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We analyze the clustering problem through a flexible probabilistic model that aims to identify an optimal partition on the sample X 1 , ..., X n. We perform exact clustering with high probability using a convex semidefinite estimator that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-19 Martin Royer

Convergence problems in coupled-cluster iterations are discussed, and a new iteration scheme is proposed. Whereas the Jacobi method inverts only the diagonal part of the large matrix of equation coefficients, we invert a matrix which also…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2009-11-06 N. Mosyagin , E. Eliav , U. Kaldor

Large deviations for additive path functionals of stochastic processes have attracted significant research interest, in particular in the context of stochastic particle systems and statistical physics. Efficient numerical `cloning'…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Letizia Angeli , Stefan Grosskinsky , Adam M. Johansen

Current approaches to amortizing Bayesian inference focus solely on approximating the posterior distribution. Typically, this approximation is, in turn, used to calculate expectations for one or more target functions - a computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-19 Adam Goliński , Frank Wood , Tom Rainforth

We present arguments for the formulation of unified approach to different standard continuous inference methods from partial information. It is claimed that an explicit partition of information into a priori (prior knowledge) and a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-07 Mark A. Kon , Leszek Plaskota

Optimal prediction methods compensate for a lack of resolution in the numerical solution of time-dependent differential equations through the use of prior statistical information. We present a new derivation of the basic methodology, show…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 A. J. Chorin , R. Kupferman , D. Levy

This paper introduces a new fixed effects estimator for linear panel data models with clustered time patterns of unobserved heterogeneity. The method avoids non-convex and combinatorial optimization by combining a preliminary consistent…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-21 Martin Mugnier

We address the new problem of estimating a piece-wise constant signal with the purpose of detecting its change points and the levels of clusters. Our approach is to model it as a nonparametric penalized least square model selection on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-04 Othmane Mazhar , Cristian R. Rojas , Carlo Fischione , Mohammad R. Hesamzadeh

The fractional calculus is useful to model non-local phenomena. We construct a method to evaluate the fractional Caputo derivative by means of a simple explicit quadratic segmentary interpolation. This method yields to numerical resolution…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Alberto Ferrari , Manuel Gadella , Luis Lara , Eduardo Santillan Marcus

The computational cost of a Monte Carlo algorithm can only be meaningfully discussed when taking into account the magnitude of the resulting statistical error. Aiming for a fixed error per particle, we study the scaling behavior of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-02-11 Norbert Nemec

Tree ensembles are non-parametric methods widely recognized for their accuracy and ability to capture complex interactions. While these models excel at prediction, they are difficult to interpret and may fail to uncover useful relationships…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Brian Liu , Rahul Mazumder , Peter Radchenko

We establish sharp estimates that adapt the polynomial method to arbitrary varieties. These include a partitioning theorem, estimates on polynomials vanishing on fixed sets and bounds for the number of connected components of real algebraic…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2020-06-15 Miguel N. Walsh

We propose a method to reduce the complexity of Generalized Linear Models in the presence of categorical predictors. The traditional one-hot encoding, where each category is represented by a dummy variable, can be wasteful, difficult to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-20 Emilio Carrizosa , Marcela Galvis Restrepo , Dolores Romero Morales

We introduce a new class of Monte Carlo methods, which we call exact estimation algorithms. Such algorithms provide unbiased estimators for equilibrium expectations associated with real- valued functionals defined on a Markov chain. We…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-16 Peter W. Glynn , Chang-han Rhee

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) using a sequential Monte Carlo method provides a comprehensive platform for parameter estimation, model selection and sensitivity analysis in differential equations. However, this method, like other…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-21 Sanmitra Ghosh , Srinandan Dasmahapatra , Koushik Maharatna

An accurate method to compute enclosures of Abelian integrals is developed. This allows for an accurate description of the phase portraits of planar polynomial systems that are perturbations of Hamiltonian systems. As an example, it is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-09-06 Tomas Johnson , Warwick Tucker

Scaling limits of critical percolation models show major differences between low and high dimensional models. The article discusses the formulation of the continuum limit for the former case. A mathematical framework is proposed for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-09-25 Michael Aizenman

In this paper, we present a novel approach for conformal prediction (CP), in which we aim to identify a set of promising prediction candidates -- in place of a single prediction. This set is guaranteed to contain a correct answer with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Adam Fisch , Tal Schuster , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Expert opinion plays an important role when selecting promising clusters of chemical compounds in the drug discovery process. We propose a method to quantify these qualitative assessments using hierarchical models. However, with the most…

Applications · Statistics 2015-02-04 Elasma Milanzi , Ariel Alonso , Christophe Buyck , Geert Molenberghs , Luc Bijnens

The fractional calculus of variations and fractional optimal control are generalizations of the corresponding classical theories, that allow problem modeling and formulations with arbitrary order derivatives and integrals. Because of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Shakoor Pooseh