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Probabilistic reasoning systems combine different probabilistic rules and probabilistic facts to arrive at the desired probability values of consequences. In this paper we describe the MESA-algorithm (Maximum Entropy by Simulated Annealing)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Gerhard Paaß

It is shown that a consistent application of Bayesian updating from a prior probability density to a posterior using evidence in the form of expectation constraints leads to exactly the same results as the application of the maximum entropy…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-02 Sergio Davis

We use the method of Maximum (relative) Entropy to process information in the form of observed data and moment constraints. The generic "canonical" form of the posterior distribution for the problem of simultaneous updating with data and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Adom Giffin , Ariel Caticha

Mixed modeling of extreme values and random effects is relatively unexplored topic. Computational difficulties in using the maximum likelihood method for mixed models and the fact that maximum likelihood method uses available data and does…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-05 Ali Reza Fotouhi

Entropy Search (ES) and Predictive Entropy Search (PES) are popular and empirically successful Bayesian Optimization techniques. Both rely on a compelling information-theoretic motivation, and maximize the information gained about the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-06 Zi Wang , Stefanie Jegelka

We establish the theoretical framework for implementing the maximumn entropy on the mean (MEM) method for linear inverse problems in the setting of approximate (data-driven) priors. We prove a.s. convergence for empirical means and further…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-25 Matthew King-Roskamp , Rustum Choksi , Tim Hoheisel

The conditional maximum-entropy method (abbreviated here as C-MaxEnt) is formulated for selecting prior probability distributions in Bayesian statistics for parameter estimation. This method is inspired by a statistical-mechanical approach…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-18 Sumiyoshi Abe

To handle with inverse problems, two probabilistic approaches have been proposed: the maximum entropy on the mean (MEM) and the Bayesian estimation (BAYES). The main object of this presentation is to compare these two approaches which are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Mohammad-Djafari

We describe a method to computationally estimate the probability density function of a univariate random variable by applying the maximum entropy principle with some local conditions given by Gaussian functions. The estimation errors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-21 Mihail-Ioan Pop

It has been shown that one can accommodate data (Bayes) and constraints (MaxEnt) in one method, the method of Maximum (relative) Entropy (ME) (Giffin 2007). In this paper we show a complex agent based example of inference with two different…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-08 Adom Giffin

This paper modifies Jaynes's axioms of plausible reasoning and derives the minimum relative entropy principle, Bayes's rule, as well as maximum likelihood from first principles. The new axioms, which I call the Optimum Information…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-03-30 Alexis Akira Toda

Bayesian hierarchical models are frequently used in practical data analysis contexts. One interpretation of these models is that they provide an indirect way of assigning a prior for unknown parameters, through the introduction of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-01 Brendon J. Brewer

A common statistical situation concerns inferring an unknown distribution Q(x) from a known distribution P(y), where X (dimension n), and Y (dimension m) have a known functional relationship. Most commonly, n<m, and the task is relatively…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-01 Jayajit Das , Sayak Mukherjee , Susan E. Hodge

Maximum Entropy is a powerful concept that entails a sharp separation between relevant and irrelevant variables. It is typically invoked in inference, once an assumption is made on what the relevant variables are, in order to estimate a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-09 Luigi Gresele , Matteo Marsili

Problems of probabilistic inference and decision making under uncertainty commonly involve continuous random variables. Often these are discretized to a few points, to simplify assessments and computations. An alternative approximation is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 William B. Poland , Ross D. Shachter

The major problem in information theoretic analysis of neural responses and other biological data is the reliable estimation of entropy--like quantities from small samples. We apply a recently introduced Bayesian entropy estimator to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-09-29 Ilya Nemenman , William Bialek , Rob de Ruyter van Steveninck

The ongoing unprecedented exponential explosion of available computing power, has radically transformed the methods of statistical inference. What used to be a small minority of statisticians advocating for the use of priors and a strict…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Carlos C. Rodriguez

A brief discussion is given of the traditional version of the Maximum Entropy Method, including a review of some of the criticism that has been made in regard to its use in statistical inference. Motivated by these questions, a modified…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-09-12 Robert Kariotis

We show that Skilling's method of induction leads to a unique general theory of inductive inference, the method of Maximum relative Entropy (ME). The main tool for updating probabilities is the logarithmic relative entropy; other entropies…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Ariel Caticha , Adom Giffin

The Principle of Maximum Entropy is a rigorous technique for estimating an unknown distribution given partial information while simultaneously minimizing bias. However, an important requirement for applying the principle is that the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Kenneth Bogert , Matthew Kothe