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We introduce a new statistical tool (the TP-statistic and TE-statistic) designed specifically to compare the behavior of the sample tail of distributions with power-law and exponential tails as a function of the lower threshold u. One…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 V. F. Pisarenko , D. Sornette

To account quantitatively for many reported ``natural'' fat tail distributions in Nature and Economy, we propose the stretched exponential family as a complement to the often used power law distributions. It has many advantages, among which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean Laherrère , D. Sornette

Financial time series typically exhibit strong fluctuations that cannot be described by a Gaussian distribution. In recent empirical studies of stock market indices it was examined whether the distribution P(r) of returns r(tau) after some…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ofer Biham , Zhi-Feng Huang , Ofer Malcai , Sorin Solomon

The higher-end tail of the wealth distribution in India is studied using recently published lists of the wealth of richest Indians between the years 2002-4. The resulting rank distribution seems to imply a power-law tail for the wealth…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Sitabhra Sinha

We investigate the shape of the Italian personal income distribution using microdata from the Survey on Household Income and Wealth, made publicly available by the Bank of Italy for the years 1977--2002. We find that the upper tail of the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-01-31 F. Clementi , M. Gallegati

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

The double Pareto distribution is a heavy-tailed distribution with a power-law tail, that is generated via geometric Brownian motion with an exponentially distributed observation time. In this study, we examine a modified model wherein the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-30 Ken Yamamoto , Takashi Bando , Hirokazu Yanagawa , Yoshihiro Yamazaki

An analytical study of the return time distribution of extreme events for stochastic processes with power-law correlation has been carried on. The calculation is based on an epsilon-expansion in the correlation exponent:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Piero Olla

We fit the exponent of the Pareto distribution, that is equivalent or can approximate the continuous power law distribution given a cutoff point, using linear regression (LR). We use LR on the logged variables of the empirical tail (one…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-21 Samuel Forbes

This dissertation reports work where physics methods are applied to financial and economical problems. The first part studies stock market data (chapter 1 to 5). The second part is devoted to personal income in the USA (chapter 6). We first…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva

We study decades-long historic distributions of accumulated S\&P500 returns, from daily returns to those over several weeks. The time series of the returns emphasize major upheavals in the markets -- Black Monday, Tech Bubble, Financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-30 Hamed Farahani , R. A. Serota

We study the probability distribution of stock returns at mesoscopic time lags (return horizons) ranging from about an hour to about a month. While at shorter microscopic time lags the distribution has power-law tails, for mesoscopic times…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Richard E. Prange , Victor M. Yakovenko

We use daily data on bilateral interbank exposures and monthly bank balance sheets to study network characteristics of the Russian interbank market over Aug 1998 - Oct 2004. Specifically, we examine the distributions of (un)directed…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-10 Benjamin Vandermarliere , Alexei Karas , Jan Ryckebusch , Koen Schoors

Using public data (Forbes Global 2000) we show that the asset sizes for the largest global firms follow a Pareto distribution in an intermediate range, that is ``interrupted'' by a sharp cut-off in its upper tail, where it is totally…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Davide Fiaschi , Imre Kondor , Matteo Marsili , Valerio Volpati

The behavior of stock market returns over a period of 1-60 days has been investigated for S&P 500 and Nasdaq within the framework of nonextensive Tsallis statistics. Even for such long terms, the distributions of the returns are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-18 Sandhya Devi

Distributions exhibiting fat tails occur frequently in many different areas of science. A dynamical reason for fat tails can be a so-called superstatistics, where one has a superposition of local Gaussians whose variance fluctuates on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Christian Beck

We examine random variables in the power law/regularly varying class with stochastic tail exponent, the exponent $\alpha$ having its own distribution. We show the effect of stochasticity of $\alpha$ on the expectation and higher moments of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-06 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Power laws and power laws with exponential cut-off are two distinct families of distributions on the positive real half-line. In the present paper, we propose a unified treatment of both families by building a family of distributions that…

Power law distributions, in particular Pareto distributions, describe data across diverse areas of study. We have developed a package in R to estimate the tail index for such datasets focusing on speed (in particular with large datasets),…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-19 Ranjiva Munasinghe , Pathum Kossinna , Dovini Jayasinghe , Dilanka Wijeratne

The different between the inverse power function and the negative exponential function is significant. The former suggests a complex distribution, while the latter indicates a simple distribution. However, the association of the power-law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-19 Yanguang Chen
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