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Modern applications of Bayesian inference involve models that are sufficiently complex that the corresponding posterior distributions are intractable and must be approximated. The most common approximation is based on Markov chain Monte…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Yue Yang , Ryan Martin , Howard Bondell

Extracting low-dimensional summary statistics from large datasets is essential for efficient (likelihood-free) inference. We characterize three different classes of summaries and demonstrate their importance for correctly analyzing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Till Hoffmann , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Modelling bounded rational decision-making through information constrained processing provides a principled approach for representing departures from rationality within a reinforcement learning framework, while still treating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Benjamin Patrick Evans , Leo Ardon , Sumitra Ganesh

In many real world problems, optimization decisions have to be made with limited information. The decision maker may have no a priori or posteriori data about the often nonconvex objective function except from on a limited number of points…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Tansu Alpcan

We address the challenge of sequential data-driven decision-making under context distributional uncertainty. This problem arises in numerous real-world scenarios where the learner optimizes black-box objective functions in the presence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Francesco Micheli , Efe C. Balta , Anastasios Tsiamis , John Lygeros

Avoiding overfitting is a central challenge in machine learning, yet many large neural networks readily achieve zero training loss. This puzzling contradiction necessitates new approaches to the study of overfitting. Here we quantify…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Vudtiwat Ngampruetikorn , David J. Schwab

This paper examines how an event from one random variable provides pointwise mutual information about an event from another variable via probability mass exclusions. We start by introducing probability mass diagrams, which provide a visual…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Conor Finn , Joseph T Lizier

Information theory is an excellent framework for analyzing Earth system data because it allows us to characterize uncertainty and redundancy, and is universally interpretable. However, accurately estimating information content is…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-30 J. Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Maria Piles , Gustau Camps-Valls

We consider the parameter estimation problem of a probabilistic generative model prescribed using a natural exponential family of distributions. For this problem, the typical maximum likelihood estimator usually overfits under limited…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Angelos Georghiou

We introduce a novel and scalable Bayesian framework for multivariate-density-density regression (DDR), designed to model relationships between multivariate distributions. Our approach addresses the critical issue of distributions residing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Khai Nguyen , Yang Ni , Peter Mueller

We study the problem of supervised linear dimensionality reduction, taking an information-theoretic viewpoint. The linear projection matrix is designed by maximizing the mutual information between the projected signal and the class label…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Minhua Chen , William Carson , Miguel Rodrigues , Robert Calderbank , Lawrence Carin

After reviewing unnormalized and normalized information distances based on incomputable notions of Kolmogorov complexity, we discuss how Kolmogorov complexity can be approximated by data compression algorithms. We argue that optimal…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Alexei Kaltchenko

Factorizing low-rank matrices has many applications in machine learning and statistics. For probabilistic models in the Bayes optimal setting, a general expression for the mutual information has been proposed using heuristic statistical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-24 Jean Barbier , Mohamad Dia , Nicolas Macris , Florent Krzakala , Thibault Lesieur , Lenka Zdeborova

The maximum achievable rate or mutual informa- tion of multidimensional rotationally invariant distributions in the presence of additive white Gaussian noise is analyzed. A simple expression for the special case of multisphere distributions…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-15 Johnny Karout , Rene'-Jean Essiambre , Erik Agrell , Antonia Tulino

We consider here how to separate multidimensional signals into two categories, such that the binary decision transmits the maximum possible information transmitted about those signals. Our motivation comes from the nervous system, where…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-26 Tatyana Sharpee , William Bialek

For linear models with a diverging number of parameters, it has recently been shown that modified versions of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) can identify the true model consistently. However, in many cases there is little…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-26 Heng Lian

Discovering relevant, but possibly hidden, variables is a key step in constructing useful and predictive theories about the natural world. This brief note explains the connections between three approaches to this problem: the recently…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-02-17 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , James P. Crutchfield

Given two channels that convey information about the same random variable, we introduce two measures of the unique information of one channel with respect to the other. The two quantities are based on the notion of generalized weighted Le…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Pradeep Kr. Banerjee , Eckehard Olbrich , Jürgen Jost , Johannes Rauh

Multi-marginal optimal transport enables one to compare multiple probability measures, which increasingly finds application in multi-task learning problems. One practical limitation of multi-marginal transport is computational scalability…

In the need for low assumption inferential methods in infinite-dimensional settings, Bayesian adaptive estimation via a prior distribution that does not depend on the regularity of the function to be estimated nor on the sample size is…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-23 Catia Scricciolo
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