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Unbiased and consistent variance estimators generally do not exist for design-based treatment effect estimators because experimenters never observe more than one potential outcome for any unit. The problem is exacerbated by interference and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-04 Christopher Harshaw , Joel A. Middleton , Fredrik Sävje

Estimating the maximum mean finds a variety of applications in practice. In this paper, we study estimation of the maximum mean using an upper confidence bound (UCB) approach where the sampling budget is adaptively allocated to one of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-09 Zhang Kun , Liu Guangwu , Shi Wen

The problem of signal detection using sparse, faint information is closely related to a variety of contemporary statistical problems, including the control of false-discovery rate, and classification using very high-dimensional data. Each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Peter Hall , Jiashun Jin

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

The sensitivity of experiments looking for annual modulated signals is discussed and analyzed. The choice of energy intervals for rate integration and enhancing the signal-to-noise ratio of the predicted WIMP signal is addressed. Special…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-30 F. Hasenbalg

Experimental design is crucial for inference where limitations in the data collection procedure are present due to cost or other restrictions. Optimal experimental designs determine parameters that in some appropriate sense make the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-11 Panagiotis Tsilifis , Roger G. Ghanem , Paris Hajali

We analyze the effect of a heterogeneous variance on bump detection in a Gaussian regression model. To this end we allow for a simultaneous bump in the variance and specify its impact on the difficulty to detect the null signal against a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Farida Enikeeva , Axel Munk , Frank Werner

We demonstrate that significant effects in the "superluminal propagation"of light-pulses cannot be observed without involving systems whose gain explodes outside the pulse spectrum. We explicitly determine the minimum norm of the gain to…

Optics · Physics 2016-08-16 Bruno Macke , Bernard Ségard , Franck Wielonsky

This paper considers the problem of covert communication with mismatched decoding, in which a sender wishes to reliably communicate with a receiver whose decoder is fixed and possibly sub-optimal, and simultaneously to ensure that the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Qiaosheng Zhang , Vincent Y. F. Tan

Provided an arbitrary nonintrusive load monitoring (NILM) algorithm, we seek bounds on the probability of distinguishing between scenarios, given an aggregate power consumption signal. We introduce a framework for studying a general NILM…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-30 Roy Dong , Lillian Ratliff , Henrik Ohlsson , S. Shankar Sastry

Change point detection is a crucial aspect of analyzing time series data, as the presence of a change point indicates an abrupt and significant change in the process generating the data. While many algorithms for the problem of change point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Mario Krause

The Cram\'er-Rao bound serves as a crucial lower limit for the mean squared error of an estimator in frequentist parameter estimation. Paradoxically, it requires highly accurate prior knowledge of the estimated parameter for constructing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-21 Javier Navarro , Ricard Ravell Rodríguez , Mikel Sanz

Interval analysis, when applied to the so called problem of experimental data fitting, appears to be still in its infancy. Sometimes, partly because of the unrivaled reliability of interval methods, we do not obtain any results at all.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-03-03 Marek W. Gutowski

Many measurements in the physical sciences can be cast as counting experiments, where the number of occurrences of a physical phenomenon informs the prevalence of the phenomenon's source. Often, detection of the physical phenomenon (termed…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-07-27 Alex Hagen , Ken Jarman , Jesse Ward , Greg Eiden , Charles Barinaga , Emily Mace , Craig Aalseth , Anthony Carado

Educators must make decisions about learner expectations and skills on which to focus when it comes to laboratory activities. There are various approaches but the general pattern is to encourage students to measure ordered pairs, plot a…

Physics Education · Physics 2023-03-30 Kevin L. Haglin

In particle physics and cosmology, distinguishing subtle new physics signals from established backgrounds is a fundamental and persistent challenge for phenomenologists. This paper discuss a simple and robust statistical framework to…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-05-08 S. Ansarifard

Models with many signals, high-dimensional models, often impose structures on the signal strengths. The common assumption is that only a few signals are strong and most of the signals are zero or close (collectively) to zero. However, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-02 Yinchu Zhu , Jelena Bradic

We study a high-dimensional regression setting under the assumption of known covariate distribution. We aim at estimating the amount of explained variation in the response by the best linear function of the covariates (the signal level). In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-12 Ilan Livne , David Azriel , Yair Goldberg

We derive a tight lower bound on equivocation (conditional entropy), or equivalently a tight upper bound on mutual information between a signal variable and channel outputs. The bound is in terms of the joint distribution of the signals and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-14 Michal Hledík , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Gašper Tkačik

We study the information leakage to a guessing adversary in index coding with a general message distribution. Under both vanishing-error and zero-error decoding assumptions, we develop lower and upper bounds on the optimal leakage rate,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Yucheng Liu , Lawrence Ong , Phee Lep Yeoh , Parastoo Sadeghi , Joerg Kliewer , Sarah Johnson