English
Related papers

Related papers: Computing probabilities of very rare events for La…

200 papers

Let K be a random variable following a truncated exponential distribution. Such distributions are described by a single parameter here denoted by $\gamma$. The determination of $\gamma$ by Maximum Likelihood methods leads to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-13 Grant Keady

In this paper, we present splitting methods that are based on iterative schemes and applied to plasma simulations. The motivation arose of solving the Coulomb collisions, which are modeled by nonlinear stochastic differential equations. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-22 Juergen Geiser

We propose a scalable, approximate inference hypernetwork framework for a general model of history-dependent processes. The flexible data model is based on a neural ordinary differential equation (NODE) representing the evolution of…

We propose a novel stochastic method to generate paths conditioned to start in an initial state and end in a given final state during a certain time $t_{f}$. These paths are weighted with a probability given by the overdamped Langevin…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 Henri Orland

This work considers the framework of Markov chain importance sampling~(MCIS), in which one employs a Markov chain Monte Carlo~(MCMC) scheme to sample particles approaching the optimal distribution for importance sampling, prior to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-26 Jason Beh , Jérôme Morio , Florian Simatos , Simon Weissmann

Macroscopic parameters as well as precise information on the random force characterizing the Langevin type description of the nuclear fusion process around the Coulomb barrier are extracted from the microscopic dynamics of individual…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2013-07-04 Kai Wen , Fumihiko Sakata , Zhu-Xia Li , Xi-Zhen Wu , Ying-Xun Zhang , Shan-Gui Zhou

In this paper, we develop a computational approach for computing most likely trajectories describing rare events that correspond to the emergence of non-dominant genotypes. This work is based on the large deviations approach for discrete…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-29 Yingxue Su , Brett Geiger , Ilya Timofeyev , Andreas Mang , Robert Azencott

We propose a deep importance sampling method that is suitable for estimating rare event probabilities in high-dimensional problems. We approximate the optimal importance distribution in a general importance sampling problem as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-26 Tiangang Cui , Sergey Dolgov , Robert Scheichl

Sampling a probability distribution with known likelihood is a fundamental task in computational science and engineering. Aiming at multimodality, we propose a new sampling method that takes advantage of both birth-death process and…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-04 Lezhi Tan , Jianfeng Lu

The complex Langevin method is a promising approach to the complex-action problem based on a fictitious time evolution of complexified dynamical variables under the influence of a Gaussian noise. Although it is known to have a restricted…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2017-01-04 Keitaro Nagata , Jun Nishimura , Shinji Shimasaki

Langevin (stochastic differential) equations are routinely used to describe particle-laden flows. They predict Gaussian probability density functions (PDFs) of a particle's trajectory and velocity, even though experimentally observed…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-03-11 Daniel Domínguez-Vázquez , Gustaaf B. Jacobs , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

Complex weights appear in Physics which are beyond a straightforward importance sampling treatment, as required in Monte Carlo calculations. This is the well-known sign problem. The complex Langevin approach amounts to effectively construct…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2018-04-18 L. L. Salcedo

Formulated is a new systematic method for obtaining higher order corrections in numerical simulation of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), i.e., Langevin equations. Random walk step algorithms within a given order of finite $\Delta…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-10-28 H. Nakajima , S. Furui

We introduce stochastic models for continuous-time evolution of angles and develop their estimation. We focus on studying Langevin diffusions with stationary distributions equal to well-known distributions from directional statistics, since…

The exact estimation of latent variable models with big data is known to be challenging. The latents have to be integrated out numerically, and the dimension of the latent variables increases with the sample size. This paper develops a…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-27 Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Didier Nibbering , Dan Zhu

In this work we propose an adaptive multilevel version of subset simulation to estimate the probability of rare events for complex physical systems. Given a sequence of nested failure domains of increasing size, the rare event probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-13 Daniel Elfverson , Robert Scheichl , Simon Weissmann , F. Alejandro DiazDelaO

Stochastic approximation methods play a central role in maximum likelihood estimation problems involving intractable likelihood functions, such as marginal likelihoods arising in problems with missing or incomplete data, and in parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-02 Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Marcelo Pereyra , Ana F. Vidal

Many rare event transitions involve multiple collective variables (CVs) and the most appropriate combination of CVs is generally unknown a priori. We thus introduce a new method, contour forward flux sampling (cFFS), to study rare events…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-01-14 Ryan S. DeFever , Sapna Sarupria

We propose an adaptive importance sampling scheme for the simulation of rare events when the underlying dynamics is given by a diffusion. The scheme is based on a Gibbs variational principle that is used to determine the optimal (i.e.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Carsten Hartmann , Omar Kebiri , Lara Neureither , Lorenz Richter

The Langevin equation is a common tool to model diffusion at a single-particle level. In non-homogeneous environments, such as aqueous two-phase systems or biological condensates with different diffusion coefficients in different phases,…