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We address the problem of likelihood based inference for correlated diffusion processes using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. Such a task presents two interesting problems. First, the construction of the MCMC scheme should…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Gareth O. Roberts

Stochastic Chemical Reaction Networks are continuous time Markov chain models that describe the time evolution of the molecular counts of species interacting stochastically via discrete reactions. Such models are ubiquitous in systems and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-01 Theodore W. Grunberg , Domitilla Del Vecchio

In the present work the dynamics of a continuous inextensible chain is studied. The chain is regarded as a system of small particles subjected to constraints on their reciprocal distances. It is proposed a treatment of systems of this kind…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 Franco Ferrari , Maciej Pyrka

Despite its prevalence, probabilistic bisimilarity suffers from a lack of robustness under minuscule perturbations of the transition probabilities. This can lead to discontinuities in the probabilistic bisimilarity distance function,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Syyeda Zainab Fatmi , Stefan Kiefer , David Parker , Franck van Breugel

This study explores the relationship between the precise asymptotics of the level-two large deviation rate function and the behavior of metastable stochastic systems. Initially identified for overdamped Langevin dynamics (Ges{\`u} et al.,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-21 Kyuhyeon Choi

When two Markov operators commute, it suggests that we can couple two copies of one of the corresponding processes. We explicitly construct a number of couplings of this type for a commuting family of Markov processes on the set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-20 Anthony P. Metcalfe , Neil O'Connell , Jon Warren

The aim of this paper is to propose a methodology for testing general hypothesis in a Markovian setting with random sampling. A discrete Markov chain X is observed at random time intervals $\tau$ k, assumed to be iid with unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-25 Flavia Barsotti , Anne Philippe , Paul Rochet

Layered stable (multivariate) distributions and processes are defined and studied. A layered stable process combines stable trends of two different indices, one of them possibly Gaussian. More precisely, in short time, it is close to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-11 C. Houdré , R. Kawai

This simple note lays out a few observations which are well known in many ways but may not have been said in quite this way before. The basic idea is that when comparing two different Markov chains it is useful to couple them is such a way…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-16 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly

We consider long strips of finite width $L \leq 13$ sites of ferromagnetic Ising spins with random couplings distributed according to the binary distribution: $P(J_{ij})= {1 \over 2} ( \delta (J_{ij} -J_0) + \delta (J_{ij} -rJ_0) ) ,\ 0 < r…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 S. L. A. de Queiroz , R. B. Stinchcombe

We study a variable length Markov chain model associated with a group of stationary processes that share the same context tree but each process has potentially different conditional probabilities. We propose a new model selection and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-01 Alexandre Belloni , Roberto I. Oliveira

Graphical models express conditional independence relationships among variables. Although methods for vector-valued data are well established, functional data graphical models remain underdeveloped. We introduce a notion of conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-06 Hongxiao Zhu , Nate Strawn , David B. Dunson

We consider a discrete-time system of n coupled random vectors, a.k.a. interacting particles. The dynamics involve a vanishing step size, some random centered perturbations, and a mean vector field which induces the coupling between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Pascal Bianchi , Walid Hachem , Victor Priser

A labelled Markov decision process is a labelled Markov chain with nondeterminism, i.e., together with a strategy a labelled MDP induces a labelled Markov chain. The model is related to interval Markov chains. Motivated by applications of…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-25 Stefan Kiefer , Qiyi Tang

In this paper, we consider distributed decision-making over stochastic communication links in multi-agent systems. We show how to extend the current literature on potential games with binary log-linear learning (which mainly focuses on…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2014-12-16 Arjun Muralidharan , Yuan Yan , Yasamin Mostofi

The goal of this paper is to analyze distributional Markov Decision Processes as a class of control problems in which the objective is to learn policies that steer the distribution of a cumulative reward toward a prescribed target law,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Nicole Bäuerle , Athanasios Vasileiadis

An important problem arising in the study of complex networks, for instance in community detection and motif finding, is the sampling of graphs with fixed degree sequence. The equivalent problem of generating random 0,1 matrices with fixed…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-07-27 Annabell Berger , Corrie Jacobien Carstens

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models with a wide range of applications in biochemistry, ecology, and epidemiology, and are often complex to analyze. Except for some special cases, it is generally difficult to predict how the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Daniele Cappelletti , Giulio Cuniberti , Paola Siri

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods generate samples that are asymptotically distributed from a target distribution of interest as the number of iterations goes to infinity. Various theoretical results provide upper bounds on the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-30 Niloy Biswas , Pierre E. Jacob , Paul Vanetti

We consider the identification of large-scale linear and stable dynamic systems whose outputs may be the result of many correlated inputs. Hence, severe ill-conditioning may affect the estimation problem. This is a scenario often arising…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Wenqi Cao , Gianluigi Pillonetto