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Model selection in machine learning (ML) is a crucial part of the Bayesian learning procedure. Model choice may impose strong biases on the resulting predictions, which can hinder the performance of methods such as Bayesian neural networks…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-09 Simón Rodríguez Santana , Luis A. Ortega , Daniel Hernández-Lobato , Bryan Zaldívar

We propose Bayesian Hierarchical Invariant Prediction (BHIP) reframing Invariant Causal Prediction (ICP) through the lens of Hierarchical Bayes. We leverage the hierarchical structure to explicitly test invariance of causal mechanisms under…

In computational inverse problems, it is common that a detailed and accurate forward model is approximated by a computationally less challenging substitute. The model reduction may be necessary to meet constraints in computing time when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Daniela Calvetti , Matthew M. Dunlop , Erkki Somersalo , Andrew M. Stuart

Stochastic reduced models are an important tool in climate systems whose many spatial and temporal scales cannot be fully discretized or underlying physics may not be fully accounted for. One form of reduced model, the linear inverse model…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-29 Dallas Foster , Darin Comeau , Nathan M. Urban

We present a novel statistically-based discretization paradigm and derive a class of maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimators for solving ill-conditioned linear inverse problems. We are guided by the theory of sparse stochastic processes,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Emrah Bostan , Ulugbek S. Kamilov , Masih Nilchian , Michael Unser

In multivariate spline regression, the number and locations of knots influence the performance and interpretability significantly. However, due to non-differentiability and varying dimensions, there is no desirable frequentist method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Junhui He , Ying Yang , Jian Kang

In a non supervised Bayesian estimation approach for inverse problems in imaging systems, one tries to estimate jointly the unknown image pixels $f$ and the hyperparameters $\theta$ given the observed data $g$ and a model $M$ linking these…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-04-28 Ali Mohammad-Djafari

A notable result from analysis of Boolean functions is the Basic Invariance Principle (BIP), a quantitative nonlinear generalization of the Central Limit Theorem for multilinear polynomials. We present a generalization of the BIP for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Alexander Mariona , Homa Esfahanizadeh , Rafael G. L. D'Oliveira , Muriel Médard

We propose a Bayesian uncertainty quantification method for large-scale imaging inverse problems. Our method applies to all Bayesian models that are log-concave, where maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) estimation is a convex optimization problem.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-07 Audrey Repetti , Marcelo Pereyra , Yves Wiaux

We consider the class of inverse probability weight (IPW) estimators, including the popular Horvitz-Thompson and Hajek estimators used routinely in survey sampling, causal inference and evidence estimation for Bayesian computation. We focus…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas Polson

This work presents a model reduction approach to the inverse problem in the application of subsurface flows. For the Bayesian inverse problem, the forward model needs to be repeatedly computed for a large number of samples to get a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-04 Lijian Jiang , Na Ou

In Bayesian inverse problems, one aims at characterizing the posterior distribution of a set of unknowns, given indirect measurements. For non-linear/non-Gaussian problems, analytic solutions are seldom available: Sequential Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-26 Alessandro Viani , Adam M Johansen , Alberto Sorrentino

We consider the problem of estimating the scale matrix $\Sigma$ of the additif model $Y_{p\times n} = M + \mathcal{E}$, under a theoretical decision point of view. Here, $ p $ is the number of variables, $ n$ is the number of observations,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Mohamed Anis Haddouche , Dominique Fourdrinier , Fatiha Mezoued

Spike-and-slab priors are commonly used for Bayesian variable selection, due to their interpretability and favorable statistical properties. However, existing samplers for spike-and-slab posteriors incur prohibitive computational costs when…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-28 Niloy Biswas , Lester Mackey , Xiao-Li Meng

Inverse probability weighted estimators are the oldest and potentially most commonly used class of procedures for the estimation of causal effects. By adjusting for selection biases via a weighting mechanism, these procedures estimate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Ashkan Ertefaie , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan

Considering the increasing size of available data, the need for statistical methods that control the finite sample bias is growing. This is mainly due to the frequent settings where the number of variables is large and allowed to increase…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-12 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

Many scientific fields, including human gut microbiome science, collect multivariate count data where the sum of the counts is unrelated to the scale of the underlying system being measured (e.g., total microbial load in a subject's colon).…

We address the numerical solution of infinite-dimensional inverse problems in the framework of Bayesian inference. In the Part I companion to this paper (arXiv.org:1308.1313), we considered the linearized infinite-dimensional inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-14 Noemi Petra , James Martin , Georg Stadler , Omar Ghattas

We present an extensible software framework, hIPPYlib, for solution of large-scale deterministic and Bayesian inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) with infinite-dimensional parameter fields (which are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Umberto Villa , Noemi Petra , Omar Ghattas

Time in-homogeneous cyclic Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers, including deterministic scan Gibbs samplers and Metropolis within Gibbs samplers, are extensively used for sampling from multi-dimensional distributions. We establish a…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-17 Haoxiang Li , Qian Qin