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This article addresses online variational estimation in parametric state-space models. We propose a new procedure for efficiently computing the evidence lower bound and its gradient in a streaming-data setting, where observations arrive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Mathis Chagneux , Mathias Müller , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson

We present unbiased, finite--variance estimators of energy derivatives for real--space diffusion Monte Carlo calculations within the fixed--node approximation. The derivative $d_\lambda E$ is fully consistent with the dependence…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-05-20 Jesse van Rhijn , Claudia Filippi , Stefania De Palo , Saverio Moroni

Diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) is being recognized as a higher-accuracy, albeit more computationally expensive, alternative to Density Functional Theory (DFT) for energy predictions of catalytic systems. A major computational bottleneck in the…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-10-12 Gopal R. Iyer , Brenda M. Rubenstein

In this paper, we propose a new stochastic optimization algorithm for Bayesian inference based on multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods. In Bayesian statistics, biased estimators of the model evidence have been often used as stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Kei Ishikawa , Takashi Goda

In quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) methods, energy estimators are calculated as the statistical average of the Markov chain sampling of energy estimator along with an associated statistical error. This error estimation is not straightforward and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-04-26 Tom Ichibha , Kenta Hongo , Ryo Maezono , Alex J. W. Thom

Accurate ab initio calculations are of fundamental importance in physics, chemistry, biology, and materials science, which have witnessed rapid development in the last couple of years with the help of machine learning computational…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-10-27 Yubing Qian , Weizhong Fu , Weiluo Ren , Ji Chen

We develop new unbiased estimators of a number of quantities defined for functions of conditional moments, like conditional expectations and variances, of functions of two independent random variables given the first variable, including…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-03 Tomasz Badowski

We introduce a variant of the Hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm to address large-deviation statistics in stochastic hydrodynamics. Based on the path-integral approach to stochastic (partial) differential equations, our HMC algorithm…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-29 G. Margazoglou , L. Biferale , R. Grauer , K. Jansen , D. Mesterházy , T. Rosenow , R. Tripiccione

We propose a gradient-free deep reinforcement learning algorithm to solve high-dimensional, finite-horizon stochastic control problems. Although the recently developed deep reinforcement learning framework has achieved great success in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Liyao Lyu , Jingrun Chen

We develop a method to combine Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and variational inference (VI), leveraging the advantages of both inference approaches. Specifically, we improve the variational distribution by running a few MCMC steps. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-29 Francisco J. R. Ruiz , Michalis K. Titsias

We develop a variational Monte Carlo (VMC) method for electron-phonon coupled systems. The VMC method has been extensively used for investigating strongly correlated electrons over the last decades. However, its applications to…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2014-06-02 Takahiro Ohgoe , Masatoshi Imada

Traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods suffer from low acceptance rate, slow mixing and low efficiency in high dimensions. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo resolves this issue by avoiding the random walk. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Amir Hajian

Reliable theoretical predictions of noncovalent interaction energies, which are important e.g. in drug-design and hydrogen-storage applications, belong to longstanding challenges of contemporary quantum chemistry. In this respect, the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2016-06-06 Matúš Dubecký , René Derian , Petr Jurečka , Lubos Mitas , Pavel Hobza , Michal Otyepka

We extend Quantum Computing Quantum Monte Carlo (QCQMC) beyond ground-state energy estimation by systematically constructing the quantum circuits used for state preparation. Replacing the original Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE)…

This paper presents a perspective in which Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) is viewed not in its traditional role as an algorithm for solving the Boltzmann equation but as a numerical method for statistical mechanics. First, analytical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-15 Alejandro L. Garcia

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods rely on a hierarchy of possibly less accurate but statistically correlated simplified or reduced models, in order to accelerate the estimation of statistics of high-fidelity models without compromising the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-29 Alessio Quaglino , Simone Pezzuto , Rolf Krause

In the last decade, sequential Monte-Carlo methods (SMC) emerged as a key tool in computational statistics. These algorithms approximate a sequence of distributions by a sequence of weighted empirical measures associated to a weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 R. Douc , France E. Moulines

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods for estimating integrals are attractive since the resulting estimators typically converge at a faster rate than pseudo-random Monte Carlo. However, they can be difficult to set up on arbitrary posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Tobias Schwedes , Ben Calderhead

Computing the variance of a conditional expectation has often been of importance in uncertainty quantification. Sun et al. has introduced an unbiased nested Monte Carlo estimator, which they call $1\frac{1}{2}$-level simulation since the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-09 Takashi Goda

We propose a new framework for Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) on truncated probability distributions with smooth underlying density functions. Traditional HMC requires computing the gradient of potential function associated with the target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-12 Kexin Yi , Finale Doshi-Velez