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We investigate hide-and-seek games on complex networks using a random walk framework. Specifically, we investigate the efficiency of various degree-biased random walk search strategies to locate items that are randomly hidden on a subset of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-20 Shubham Pandey , Reimer Kuehn

We introduce and study Maker/Breaker-type positional games on random graphs. Our main concern is to determine the threshold probability $p_{F}$ for the existence of Maker's strategy to claim a member of $F$ in the unbiased game played on…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Milos Stojakovic , Tibor Szabo

Maddox, et al. [9, 10] establish Bayesian methods for estimating home-team in-game win probability for college and NBA basketball. This paper introduces a Bayesian approach for estimating in-game home-team win probability for Division-I FBS…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-29 Jason T. Maddox , Ryan Sides , Jane L. Harvill

Ladder tournaments are widely used to rank individuals in real-world organizations and games. Their mathematical properties however are still poorly understood. We formalize the ranking rule generated by a ladder tournament, and we show…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Roland Pongou , Bertrand Tchantcho , Narcisse Tedjeugang

There is an innate human tendency, one might call it the "league table mentality," to construct rankings. Schools, hospitals, sports teams, movies, and myriad other objects are ranked even though their inherent multi-dimensionality would…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-16 Jiaying Gu , Roger Koenker

The objective of the present study is to present a computational model of the motion of a single athlete in a team and to compare the resulting trajectory with experimental data obtained in the field during competitions by match analysis…

Biological Physics · Physics 2008-11-25 E. Grimpampi , A. Pasculli , A. Sacripanti

Machine learning models have demonstrated remarkable success in sports prediction in the past years, often treating sports prediction as a classification task within the field. This paper introduces new perspectives for analyzing sports…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Yuanhong Wu , Isaiah Smith , Tushar Marwah , Michael Schroeter , Mohamed Rahouti , D. Frank Hsu

Randomized rankings have been of recent interest to achieve ex-ante fairer exposure and better robustness than deterministic rankings. We propose a set of natural axioms for randomized group-fair rankings and prove that there exists a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Sruthi Gorantla , Amit Deshpande , Anand Louis

From the viewpoint of networks, a ranking system for players or teams in sports is equivalent to a centrality measure for sports networks, whereby a directed link represents the result of a single game. Previously proposed network-based…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-07 Shun Motegi , Naoki Masuda

Consider a collection of m competing machine learning algorithms. Given their performance on a benchmark of datasets, we would like to identify the best performing algorithm. Specifically, which algorithm is most likely to ``win'' (rank…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Amichai Painsky

University or college rankings have almost become an industry of their own, published by US News \& World Report (USNWR) and similar organizations. Most of the rankings use a similar scheme: Rank universities in decreasing score order,…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Ali Dasdan , Eric Van Lare , Bosko Zivaljevic

The standard mathematical approach to fourth-down decision making in American football is to make the decision that maximizes estimated win probability. Win probability estimates arise from machine learning models fit from historical data.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-03 Ryan S. Brill , Ronald Yurko , Abraham J. Wyner

This memo compares two methods, Powerwise (PWR) and the NCAA Power Index (NPI), that aim to rank NCAA Division I, II, and III teams on the basis of deservedness of an invite to end-of-season championship tournaments. It find that while the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-15 Lawrence Feldman , Matthew Bomparola

Many enthusiasts and experts publish forecasts of the order players are drafted into professional sports leagues, known as mock drafts. Using a novel dataset of mock drafts for the National Basketball Association (NBA), we analyze authors'…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-28 Jared D. Fisher , Colin Montague

Decision-making often involves ranking and selection. For example, to assemble a team of political forecasters, we might begin by narrowing our choice set to the candidates we are confident rank among the top 10% in forecasting ability.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-04 Dillon Bowen

We study the problem of selecting the top-k candidates from a pool of applicants, where each candidate is associated with a score indicating his/her aptitude. Depending on the specific scenario, such as job search or college admissions,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Giorgio Barnabo' , Carlos Castillo , Michael Mathioudakis , Sergio Celis

Online learning to rank is a sequential decision-making problem where in each round the learning agent chooses a list of items and receives feedback in the form of clicks from the user. Many sample-efficient algorithms have been proposed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-20 Tor Lattimore , Branislav Kveton , Shuai Li , Csaba Szepesvari

The task of ranking individuals or teams, based on a set of comparisons between pairs, arises in various contexts, including sporting competitions and the analysis of dominance hierarchies among animals and humans. Given data on which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-21 M. E. J. Newman

Balanced knockout tournaments are ubiquitous in sports competitions and are also used in decision-making and elections. The traditional computational question, that asks to compute a draw (optimal draw) that maximizes the winning…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-19 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Rasmus Ibsen-Jensen , Josef Tkadlec

We study the following repeated non-atomic routing game. In every round, nature chooses a state in an i.i.d. manner according to a publicly known distribution, which influences link latency functions. The system planner makes private route…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-26 Yixian Zhu , Ketan Savla