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Many records in environmental sciences exhibit asymmetric trajectories and there is a need for simple and tractable models which can reproduce such features. In this paper we explore an approach based on applying both a time change and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-09 Pierre Ailliot , Bernard Delyon , Valérie Monbet , Marc Prevosto

This paper is concerned with stability analysis of nonlinear time-varying systems by using Lyapunov function based approach. The classical Lyapunov stability theorems are generalized in the sense that the time-derivative of the Lyapunov…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-08-18 Bin Zhou

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

Classical multiscale analysis based on wavelets has a number of successful applications, e.g. in data compression, fast algorithms, and noise removal. Wavelets, however, are adapted to point singularities, and many phenomena in several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 David L. Donoho

This paper presents a kernelized offset-free data-driven predictive control scheme for nonlinear systems. Traditional model-based and data-driven predictive controllers often struggle with inaccurate predictors or persistent disturbances,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-02 Thomas Oliver de Jong , Mircea Lazar

Real-world non-autonomous systems are open, out-of-equilibrium systems that evolve in and are driven by temporally varying environments. Such systems can show multiple timescale and transient dynamics together with transitions to very…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-12 Klaus Lehnertz

A new framework for adaptive regulation to invariant sets is proposed. Reaching the target dynamics (invariant set) is to be ensured by state feedback while adaptation to parametric uncertainties is provided by additional adaptation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Tyukin , Denis Efimov , Cees van Leeuwen

A new adaptive observer is proposed for a certain class of nonlinear systems with bounded unknown input and parametric uncertainty. Unlike most existing solutions, the proposed approach ensures asymptotic convergence of the unknown…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-21 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

Graph-based models require aggregating information in the graph from neighbourhoods of different sizes. In particular, when the data exhibit varying levels of smoothness on the graph, a multi-scale approach is required to capture the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Felix L. Opolka , Yin-Cong Zhi , Pietro Liò , Xiaowen Dong

This paper develops a Bayesian mechanics for adaptive systems. Firstly, we model the interface between a system and its environment with a Markov blanket. This affords conditions under which states internal to the blanket encode information…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-12-22 Lancelot Da Costa , Karl Friston , Conor Heins , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

In this paper we propose a wavelet-based methodology for estimation and variable selection in partially linear models. The inference is conducted in the wavelet domain, which provides a sparse and localized decomposition appropriate for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-26 Norbert Remenyi

A wavelet-like model for distributions of objects in natural and man-made terrestrial environments is developed. The model is constructed in a self-similar fashion, with the sizes, amplitudes, and numbers of objects occurring at a constant…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-12-20 D. Keith Wilson , Chris L. Pettit , Sergey N. Vecherin

We study the possibility of completing data bases of a sample of governance, diversification and value creation variables by providing a well adapted method to reconstruct the missing parts in order to obtain a complete sample to be applied…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-27 Ines Kahloul , Anouar Ben Mabrouk , Slah-Eddine Hallara

In the present paper, we derive lower bounds for the risk of the nonparametric empirical Bayes estimators. In order to attain the optimal convergence rate, we propose generalization of the linear empirical Bayes estimation method which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-12 Rida Benhaddou , Marianna Pensky

Reconstructing noise-driven nonlinear networks from time series of output variables is a challenging problem, which turns to be very difficult when nonlinearity of dynamics, strong noise impacts and low measurement frequencies jointly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-20 Rundong Shi , Gang Hu , Shihong Wang

Distributed acoustic sensing technology is increasingly being used to support production and well management within the oil and gas sector, for example to improve flow monitoring and production profiling. This sensing technology is capable…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-27 Rebecca E. Wilson , Idris A. Eckley , Matthew A. Nunes , Timothy Park

This paper investigates gradient-based adaptive prediction and control for nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems under a weak convexity condition on the prediction-based loss. This condition accommodates a broad range of nonlinear models…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-13 Yujing Liu , Xin Zheng , Zhixin Liu , Lei Guo

This paper deals with adaptive synchronization of chaos in the presence of time-varying communication-delays. We consider two bidirectionally coupled systems that seek to synchronize through a signal that each system sends to the other one…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-30 Francesco Sorrentino , Pietro De Lellis