian Li , Zengyun Hu , Aiguo Dai , Wenjie Dong , Boyin Huang , Zhihong Jiang , Panmao Zhai , Tianjun Zhou , Phil Jones

Like any fluid heated from below, the atmosphere is subject to vertical instability which triggers convection. Convection occurs on small time and space scales, which makes it a challenging feature to include in climate models. Usually…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Corentin Herbert , Didier Paillard

Molecular oxygen in our atmosphere has increased from less than a part per million in the Archean Eon, to a fraction of a percent in the Proterozoic, and finally to modern levels during the Phanerozoic. The ozone layer formed with the early…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-25 Russell Deitrick , Colin Goldblatt

The hydrologic cycle has wide impacts on the ocean salinity and circulation, carbon and nitrogen cycles, and the ecosystem. Under anthropogenic global warming, previous studies showed that the intensification of the hydrologic cycle is a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-06 Jiachen Liu , Jun Yang , Feng Ding , Gang Chen , Yongyun Hu

With climate change, we are expecting more frequent extreme weather events in many regions worldwide. These events can trigger disruptive, deadly natural hazards, which catch the attention of the media and raise awareness in citizens and…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-17 Marco Loche , Gianvito Scaringi

While the warming trends of the Earth's mean temperature are evident at climatological scales, the local temperature at shorter timescales are highly fluctuating. In this letter we show that the probabilities of such fluctuations are…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-21 Jun Yin , Amilcare Porporato , Lamberto Rondoni

Earlier meta-analyses of the economic impact of climate change are updated with more data, with three new results: (1) The central estimate of the economic impact of global warming is always negative. (2) The confidence interval about the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-30 Richard S. J. Tol

Low-order climate models can play an important role in understanding low-frequency variability in the atmospheric circulation and how forcing consistent with anthropogenic climate change may affect this variability. Here, we study a…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-04 Bernardo Maraldi , Henk Dijkstra , Michael Ghil

Trend-Run model was performed to estimate the trend in surface temperatures recorded at 12 sites in Guinea from 1960 to 2016 and to examine the contribution of each climate forcing. The coefficient of determination (R 2) calculated varies…

Starting from a classical Budyko-Sellers-Ghil energy balance model for the average surface temperature of the Earth, a nonautonomous version is designed by allowing the solar irradiance and the cloud cover coefficients to vary with time in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-25 Iacopo P. Longo , Rafael Obaya , Ana M. Sanz

Increases in atmospheric CO2 and CH4 result from a combination of forcing from anthropogenic emissions and Earth System feedbacks that reduce or amplify the effects of those emissions on atmospheric concentrations. Despite decades of…

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