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We develop a new probabilistic method for deriving deviation estimates in directed planar polymer and percolation models. The key estimates are for exit points of geodesics as they cross transversal down-right boundaries. These bounds are…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-30 Elnur Emrah , Christopher Janjigian , Timo Seppäläinen

A model-based approach is developed for clustering categorical data with no natural ordering. The proposed method exploits the Hamming distance to define a family of probability mass functions to model the data. The elements of this family…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Raffaele Argiento , Edoardo Filippi-Mazzola , Lucia Paci

Probabilistic graphical models have emerged as a powerful modeling tool for several real-world scenarios where one needs to reason under uncertainty. A graphical model's partition function is a central quantity of interest, and its…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Durgesh Agrawal , Yash Pote , Kuldeep S Meel

This contribution is dedicated to the exploration of exponential operator splitting methods for the time integration of evolution equations. It entails the review of previous achievements as well as the depiction of novel results. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-18 Sergio Blanes , Fernando Casas , Cesareo Gonzalez , Mechthild Thalhammer

We describe a new, surprisingly simple algorithm, that simulates exact sample paths of a class of stochastic differential equations. It involves rejection sampling and, when applicable, returns the location of the path at a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexandros Beskos , Gareth O. Roberts

Research on cluster analysis for categorical data continues to develop, with new clustering algorithms being proposed. However, in this context, the determination of the number of clusters is rarely addressed. In this paper, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-29 Cláudia Silvestre , Margarida G. M. S. Cardoso , Mário A. T. Figueiredo

We calculate exact analytic expressions for the average cluster numbers $\langle k \rangle_{\Lambda_s}$ on infinite-length strips $\Lambda_s$, with various widths, of several different lattices, as functions of the bond occupation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-11 Shu-Chiuan Chang , Robert Shrock

This work outlines an exact combinatorial approach to finite coagulating systems through recursive equations and use of generating function method. In the classic approach the mean-field Smoluchowski coagulation is used. However, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-16 Michał Łepek , Paweł Kukliński , Agata Fronczak , Piotr Fronczak

A maximum likelihood methodology for a general class of models is presented, using an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) approach. The typical target of ABC methods are models with intractable likelihoods, and we combine an ABC-MCMC…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-16 Umberto Picchini , Rachele Anderson

Quantum mechanics for many-body systems may be reduced to the evaluation of integrals in 3N dimensions using Monte-Carlo, providing the Quantum Monte Carlo ab initio methods. Here we limit ourselves to expectation values for trial…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-11-22 John Robert Trail , Ryo Maezono

A new approach to describe comminution processes in general ball mills as a macroscopic canonical ensemble is proposed. Using hamiltonian method, the model is able to take simultaneously into account the internal dynamics from mechanical…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2010-12-14 G. K. Sunnardianto , Muhandis , F. N. Diana , L. T. Handoko

Conformal Prediction (CP) has emerged as a powerful statistical framework for high-stakes classification applications. Instead of predicting a single class, CP generates a prediction set, guaranteed to include the true label with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Ariel Fargion , Lahav Dabah , Tom Tirer

Discrete mixture models are routinely used for density estimation and clustering. While conducting inferences on the cluster-specific parameters, current frequentist and Bayesian methods often encounter problems when clusters are placed too…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-21 Francesca Petralia , Vinayak Rao , David B. Dunson

A practical version of the polynomial canonical formalism is developed for normal mesoscopic systems consisting of N independent electrons. Drastic simplification of calculations is attained by means of proper ordering excited states of the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 N. K. Kuzmenko , V. M. Mikhajlov

We revisit two basic Direct Simulation Monte Carlo Methods to model aggregation kinetics and extend them for aggregation processes with collisional fragmentation (shattering). We test the performance and accuracy of the extended methods and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-27 A. Kalinov , A. I. Osinsky , S. A. Matveev , W. Otieno , N. V. Brilliantov

Classical Principal Component Analysis (PCA) approximates data in terms of projections on a small number of orthogonal vectors. There are simple procedures to efficiently compute various functions of the data from the PCA approximation. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-26 Guihong Wan , Crystal Maung , Haim Schweitzer

We determine the information-theoretic cutoff value on separation of cluster centers for exact recovery of cluster labels in a $K$-component Gaussian mixture model with equal cluster sizes. Moreover, we show that a semidefinite programming…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Xiaohui Chen , Yun Yang

The $k$-means clustering algorithm and its variant, the spherical $k$-means clustering, are among the most important and popular methods in unsupervised learning and pattern detection. In this paper, we explore how the spherical $k$-means…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-28 Anja Janßen , Phyllis Wan

Distribution-free uncertainty estimation for ensemble methods is increasingly desirable due to the widening deployment of multi-modal black-box predictive models. Conformal prediction is one approach that avoids such distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Eduardo Ochoa Rivera , Yash Patel , Ambuj Tewari

In recent years, many Machine Learning (ML) explanation techniques have been designed using ideas from cooperative game theory. These game-theoretic explainers suffer from high complexity, hindering their exact computation in practical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Konstandinos Kotsiopoulos , Alexey Miroshnikov , Khashayar Filom , Arjun Ravi Kannan
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