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Focusing on a specific crowd dynamics situation, including real life experiments and measurements, our paper targets a twofold aim: (1) we present a Bayesian probabilistic method to estimate the value and the uncertainty (in the form of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-12 Alessandro Corbetta , Adrian Muntean , Federico Toschi , Kiamars Vafayi

This paper presents a new Bayesian framework for quantifying discretization errors in numerical solutions of ordinary differential equations. By modelling the errors as random variables, we impose a monotonicity constraint on the variances,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Yuto Miyatake , Kaoru Irie , Takeru Matsuda

Acousto-electric tomography (AET) is a hybrid imaging modality that combines electrical impedance tomography with focused ultrasound perturbations to obtain interior power density measurements, which provide additional information that can…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Hjørdis Schlüter , Babak Maboudi Afkham

Bayesian methods are particularly effective for addressing inverse problems due to their ability to manage uncertainties inherent in the inference process. However, employing these methods with costly forward models poses significant…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-30 G. Robalo Rei , C. P. Schmidt , J. Nitzler , M. Dinkel , W. A. Wall

The charge asymmetry due to higher-order QED corrections in elastic lepton-proton scattering is estimated without employing the ultrarelativistic approximation. Our calculation is performed by generalizing the soft-photon approximation…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2017-07-12 O. Koshchii , A. Afanasev

This paper suggests a framework for the learning of discretizations of expensive forward models in Bayesian inverse problems. The main idea is to incorporate the parameters governing the discretization as part of the unknown to be estimated…

Suggested non-linear, non-gauge modification of the Maxwell theory of electromagnetism based on correlation between electromagnetic potential, $A_a$, and metric, $g_{ab}$, such that tensor $G_{ab} = g_{ab} - l^2{A}_a{A}_b$ represents…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dmitriy Palatnik

A common task in experimental sciences is to fit mathematical models to real-world measurements to improve understanding of natural phenomenon (reverse-engineering or inverse modeling). When complex dynamical systems are considered, such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Jean-Charles Croix , Nicolas Durrande , Mauricio Alvarez

Accurately evaluating the real-time flexibility of electric vehicles (EVs) is necessary for EV aggregators to offer ancillary services. However, regulation-caused uncertain state-of-charge and random departure behavior complicate the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-21 Yixin Li , Zhengshuo Li

We employ optimal control theory to study the problem of estimating the probability density function from a data set originating from an unknown probability distribution. The original variational problem is reformulated as a multi-stage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Markus Hegland , C. Yalçın Kaya

Flexible Bayesian models are typically constructed using limits of large parametric models with a multitude of parameters that are often uninterpretable. In this article, we offer a novel alternative by constructing an exponentially tilted…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Abhisek Chakraborty , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

Stochastic density functional theory is applied to analyze the conductivity of strong two species electrolytes at arbitrary field strengths. The corresponding stochastic equations for the density of the electrolyte species are solved by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-04 Vincent Démery , David S Dean

Uncertainty quantification in image retrieval is crucial for downstream decisions, yet it remains a challenging and largely unexplored problem. Current methods for estimating uncertainties are poorly calibrated, computationally expensive,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-20 Frederik Warburg , Martin Jørgensen , Javier Civera , Søren Hauberg

This paper considers the probability density and current distributions generated by a point-like, isotropic source of monoenergetic charges embedded into a uniform magnetic field environment. Electron sources of this kind have been realized…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-09-04 Christian Bracher , Arnulfo Gonzalez

The inverse problem of statistical mechanics is an unsolved, century-old challenge to learn classical pair potentials directly from experimental scattering data. This problem was extensively investigated in the 20th century but was…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-18 Brennon L. Shanks , Harry W. Sullivan , Michael P. Hoepfner

We present and implement a probabilistic (Bayesian) method for producing catalogs from images of stellar fields. The method is capable of inferring the number of sources N in the image and can also handle the challenges introduced by noise,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Brendon J. Brewer , Daniel Foreman-Mackey , David W. Hogg

Bayesian methods are useful for statistical inference. However, real-world problems can be challenging using Bayesian methods when the data analyst has only limited prior knowledge. In this paper we consider a class of problems, called…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-20 Yixuan Qiu , Lingsong Zhang , Chuanhai Liu

The problem of error density estimation for a functional single index model with dependent errors is studied. A Bayesian method is utilized to simultaneously estimate the bandwidths in the kernel-form error density and regression function,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-23 Han Lin Shang

Estimating density ratios between pairs of intractable data distributions is a core problem in probabilistic modeling, enabling principled comparisons of sample likelihoods under different data-generating processes across conditions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Egor Antipov , Alessandro Palma , Lorenzo Consoli , Stephan Günnemann , Andrea Dittadi , Fabian J. Theis

The need to estimate smooth probability distributions (a.k.a. probability densities) from finite sampled data is ubiquitous in science. Many approaches to this problem have been described, but none is yet regarded as providing a definitive…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-09-16 Justin B. Kinney
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