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Species extinction occurs regularly and unavoidably in ecological systems. The time scales for extinction can broadly vary and inform on the ecosystem's stability. We study the spatio-temporal extinction dynamics of a paradigmatic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-03-02 S. Rulands , T. Reichenbach , E. Frey

The idea of a metapopulation has become canonical in ecology. Its original mean field form provides the important intuition that migration and extinction interact to determine the dynamics of a population composed of subpopulations. From…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-01 John Vandermeer , Zachary Hajian-Forooshani

A numerical study of synchronization and extinction is done for a SIRS model with fixed infective and refractory periods, in the regime of high infectivity, on one- and two-dimensional networks for which the connectivity probability decays…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-22 Ezequiel Arceo-May , Cristian Fernando Moukarzel

The spatial scale of population synchrony gives the characteristic distance at which the population fluctuations are correlated. Therefore, it gives also the characteristic size of the regions of simultaneous population depletion, or even…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-22 Miguel Ángel Fernández-Grande , Francisco Javier Cao-Garcia

According to the competitive exclusion principle, in a finite ecosystem, extinction occurs naturally when two or more species compete for the same resources. An important question that arises is: when coexistence is not possible, which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-16 Marcelo Martins de Oliveira , Ronald Dickman

Cyclic dominance between species may yield spiral waves that are known to provide a mechanism enabling persistent species coexistence. This observation holds true even in presence of spatial heterogeneity in the form of quenched disorder.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-05 Ryan Baker , Michel Pleimling

Motivated by modeling the dynamics of a population living in a flowing medium where the environmental factors are random in space, we have studied an asymmetric variant of the one-dimensional contact process, where the quenched random…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-16 Róbert Juhász

When four species compete stochastically in a cyclic way, the formation of two teams of mutually neutral partners is observed. In this paper we study through numerical simulations the extinction processes that can take place in this system…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-14 Ben Intoy , Michel Pleimling

Methods for predicting the probability and timing of a species' extinction are typically based on a combination of theoretical models and empirical data, and focus on single species population dynamics. Of course, species also interact with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-11 Gian Marco Palamara , Gustav W. Delius , Matthew J. Smith , Owen L. Petchey

We study the non-equilibrium phase transition between survival and extinction of spatially extended biological populations using an agent-based model. We especially focus on the effects of global temporal fluctuations of the environmental…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Hatem Barghathi , Skye Tackkett , Thomas Vojta

Stochastic chemical reaction or population dynamics in finite systems often terminates in an absorbing state. Yet in large spatially extended systems, the time to reach species extinction (or fixation) becomes exceedingly long. Tuning…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-17 Kenneth A. V. Distefano , Sara Shabani , Uwe C. Täuber

The statistical properties of an ecosystem composed of species interacting via pairwise, random interactions and deterministic, concentration limiting self-interaction are studied analytically with tools of equilibrium statistical mechanics…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Viviane M. de Oliveira , J. F. Fontanari

The dynamics leading to extinction or coexistence of competing species is of great interest in ecology and related fields. Recently a model of intra- and interspecific competition between two species was proposed by Gabel et al. [Phys. Rev.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-15 Renato Vieira dos Santos , Ronald Dickman

Species extinction is a core process that affects the diversity of life on Earth. Competition between species in a population is considered by ecological niche-based theories as a key factor leading to different severity of species…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Ivan Sudakov , Sergey A. Vakulenko , John T. Bruun

This chapter provides a pedagogical introduction and overview of spatial and temporal correlation and fluctuation effects resulting from the fundamentally stochastic kinetics underlying chemical reactions and the dynamics of populations or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-22 Uwe C. Täuber

We investigate extinction dynamics in the paradigmatic model of two competing species A and B that reproduce (A-->2A, B-->2B), self-regulate by annihilation (2A-->0, 2B-->0), and compete (A+B-->A, A+B-->B). For a finite system that is in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-06 Alan Gabel , Baruch Meerson , S. Redner

Theoretical ecologists have long sought to understand how the persistence of populations depends on biotic and abiotic factors. Classical work showed that demographic stochasticity causes the mean time to extinction to increase…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-06 Otso Ovaskainen , Baruch Meerson

Populations are often subject to catastrophes that cause mass removal of individuals. Many stochastic growth models have been considered to explain such dynamics. Among the results reported, it has been considered whether dispersion…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 F. Duque , V. V. Junior , F. P. Machado , A. Roldan-Correa

Understanding the mechanisms governing population extinctions is of key importance to many problems in ecology and evolution. Stochastic factors are known to play a central role in extinction, but the interactions between a population's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-22 Christopher Spalding , Charles R. Doering , Glenn R. Flierl

A deterministic two-species predator-prey model with prey herd behavior is considered incorporating mutual interference and the effect of fear. We provide guidelines to the dynamical analysis of biologically feasible equilibrium points. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Kwadwo Antwi-Fordjour , Rana D. Parshad , Hannah E. Thompson , Stephanie B. Westaway
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