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ESA and NASA maintain asteroid hazard lists that contain all known asteroids with a non zero chance of colliding with the Earth in the future. Some software tools exist that are, either, capable of calculating the impact points of those…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-25 Clemens M. Rumpf , Hugh G. Lewis , Peter M. Atkinson

The survey of the nearby space and continuous monitoring of the Near Earth Objects (NEOs) and especially Near Earth Asteroids (NEAs) are essential for the future of our planet and should represent a priority for our solar system research…

We describe ZStreak, a semi-real-time pipeline specialized in detecting small, fast-moving near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) that is currently operating on the data from the newly-commissioned Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF) survey. Based on a…

We investigate various short-warning mitigation scenarios via fragmentation for a hypothetical impact of asteroid 2023 NT1, a Near-Earth Object (NEO) that was discovered on July 15, 2023, two days after its closest approach to Earth on July…

The successful prediction of lensing events is a new and exciting enterprise that provides opportunities to discover and study planetary systems. The companion paper investigates the underlying theory. This paper is devoted to outlining the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2012-02-27 Rosanne Di Stefano , James Matthews , Sebastien Lepine

We propose an adaptation of the semilinear algorithm for the prediction of the impact corridor on ground of an Earth-impacting asteroid. The proposed algorithm provides an efficient tool, able to reliably predict the impact regions at fixed…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-13 L. Dimare , A. Del Vigna , D. Bracali Cioci , F. Bernardi

Approximating complex probability densities is a core problem in modern statistics. In this paper, we introduce the concept of Variational Inference (VI), a popular method in machine learning that uses optimization techniques to estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Ankush Ganguly , Samuel W. F. Earp

Hungaria asteroids, whose orbits occupy the region in element space between $1.78< a< 2.03$ AU, $e<0.19$, $12^\circ<i<31^\circ$, are a possible source of Near-Earth Asteroids (NEAs). Named after (434) Hungaria these asteroids are relatively…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2013-04-11 Mattia Alvise Galiazzo , Ákos Bazsó , Rudolf Dvorak

Estimating the probability of failures or accidents with aerospace systems is often necessary when new concepts or designs are introduced, as it is being done for Autonomous Aircraft. If the design is safe, as it is supposed to be, accident…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-10 Ítalo Romani de Oliveira , Jeffery Musiak

Asteroids having perihelion distance $q$ $<$ 1.3 AU are classified as near-Earth objects (NEOs), which are divided into different sub-groups: Vatira-class, Atira-class, Aten-class, Apollo-class, and Amor-class. 2020 $AV_2$, the first Vatira…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-15 Hsuan-Ting Lai , Wing-Huen Ip

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is a common name for an emerging family of approaches that infer the model parameters when the likelihood is intractable. Existing SBI methods either approximate the likelihood, such as Approximate Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Theo Gruner , Boris Belousov , Fabio Muratore , Daniel Palenicek , Jan Peters

Photometric observations of asteroids show that some of them are in non-principal axis rotation state (free precession), called tumbling. Collisions between asteroids have been proposed as a possible asteroid rotation excitation mechanism.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2013-04-29 T. Henych , P. Pravec

The NEO Coordination Centre (NEOCC) of the European Space Agency is an operational centre that, among other activities, computes the orbits of near-Earth objects and their probabilities of impact with the Earth. The NEOCC started providing…

The concept of sphere of influence of a planet is useful in both the context of impact monitoring of asteroids with the Earth and of the design of interplanetary trajectories for spacecrafts. After reviewing the classical results, we…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-01 Irene Cavallari , Clara Grassi , Giovanni F. Gronchi , Giulio Baù , Giovanni B. Valsecchi

The subject of this work is the physical characterization of asteroids, focusing on the thermal inertia of near-Earth asteroids (NEAs). Thermal inertia governs the Yarkovsky effect, a non-gravitational force which significantly alters the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2012-08-21 Michael Mueller

The NEOWISE dataset offers the opportunity to study the variations in albedo for asteroid classification schemes based on visible and near-infrared observations for a large sample of minor planets. We have determined the albedos for nearly…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 A. Mainzer , T. Grav , J. Masiero , J. Bauer , E. Hand , D. Tholen , R. S. McMillan , T. Spahr , R. M. Cutri , E. Wright , J. Watkins , W. Mo , C. Maleszewski

International and U.S. strategies and protocols have identified the need to develop rapid-response spacecraft reconnaissance capabilities as a priority to advance planetary defense readiness. A space-based reconnaissance response is…

Gaia is an astrometric mission that will be launched in 2013 and set on L2 point of Lagrange. It will observe a large number of Solar System Objets (SSO) down to magnitude 20. The Solar System Science goal is to map thousand of Main Belt…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-30 D. Bancelin , D. Hestroffer , W. Thuillot

We examine the angular distributions of near-Earth objects (NEOs) which are often regarded as uniform. The apparent distribution of the longitude of ascending node, $\Omega$, is strongly affected by well-known seasonal effects in the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 Youngmin JeongAhn , Renu Malhotra

We have combined the NEOWISE and Sloan Digital Sky Survey data to study the albedos of 24,353 asteroids with candidate taxonomic classifications derived using Sloan photometry. We find a wide range of moderate to high albedos for candidate…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 A. Mainzer , J. Masiero , T. Grav , J. Bauer , D. J. Tholen , R. S. McMillan , E. Wright , T. Spahr , R. M. Cutri , R. Walker , W. Mo , J. Watkins , E. Hand , C. Maleszewski