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Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

We propose a new method for automatically detecting monotonic input-output relationships from data using Gaussian Process (GP) models with virtual derivative observations. Our results on synthetic and real datasets show that the proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-19 Eero Siivola , Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

We address the issue of finding an optimal detection method for a discontinuous or intermittent gravitational wave stochastic background. Such a signal might sound something like popcorn popping. We derive an appropriate version of the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2007-05-23 Steve Drasco , Eanna E. Flanagan

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a Bayesian machine learning approach widely used to construct surrogate models for the uncertainty quantification of computer simulation codes in industrial applications. It provides both a mean predictor and an…

Gaussian processes (GPs) are versatile tools that have been successfully employed to solve nonlinear estimation problems in machine learning, but that are rarely used in signal processing. In this tutorial, we present GPs for regression as…

We assume a second-order source separation model where the observed multivariate time series is a linear mixture of latent, temporally uncorrelated time series with some components pure white noise. To avoid the modelling of noise, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-07 Markus Matilainen , Klaus Nordhausen , Joni Virta

We propose an algorithm to impute and forecast a time series by transforming the observed time series into a matrix, utilizing matrix estimation to recover missing values and de-noise observed entries, and performing linear regression to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-29 Anish Agarwal , Muhammad Jehangir Amjad , Devavrat Shah , Dennis Shen

We consider the problem of learning the level set for which a noisy black-box function exceeds a given threshold. To efficiently reconstruct the level set, we investigate Gaussian process (GP) metamodels. Our focus is on strongly stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Xiong Lyu , Mickael Binois , Michael Ludkovski

We present an analytical description of the distribution of diagonal lines in Recurrence Plots (RPs) for white noise and chaotic systems, and find that the latter one is linked to the correlation entropy. Further we identify two scaling…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Thiel , M. C. Romano , J. Kurths

Adding inequality constraints (e.g. boundedness, monotonicity, convexity) into Gaussian processes (GPs) can lead to more realistic stochastic emulators. Due to the truncated Gaussianity of the posterior, its distribution has to be…

Gaussian process (GP) surrogate modeling for large computer experiments is limited by cubic runtimes, especially with data from stochastic simulations with input-dependent noise. A popular workaround to reduce computational complexity…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 D Austin Cole , Robert B Gramacy , Mike Ludkovski

As a non-parametric Bayesian model which produces informative predictive distribution, Gaussian process (GP) has been widely used in various fields, like regression, classification and optimization. The cubic complexity of standard GP…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Haitao Liu , Jianfei Cai , Yew-Soon Ong , Yi Wang

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a class of Kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience and remote sensing applications for parameter retrieval, model inversion, and emulation. They are widely used because they are simple,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-21 J. Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

We present a statistical analysis of a variant of the periodogram method that forms power spectral density estimates by cross-correlating the discrete Fourier transforms of adjacent time windows. The proposed estimator is closely related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Mark Magsino

The oscillations of the human heart rate are inherently complex and non-linear -- they are best described by mathematical chaos, and they present a challenge when applied to the practical domain of cardiovascular health monitoring in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Berken Utku Demirel , Christian Holz

We discuss a robust data analysis method to detect a stochastic background of gravitational waves in the presence of non-Gaussian noise. In contrast to the standard cross-correlation (SCC) statistic frequently used in the stochastic…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Yoshiaki Himemoto , Atsushi Taruya , Hideaki Kudoh , Takashi Hiramatsu

We introduce a method for performing a robust Bayesian analysis of non-Gaussianity present in pulsar timing data, simultaneously with the pulsar timing model, and additional stochastic parameters such as those describing red spin noise and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-09-19 Lindley Lentati , Michael P. Hobson , Paul Alexander

The effect differencing has on the estimated correlation dimension of a nongaussian time series is discussed. Two different methods for generating surrogate data sets are compared. The results suggest that any filtering should be applied to…

comp-gas · Physics 2009-10-22 Dean Prichard

In a recent paper we described a novel approach to the detection and parameter estimation of a non-Gaussian stochastic background of gravitational waves. In this work we propose an improved version of the detection procedure, preserving…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-08-22 Matteo Ballelli , Riccardo Buscicchio , Barbara Patricelli , Anirban Ain , Giancarlo Cella
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