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In this paper we develop a continuous-time sequential importance sampling (CIS) algorithm which eliminates time-discretisation errors and provides online unbiased estimation for continuous time Markov processes, in particular for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-19 Paul Fearnhead , Krzystof Latuszynski , Gareth O. Roberts , Giorgos Sermaidis

Recently, Velazquez and Curilef have proposed a methodology to extend Monte Carlo algorithms based on canonical ensemble, which is aimed to overcome slow sampling problems associated with temperature-driven discontinuous phase transitions.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-07-31 L. Velazquez , J. C. Castro-Palacio

Importance weighting is a general way to adjust Monte Carlo integration to account for draws from the wrong distribution, but the resulting estimate can be highly variable when the importance ratios have a heavy right tail. This routinely…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-12 Aki Vehtari , Daniel Simpson , Andrew Gelman , Yuling Yao , Jonah Gabry

In the context of Monte Carlo sampling for lattice models, the complexity of the energy landscape often leads to Markov chains being trapped in local optima, thereby increasing the correlation between samples and reducing sampling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-29 Jiewei Ding , Jiahao Su , Ho-Kin Tang , Wing Chi Yu

We develop a recently proposed importance-sampling Monte Carlo algorithm for sampling rare events and quenched variables in random disordered systems. We apply it to a two dimensional bond-diluted Ising model and study the Griffiths…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Koji Hukushima , Yukito Iba

Recursive Monte Carlo filters, also called particle filters, are a powerful tool to perform computations in general state space models. We discuss and compare the accept--reject version with the more common sampling importance resampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hans R. Künsch

The efficiency of Monte Carlo samplers is dictated not only by energetic effects, such as large barriers, but also by entropic effects that are due to the sheer volume that is sampled. The latter effects appear in the form of an entropic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Cristian Predescu

Generally ``exact'' Quantum Monte Carlo computations for the ground state of many Bosons make use of importance sampling. The importance sampling is based, either on a guiding function or on an initial variational wave function. Here we…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-20 M. Rossi , M. Nava , L. Reatto , D. E. Galli

Bayesian methods and their implementations by means of sophisticated Monte Carlo techniques have become very popular in signal processing over the last years. Importance Sampling (IS) is a well-known Monte Carlo technique that approximates…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , G. Camps-Valls

While recent work towards the development of tight-binding and ab-initio algorithms has focused on molecular dynamics, Monte Carlo methods can often lead to better results with relatively little effort. We present here a multi-step Monte…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Parthapratim Biswas , G. T. Barkema , Normand Mousseau , W. F. van der Weg

Variational Monte Carlo is a many-body numerical method that scales well with system size. It has been extended to study the Green function only recently by Charlebois and Imada (2020). Here we generalize the approach to systems with open…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2022-12-20 P. Rosenberg , D. Sénéchal , A. -M. S. Tremblay , M. Charlebois

Monte Carlo sampling of any system may be analyzed in terms of an associated glass model -- a variant of the Random Energy Model -- with, whenever there is a sign problem, complex fields. This model has three types of phases (liquid, frozen…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-01-17 Gustavo During , Jorge Kurchan

Population Monte Carlo (PMC) sampling methods are powerful tools for approximating distributions of static unknowns given a set of observations. These methods are iterative in nature: at each step they generate samples from a proposal…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-17 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

Algorithms based on Monte-Carlo sampling have been widely adapted in robotics and other areas of engineering due to their performance robustness. However, these sampling-based approaches have high computational requirements, making them…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Yanqi Liu , Giuseppe Calderoni , R. Iris Bahar

In this work, we develop an importance sampling estimator by coupling the reduced-order model and the generative model in a problem setting of uncertainty quantification. The target is to estimate the probability that the quantity of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-20 Xiaoliang Wan , Shuangqing Wei

We propose a Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from high dimensional probability distributions that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. We provide a careful theoretical analysis, including guarantees on robustness to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-18 Giacomo Zanella , Gareth Roberts

In order to find the equilibrium geometries of molecules and solids and to perform ab initio molecular dynamics, it is necessary to calculate the forces on the nuclei. We present a correlated sampling method to efficiently calculate…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Claudia Filippi , C. J. Umrigar

We report diffusion quantum Monte Carlo calculations of three-dimensional Wigner crystals in the density range r_s=100-150. We have tested different types of orbital for use in the approximate wave functions but none improve upon the simple…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2008-01-03 N. D. Drummond , Z. Radnai , J. R. Trail , M. D. Towler , R. J. Needs

Discrete diffusion models have become highly effective across various domains. However, real-world applications often require the generative process to adhere to certain constraints. To this end, we propose a Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Zijing Ou , Chinmay Pani , Yingzhen Li

When lifting the assumption of spatially-independent scattering centers in classical linear transport theory, collision rate is no longer proportional to angular flux / radiance because the macroscopic cross-section $\Sigma_t(s)$ depends on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-12 Eugene d'Eon
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