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Statistical models typically capture uncertainties in our knowledge of the corresponding real-world processes, however, it is less common for this uncertainty specification to capture uncertainty surrounding the values of the inputs to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-10 Samuel E. Jackson , David C. Woods

We go through the many considerations involved in fitting a model to data, using as an example the fit of a straight line to a set of points in a two-dimensional plane. Standard weighted least-squares fitting is only appropriate when there…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2010-08-30 David W. Hogg , Jo Bovy , Dustin Lang

Hypothesis testing and model choice are quintessential questions for statistical inference and while the Bayesian paradigm seems ideally suited for answering these questions, it faces difficulties of its own ranging from prior modelling to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-15 Christian P Robert

This article focuses on measurement error in covariates in regression analyses in which the aim is to estimate the association between one or more covariates and an outcome, adjusting for confounding. Error in covariate measurements, if…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-16 Ruth H. Keogh , Jonathan W. Bartlett

This paper addresses the integration of additional information sources into a Bayesian optimization framework while ensuring that safety constraints are satisfied. The interdependencies between these information sources are modeled using an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Jannis O. Luebsen , Annika Eichler

For many important problems the quantity of interest is an unknown function of the parameters, which is a random vector with known statistics. Since the dependence of the output on this random vector is unknown, the challenge is to identify…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-28 Themistoklis P. Sapsis

In the context of computer models, calibration is the process of estimating unknown simulator parameters from observational data. Calibration is variously referred to as model fitting, parameter estimation/inference, an inverse problem, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-16 Richard D. Wilkinson , Christopher W. Lanyon

Linear mixed effects models are widely used in statistical modelling. We consider a mixed effects model with Bayesian variable selection in the random effects using spike-and-slab priors and developed a variational Bayes inference scheme…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-15 M-Z. Spyropoulou , J. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

In many real-world scenarios where data is high dimensional, test time acquisition of features is a non-trivial task due to costs associated with feature acquisition and evaluating feature value. The need for highly confident models with an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Orpaz Goldstein , Mohammad Kachuee , Kimmo Karkkainen , Majid Sarrafzadeh

My dissertation revolves around Bayesian approaches towards constrained statistical inference in the factor analysis (FA) model. Two interconnected types of restricted-model selection are considered. These types have a natural connection to…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-13 Carel F. W. Peeters

Statistical samples, in order to be representative, have to be drawn from a population in a random and unbiased way. Nevertheless, it is common practice in the field of model-based diagnosis to make estimations from (biased) best-first…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Patrick Rodler , Fatima Elichanova

Statistical matching is an effective method for estimating causal effects in which treated units are paired with control units with ``similar'' values of confounding covariates prior to performing estimation. In this way, matching helps…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Sanjeewani Weerasingha , Michael J. Higgins

Errors quoted on results are often given in asymmetric form. An account is given of the two ways these can arise in an analysis, and the combination of asymmetric errors is discussed. It is shown that the usual method has no basis and is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-18 Roger Barlow

We focus on improving the accuracy of an approximate model of a multiscale dynamical system that uses a set of parameter-dependent terms to account for the effects of unresolved or neglected dynamics on resolved scales. We start by…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Chiyu Jiang , Daniel Livescu

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

Models with dimension more than the available sample size are now commonly used in various applications. A sensible inference is possible using a lower-dimensional structure. In regression problems with a large number of predictors, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Sayantan Banerjee , Ismaël Castillo , Subhashis Ghosal

As the frontiers of applied statistics progress through increasingly complex experiments we must exploit increasingly sophisticated inferential models to analyze the observations we make. In order to avoid misleading or outright erroneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-23 Michael Betancourt

Inverse problems can be described as limited-data problems in which the signal of interest cannot be observed directly. A physics-based forward model that relates the signal with the observations is typically needed. Unfortunately, unknown…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Alexandra Koulouri , Ville Rimpilainen

The problem of error density estimation for a functional single index model with dependent errors is studied. A Bayesian method is utilized to simultaneously estimate the bandwidths in the kernel-form error density and regression function,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-23 Han Lin Shang

In the second paper of this series we extend our Bayesian reanalysis of the evidence for a cosmic variation of the fine structure constant to the semi-parametric modelling regime. By adopting a mixture of Dirichlet processes prior for the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-09-12 Ewan Cameron , Tony Pettitt