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We develop methods, based on extreme value theory, for analysing observations in the tails of longitudinal data, i.e., a data set consisting of a large number of short time series, which are typically irregularly and non-simultaneously…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-10 Jess Spearing , Jonathan Tawn , David Irons , Tim Paulden

A novel algorithm is introduced to improve estimations of daily streamflow time series at sites with incomplete records based on the concept of conditional independence in graphical models. The goal is to fill in gaps of historical data or…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-07 German A. Villalba , Xu Liang , Yao Liang

Joint models are a common and important tool in the intersection of machine learning and the physical sciences, particularly in contexts where real-world measurements are scarce. Recent developments in rainfall-runoff modeling, one of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Guy Shalev , Ran El-Yaniv , Daniel Klotz , Frederik Kratzert , Asher Metzger , Sella Nevo

Performing molecular dynamics simulations, we investigate the enormous slowdowns of water dynamics when approaching a glass transition or a solid interface. We show that both effects can be described on common grounds within a theoretical…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-19 Felix Klameth , Michael Vogel

In recent years, the paradigms of data-driven science have become essential components of physical sciences, particularly in geophysical disciplines such as climatology. The field of hydrology is one of these disciplines where machine…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Martin Gauch , Jimmy Lin

Previous studies showed that hydro-climate processes are stochastic and complex systems, and it is difficult to discover the hidden patterns in the all non-stationary data and thoroughly understand the hydro-climate relationships. For the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-02 Jianhua Xu

Hydroclimatic time series analysis focuses on a few feature types (e.g., autocorrelations, trends, extremes), which describe a small portion of the entire information content of the observations. Aiming to exploit a larger part of the…

We experimentally investigate the effect of salinity and atmospheric humidity on the drainage and lifetime of thin liquid films motivated by conditions relevant to air-sea exchanges. We show that the drainage is independent of humidity and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-06-11 Tristan Aurégan , Luc Deike

Elastic wave speeds are fundamental in geomechanics and have historically been described by an analytic formula that assumes linearly elastic solid medium. Empirical relations stemming from this assumption were used to determine nonlinearly…

Classical Physics · Physics 2023-12-05 David M. Riley , Itai Einav , François Guillard

Water balance models (WBMs) are often employed to understand regional hydrologic cycles over various time scales. Most WBMs, however, are physically-based, and few employ state-of-the-art statistical methods to reconcile independent input…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-18 Joeseph P. Smith , Andrew D. Gronewold

One of the crucial steps in scientific studies is to specify dependent relationships among factors in a system of interest. Given little knowledge of a system, can we characterize the underlying dependent relationships through observation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-12-24 Shohei Hidaka

In geostatistics, it is common to model spatially distributed phenomena through an underlying stationary and isotropic spatial process. However, these assumptions are often untenable in practice because of the influence of local effects in…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-29 Brian J. Reich , Jo Eidsvik , Michele Guindani , Amy J. Nail , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Deterministic hydrological models with uncertain, but inferred-to-be-time-invariant parameters typically show time-dependent model structural errors. Such errors can occur if a hydrological process is active in certain time periods in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-09 Han-Fang Hsueh , Anneli Guthke , Thomas Wöhling , Wolfgang Nowak

Precipitation is one of the most important meteorological variables for defining the climate dynamics, but the spatial patterns of precipitation have not been fully investigated yet. The complex network theory, which provides a robust tool…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-08-22 Stefania Scarsoglio , Francesco Laio , Luca Ridolfi

A multi-time probing of density fluctuations is introduced to investigate hidden time scales of heterogeneous dynamics in glass-forming liquids. Molecular dynamics simulations for simple glass-forming liquids are performed, and a three-time…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-06-15 Kang Kim , Shinji Saito

We consider the stochastic control problem of the shallow lake and continue the work of G. T. Kossioris, Loulakis, and Souganidis (2019) in three directions. First, we generalise the characterisation of the value function as the viscosity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Angeliki Koutsimpela , Michail Loulakis

Power law size distribution is found to associate with fractal, self-organized behaviors and patterns of complex systems. Such distribution also emerges from natural lakes, with potentially important links to the dynamics of lake systems.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-09 Shengjie Hu , Zhenlei Yang , Sergio Torres , Zipeng Wang , Ling Li

Leveraging available measurements of our environment can help us understand complex processes. One example is Argo Biogeochemical data, which aims to collect measurements of oxygen, nitrate, pH, and other variables at varying depths in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-02 Moritz Korte-Stapff , Drew Yarger , Stilian Stoev , Tailen Hsing

Noisy scattering dynamics in the randomly driven H\'enon-Heiles system is investigated in the range of initial energies where the motion is unbounded. In this paper we study, with the help of the exit basins and the escape time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-12 Mattia Coccolo , Jesús M. Seoane , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán

Reliable angler activity data inform fisheries management. Traditionally, such data are gathered through surveys, but an innovative cost-effective approach involves utilizing online platforms and smartphone applications. These…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-22 Azar Taheri Tayebi , Julia S. Schmid , Sean Simmons , Mark S. Poesch , Mark A. Lewis , Pouria Ramazi
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