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We examine a family of intrinsic performance measures in terms of probability distributions that generalize Hellinger distance and Fisher information. They are applied to quantum metrology to assess the uncertainty in the detection of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-03-20 Alfredo Luis , Alfonso Rodil

Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled probabilistic approach to study and rank competing models. In standard BMC, we construct a discrete probability distribution over the set of possible models, conditional on the observed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-22 Marvin Schmitt , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

A theory of measurement uncertainty is presented, which, since it is based exclusively on the Bayesian approach and on the subjective concept of conditional probability, is applicable in the most general cases. The recent International…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 G. D'Agostini

In two recent articles we have examined a generalization of the binomial distribution associated with a sequence of positive numbers, involving asymmetric expressions of probabilities that break the symmetry {\it win-loss}. We present in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 H. Bergeron , E. M. F. Curado , J. P. Gazeau , Ligia M. C. S. Rodrigues

The role of impossibilities in theories of Physics is mentioned and a recent result is recalled in which Quantum Mechanics is characterized by three information-theoretic impossibilities. The inconvenience of the asymmetries established by…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Elemer E Rosinger

Computational models in chemistry rely on a number of approximations. The effect of such approximations on observables derived from them is often unpredictable. Therefore, it is challenging to quantify the uncertainty of a computational…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-04-21 Gregor N. Simm , Jonny Proppe , Markus Reiher

Incompatible, i.e. non-jointly measurable quantum measurements are a necessary resource for many information processing tasks. It is known that increasing the number of distinct measurements usually enhances the incompatibility of a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-09-28 Lucas Tendick , Hermann Kampermann , Dagmar Bruß

Motivated by applications to goodness of fit testing, the empirical likelihood approach is generalized to allow for the number of constraints to grow with the sample size and for the constraints to use estimated criteria functions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Hanxiang Peng , Anton Schick

Supervised machine learning and predictive models have achieved an impressive standard today, enabling us to answer questions that were inconceivable a few years ago. Besides these successes, it becomes clear, that beyond pure prediction,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-29 Cornelia Gruber , Patrick Oliver Schenk , Malte Schierholz , Frauke Kreuter , Göran Kauermann

Bayesian inference can quantify uncertainty in the predictions of neural networks using posterior distributions for model parameters and network output. By looking at these posterior distributions, one can separate the origin of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 H. Linander , O. Balabanov , H. Yang , B. Mehlig

For some estimations and predictions, we solve minimization problems with asymmetric loss functions. Usually, we estimate the coefficient of regression for these problems. In this paper, we do not make such the estimation, but rather give a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Naoya Yamaguchi , Yuka Yamaguchi , Ryuei Nishii

Probability forecasts are intended to account for the uncertainties inherent in forecasting. It is suggested that from an end-user's point of view probability is not necessarily sufficient to reflect uncertainties that are not simply the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-22 Kevin Judd

Owing to their periodic and intricate configurations, metamaterials engineered for acoustic and elastic wave control inevitably suffer from manufacturing anomalies and deviate from theoretical dispersion predictions. This work exploits the…

Applied Physics · Physics 2020-08-12 H. Al Ba'ba'a , S. Nandi , T. Singh , M. Nouh

We study the impacts of incomplete information on centralized one-to-one matching markets. We focus on the commonly used Deferred Acceptance mechanism (Gale and Shapley, 1962). We show that many complete-information results are fragile to a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-07-12 Marcelo Ariel Fernandez , Kirill Rudov , Leeat Yariv

We describe a setup for obtaining uncertainty relations for arbitrary pairs of observables related by Fourier transform. The physical examples discussed here are standard position and momentum, number and angle, finite qudit systems, and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-01-18 Reinhard F. Werner

The problems and solutions contained here, all associated with nonlinear recurrences and long-term trends, are new (as far as is known).

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Steven Finch

The current study aims to examine uncertainty relations for measurements from generalized equiangular tight frames. Informationally overcomplete measurements are a valuable tool in quantum information processing, including tomography and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-09-24 Alexey E. Rastegin

We analyze various uncertainty measures for spatial diffusion processes. In this manifestly non-quantum setting, we focus on the existence issue of complementary pairs whose joint dispersion measure has strictly positive lower bound.

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Piotr Garbaczewski

Due to their intuitive appeal, Bayesian methods of modeling and uncertainty quantification have become popular in modern machine and deep learning. When providing a prior distribution over the parameter space, it is straightforward to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Ivan Melev , Goeran Kauermann

The paper deals with measures of nonlinearity. In state estimation, they are utilized i) to select a suitable state estimation algorithm by assessing the nonlinearity of a system model, ii) to adapt the estimation algorithm structure or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-10 Ondřej Straka , Jindřich Havlík