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Anomaly detection relies on designing a score to determine whether a particular event is uncharacteristic of a given background distribution. One way to define a score is to use autoencoders, which rely on the ability to reconstruct certain…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-03-30 Katherine Fraser , Samuel Homiller , Rashmish K. Mishra , Bryan Ostdiek , Matthew D. Schwartz

We consider several detection situations where, under the alternative hypothesis, the signal admits a low complexity model and, under both the null and the alternative hypotheses, the distribution of the background noise is {unknown}. We…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-08 D. Mary , S. Bourguignon , E. Roquain , S. Sulis , M. Perrot-Dockes

Gaussian processes have become a promising tool for various safety-critical settings, since the posterior variance can be used to directly estimate the model error and quantify risk. However, state-of-the-art techniques for safety-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Alexandre Capone , Armin Lederer , Sandra Hirche

We define some appropriate statistical quantities that indicate the physical significance (reliability) of confidence intervals in the framework of both Frequentist and Bayesian statistical theories. We consider the expectation value of the…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-10-31 C. Giunti , M. Laveder

Independence testing is a fundamental problem in statistical inference: given samples from a joint distribution $p$ over multiple random variables, the goal is to determine whether $p$ is a product distribution or is $\epsilon$-far from all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-06 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Alireza Azizi , Ria Stevens

Suppose one has a collection of parameters indexed by a (possibly infinite dimensional) set. Given data generated from some distribution, the objective is to estimate the maximal parameter in this collection evaluated at this distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-26 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

Randomness in scientific estimation is generally assumed to arise from unmeasured or uncontrolled factors. However, when combining subjective probability estimates, heterogeneity stemming from people's cognitive or information diversity is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-28 Ville Satopää , Robin Pemantle , Lyle Ungar

Biological cells are able to accurately sense chemicals with receptors at their surfaces, allowing cells to move towards sources of attractant and away from sources of repellent. The accuracy of sensing chemical concentration is ultimately…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-14 Robert G. Endres , Ned S. Wingreen

Simulation-based inference (SBI) makes it possible to infer the parameters of a model from high-dimensional low-level features of the observed events. In this work we show how this method can be used to establish the presence of a weak…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-07-31 Kierthika Chathirathas , Torben Ferber , Felix Kahlhoefer , Alessandro Morandini

Several statistics used by physicists to declare the signal observability over the background are compared. It is shown that the frequentist method of testing a precise hypothesis allows one to estimate the power value of criteria with…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Bityukov , N. V. Krasnikov

Signal estimation in the presence of background noise is a common problem in several scientific disciplines. An 'On/Off' measurement is performed when the background itself is not known, being estimated from a background control sample. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-06-16 Giacomo D'Amico , Tomislav Terzić , Jelena Strišković , Michele Doro , Marcel Strzys , Juliane van Scherpenberg

We consider the problem of estimating a signal corrupted by independent interference with the assistance of a cost-constrained helper who knows the interference causally or noncausally. When the interference is known causally, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-03-21 Yeow-Khiang Chia , Rajiv Soundararajan , Tsachy Weissman

This paper proposes an easy-to-compute upper bound for the overlap index between two probability distributions without requiring any knowledge of the distribution models. The computation of our bound is time-efficient and memory-efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Hao Fu , Prashanth Krishnamurthy , Siddharth Garg , Farshad Khorrami

Optimal unbounded control problems with affine control dependence may fail to have minimizers in the class of absolutely continuous state trajectories. For this reason, extended impulsive versions --which cannot be of measure-theoretical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Monica Motta , Franco Rampazzo , Richard Vinter

In this paper, we extend the recent body of work on planning under uncertainty to include the fact that sensors may not provide any measurement owing to misdetection. This is caused either by adverse environmental conditions that prevent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2013-09-17 Shaunak D. Bopardikar , Brendan J. Englot , Alberto Speranzon

This paper examines signal detection in the presence of noise, with a particular emphasis to the nuclear activation analysis. The problem is to decide what between the signal-plus-background and no-signal hypotheses fits better the data and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-09 Luigi Bergamaschi , Giancarlo D'Agostino , Laura Giordani , Giovanni Mana , Massimo Oddone

Maximum likelihood method is widely used for parameter estimation in high energy physics. To consider various systematic uncertainties, tens of or even hundreds of nuisance parameters (NP) are introduced in a likelihood fit. The constraint…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-11 Li-Gang Xia

It is a common phenomenon in nature and technology that a system under perturbations exits a regime of its usual dynamics. Often it is possible to define a potential function whereby a potential well can be associated with a usual or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-22 Tamás Bódai

Many experiments in physics involve searching for a localized excess over background expectations in an observed spectrum. If the background is known and there is Gaussian noise, the amount of excess of successive observations can be…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2018-10-17 Frederik Beaujean , Allen Caldwell , Olaf Reimann

The prior independent framework for algorithm design considers how well an algorithm that does not know the distribution of its inputs approximates the expected performance of the optimal algorithm for this distribution. This paper gives a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Jason Hartline , Aleck Johnsen
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