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Construction methods for prior densities are investigated from a predictive viewpoint. Predictive densities for future observables are constructed by using observed data. The simultaneous distribution of future observables and observed data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Fumiyasu Komaki

This essay considers a simple model of observers that are influenced by the world around them. Consistent quantification of information about such influences results in a great deal of familiar physics. The end result is a new perspective…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-08-16 Kevin H. Knuth

In this paper, we study arbitrary infinite binary information systems each of which consists of an infinite set called universe and an infinite set of two-valued functions (attributes) defined on the universe. We consider the notion of a…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Kerven Durdymyradov , Mikhail Moshkov

In this paper we investigate the problem of learning evolving concepts over a combinatorial structure. Previous work by Emamjomeh-Zadeh et al. [2020] introduced dynamics into interactive learning as a way to model non-static user…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Xing Gao , Thomas Maranzatto , Lev Reyzin

Information flow (or information transfer as may be called) the widely applicable general physics notion can be rigorously derived from first principles, rather than axiomatically proposed as an ansatz. Its logical association with…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-03-31 X. San Liang

Model selection in clustering requires (i) to specify a suitable clustering principle and (ii) to control the model order complexity by choosing an appropriate number of clusters depending on the noise level in the data. We advocate an…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-06-03 Joachim M. Buhmann

This paper presents a new foundational approach to information theory based on the concept of the information efficiency of a recursive function, which is defined as the difference between the information in the input and the output. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Pieter Adriaans

Few models have been more ubiquitous in their respective fields than Bayesian knowledge tracing and item response theory. Both of these models were developed to analyze data on learners. However, the study designs that these models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-15 Benjamin Deonovic , Michael Yudelson , Maria Bolsinova , Meirav Attali , Gunter Maris

Understanding real-world dynamical phenomena remains a challenging task. Across various scientific disciplines, machine learning has advanced as the go-to technology to analyze nonlinear dynamical systems, identify patterns in big data, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Kevin Linka , Amelie Schafer , Xuhui Meng , Zongren Zou , George Em Karniadakis , Ellen Kuhl

In real-world applications, the distribution of the data, and our goals, evolve over time. The prevailing theoretical framework for studying machine learning, namely probably approximately correct (PAC) learning, largely ignores time. As a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-31 Ashwin De Silva , Rahul Ramesh , Rubing Yang , Siyu Yu , Joshua T Vogelstein , Pratik Chaudhari

We develop a model of social learning from overabundant information: Short-lived agents sequentially choose from a large set of (flexibly correlated) information sources for prediction of an unknown state. Signal realizations are public. We…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-20 Annie Liang , Xiaosheng Mu

Interpretability is a pressing issue for machine learning. Common approaches to interpretable machine learning constrain interactions between features of the input, rendering the effects of those features on a model's output comprehensible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Kieran A. Murphy , Dani S. Bassett

We present an information-theoretic framework for understanding overfitting and underfitting in machine learning and prove the formal undecidability of determining whether an arbitrary classification algorithm will overfit a dataset.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Daniel Bashir , George D. Montanez , Sonia Sehra , Pedro Sandoval Segura , Julius Lauw

The language of information theory is favored in both causal reasoning and machine learning frameworks. But, is there a better language than this? In this study, we demonstrate the pitfalls of infotheoretic estimation using first order…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Nithin Nagaraj

A central issue of many statistical learning problems is to select an appropriate model from a set of candidate models. Large models tend to inflate the variance (or overfitting), while small models tend to cause biases (or underfitting)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-25 Jie Ding , Enmao Diao , Jiawei Zhou , Vahid Tarokh

How can we enable machines to make sense of the world, and become better at learning? To approach this goal, I believe viewing intelligence in terms of many integral aspects, and also a universal two-term tradeoff between task performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Tailin Wu

In this work we examine the problem of data-driven prediction. That is, given a LTI system with unknown dynamics, we wish to use data collected from the system to predict the system's output response to a given sequence of known inputs.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Joel Stevens , Jeremy Coulson

This paper revisits Brownian motion from the perspective of Information Theory, aiming to explore the connections between Information Theory, Thermodynamics, and Complex Science. First, we propose a single-particle discrete Brownian motion…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-10 Hongzheng Liu , Zhiyue Wu

Learning is a fundamental characteristic of living systems, enabling them to comprehend their environments and make informed decisions. These decision-making processes are inherently influenced by available information about their…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-04-21 Arnab Barua , Haralampos Hatzikirou , Sumiyoshi Abe

Information accounting provides a better foundation for hypothesis testing than does uncertainty quantification. A quantitative account of science is derived under this perspective that alleviates the need for epistemic bridge principles,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-04-26 Grey Nearing , Hoshin Gupta