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Quantitative understanding of human behaviors provides elementary comprehension of the complexity of many human-initiated systems. A basic assumption embedded in the previous analyses on human dynamics is that its temporal statistics are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-07-31 Tao Zhou , Xiaopu Han , Binghong Wang

This paper describes the use of the idea of natural time to propose a new method for characterizing the seismic risk to the world's major cities at risk of earthquakes. Rather than focus on forecasting, which is the computation of…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-12-06 John B Rundle , Molly Luginbuhl , Alexis Giguere , Donald L Turcotte

Hysteresis, the lag between the force and the response, is often associated with noisy, jerky motion which have recently been called ``avalanches''. The interesting question is why the avalanches come in such a variety of sizes: naively one…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-02-03 James P. Sethna , Olga Perkovic , Karin A. Dahmen

Having reliable estimates of the occurrence rates of extreme events is highly important for insurance companies, government agencies and the general public. The rarity of an extreme event is typically expressed through its return period,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Ross Towe , Jonathan Tawn , Emma Eastoe , Rob Lamb

We provide a general model for Brownian motions on metric graphs with interactions. In a general setting, for (sticky) Brownian propagations on edges, our model provides a characterization of lifetimes and holding times on vertices in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Fausto Colantoni , Mirko D'Ovidio , Flavia Tavani

We show that seismic waiting time distributions in California and Iceland have many features in common as, for example, a power-law decay with exponent $\alpha \approx 1.1$ for intermediate and with exponent $\gamma \approx 0.6$ for short…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Jörn Davidsen , Christian Goltz

Aftershock sequences are of particular interest in seismic research since they may condition seismic activity in a given region over long time spans. While they are typically identified with periods of enhanced seismic activity after a…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Tiago P. Peixoto , Katharina Doblhoff-Dier , Jörn Davidsen

The very large transverse momenta and large multiplicities available in present LHC experiments on pp collisions allow a much closer look at the corresponding distributions. Some time ago we discussed a possible physical meaning of apparent…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-11-27 Grzegorz Wilk , Zbigniew Wlodarczyk

We study the statistics of simulated earthquakes in a quasistatic model of two parallel heterogeneous faults within a slowly driven elastic tectonic plate. The probability that one fault remains dormant while the other is active for a time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 M. W. Lee , D. Sornette , L. Knopoff

Turbulence, namely, irregular fluctuations in space and time characterize fluid flows in general and atmospheric flows in particular.The irregular,i.e., nonlinear space-time fluctuations on all scales contribute to the unpredictable nature…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. S. Pethkar , A. M. Selvam

We consider the frequency at which avoided crossings appear in an energy level structure when an external field is applied to a quantum chaotic system. The distribution of the spacing in the parameter between two adjacent avoided crossings…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 Manabu Machida , Keiji Saito

The occurrence of extreme events like heavy precipitation or storms at a certain location often shows a clustering behaviour and is thus not described well by a Poisson process. We construct a general model for the inter-exceedance times in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Christina Mathieu , Katharina Hees , Roland Fried

This paper presents an analysis on the distribution of periods between consecutive reversals of the Earth's magnetic field. The analysis includes the randomness of polarities, whether the data corresponding to different periods belong to a…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Cosme F. Ponte-Neto , Andres R. R. Papa

We show that the distribution of waiting times between earthquakes occurring in California obeys a simple unified scaling law valid from tens of seconds to tens of years, see Eq. (1) and Fig. 4. The short time clustering, commonly referred…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Per Bak , Kim Christensen , Leon Danon , Tim Scanlon

The empirical Bath's law is derived from the magnitude-difference statistical distribution of earthquake pairs. The pair distribution related to earthquake correlations is presented. The single-event distribution of dynamically correlated…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-06-16 Bogdan Felix Apostol

The basic purpose of the paper is to draw the attention of researchers to new possibilities of differentiation of similar signals having different nature. One of examples of such kind of signals is presented by seismograms containing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Renat Yulmetyev , Fail Gafarov , Peter Hänggi , Raoul Nigmatullin , Shamil Kayumov

Earthquake phenomenology exhibits a number of power law distributions including the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-size statistics and the Omori law for aftershock decay rates. In search for a basic model that renders correct predictions on…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Amit P. Mehta , Karin A. Dahmen , Yehuda Ben-Zion

We report a similarity of fluctuations in equilibrium critical phenomena and non-equilibrium systems, which is based on the concept of natural time. The world-wide seismicity as well as that of San Andreas fault system and Japan are…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. A. Varotsos , N. V. Sarlis , H. K. Tanaka , E. S. Skordas

The concept of memory is of central importance for characterizing complex systems and phenomena. Presence of long-term memories indicates how their dynamics can be less sensitive to initial conditions compared to the chaotic cases. On the…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-11 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

Earthquakes are complex physical processes driven by the stick-slip motion of a sliding fault. After the main quake, a series of aftershocks typically follows. These are loosely defined as events that follow a given event and occur within…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-12 Pinaki Kumar , Roberto Benzi , Jeannot Trampert , Federico Toschi