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Gaussian Process (GP) models have also become extremely useful for optimization under uncertainty algorithms, especially where the objective functions are costly to compute. Yet, the more classical methods usually adopt strategies that, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Nishant Gadde

We suggest an algorithm for determining the proper delay time and the minimum embedding dimension for Takens' delay-time embedding procedure. This method resorts to the rate of change of the spatial distribution of points on a reconstructed…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Jeong-No Lee , Kwang-Sup Soh

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible, uncertainty-aware framework for modeling complex signals, but scale cubically with data, assume static targets, and are brittle to outliers, limiting their applicability in large-scale problems…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Fernando Llorente , Daniel Waxman , Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Susan E. Minkoff

This paper is devoted to the estimation of the minimal dimension P of the state-space realizations of a high-dimensional time series y, defined as a noisy version (the noise is white and Gaussian) of a useful signal with low rank rational…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-25 Daria Tieplova , Philippe Loubaton

The development of fault-tolerant quantum processors relies on the ability to control noise. A particularly insidious form of noise is temporally correlated or non-Markovian noise. By combining randomized benchmarking with supervised…

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are powerful non-parametric Bayesian models for regression of scalar fields, formulated under the assumption that measurement locations are perfectly known and the corresponding field measurements have Gaussian…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Kyle Volle , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Differentially private stochastic gradient descent (DP-SGD) is the gold standard for training machine learning models with formal differential privacy guarantees. Several recent extensions improve its accuracy by introducing correlated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Nikita P. Kalinin , Ryan McKenna , Rasmus Pagh , Christoph H. Lampert

The ability to characterize the state of dynamic systems has been a pertinent task in the time series analysis community. Traditional measures such as Lyapunov exponents are often times difficult to recover from noisy data, especially if…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-21 Joshua Tempelman , Audun Myers , Jeffrey Scruggs , Firas Khasawneh

Nonlinear time series analysis is an active field of research that studies the structure of complex signals in order to derive information of the process that generated those series, for understanding, modeling and forecasting purposes. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 Lucas Lacasa , Raul Toral

We present a convolutional neural network that is capable of searching for continuous gravitational waves, quasi-monochromatic, persistent signals arising from asymmetrically rotating neutron stars, in $\sim 1$ year of simulated data that…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-07-27 Takahiro S. Yamamoto , Andrew L. Miller , Magdalena Sieniawska , Takahiro Tanaka

This paper presents a new approach to a robust Gaussian process (GP) regression. Most existing approaches replace an outlier-prone Gaussian likelihood with a non-Gaussian likelihood induced from a heavy tail distribution, such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter , Fritz J. Friedersdorf

Financial correlation matrices measure the unsystematic correlations between stocks. Such information is important for risk management. The correlation matrices are known to be ``noise dressed''. We develop a new and alternative method to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Thomas Guhr , Bernd Kaelber

Leveraging autonomous systems in safety-critical scenarios requires verifying their behaviors in the presence of uncertainties and black-box components that influence the system dynamics. In this work, we develop a framework for verifying…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-17 John Skovbekk , Luca Laurenti , Eric Frew , Morteza Lahijanian

Correlation remains to be one of the most widely used statistical tools for assessing the strength of relationships between data series. This paper presents a novel compositional correlation method for detecting linear and nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-09 Fatih Dikbas

In this paper, the problem of estimating the level set of a black-box function from noisy and expensive evaluation queries is considered. A new algorithm for this problem in the Bayesian framework with a Gaussian Process (GP) prior is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Tara Javidi

This paper demonstrates how to recover causal graphs from the score of the data distribution in non-linear additive (Gaussian) noise models. Using score matching algorithms as a building block, we show how to design a new generation of…

This article shortly introduces Gaussian processes (GP) as a new approach for modelling time series in the field of blazar physics. In the second part of the paper, recent results from an application of GP modelling to the multi-wavelength…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2017-03-08 V. Karamanavis

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonly used as models for functions, time series, and spatial fields, but they are computationally infeasible for large datasets. Focusing on the typical setting of modeling data as a GP plus an additive noise…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Joseph Guinness

We propose a method for filling gaps and removing interferences in time series for applications involving continuous monitoring of environmental variables. The approach is non-parametric and based on an iterative pattern-matching between…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-08-11 Gregoire Mariethoz , Niklas Linde , Damien Jougnot , Hassan Rezaee

In this work we introduce a mixture of GPs to address the data association problem, i.e. to label a group of observations according to the sources that generated them. Unlike several previously proposed GP mixtures, the novel mixture has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-08-18 Miguel Lázaro-Gredilla , Steven Van Vaerenbergh , Neil Lawrence