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We propose an informal test for stationarity in a time series which checks for the compatibility of nonlinear approximations to the dynamics made in different segments of the sequence. The segments are compared directly, rather than via…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber

In this paper we present the applications of methods from wavelet analysis to polynomial approximations for a number of accelerator physics problems. In the general case we have the solution as a multiresolution expansion in the base of…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 Antonina N. Fedorova , Michael G. Zeitlin

A method based on wavelet transform and genetic programming is proposed for characterizing and modeling variations at multiple scales in non-stationary time series. The cyclic variations, extracted by wavelets and smoothened by cubic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Dilip P. Ahalpara , Amit Verma , Prasanta K. Panigrahi , Jitendra C. Parikh

Within the neurosciences, to observe variability across time in the dynamics of an underlying brain process is neither new nor unexpected. Wavelets are essential in analyzing brain signals because, even within a single trial, brain signals…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Jonathan Embleton , Marina I. Knight , Hernando Ombao

We consider the problem of fitting a parametric model to time-series data that are afflicted by correlated noise. The noise is represented by a sum of two stationary Gaussian processes: one that is uncorrelated in time, and another that has…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Joshua A. Carter , Joshua N. Winn

We study the problem of modeling a non-linear dynamical system when given a time series by deriving equations directly from the data. Despite the fact that time series data are given as input, models for dynamics and estimation algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Ren Fujiwara , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

We propose a method for adaptive nonlinear sequential modeling of vector-time series data. Data is modeled as a nonlinear function of past values corrupted by noise, and the underlying non-linear function is assumed to be approximately…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Qiuyi Han , Jie Ding , Edoardo Airoldi , Vahid Tarokh

We present a method for time series analysis of both, scalar and nonscalar time-delay systems. If the dynamics of the system investigated is governed by a time-delay induced instability, the method allows to determine the delay time. In a…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 M. J. Bünner , Th. Meyer , A. Kittel , J. Parisi

In this paper we present applications of methods from wavelet analysis to polynomial approximations for a number of accelerator physics problems. According to variational approach in the general case we have the solution as a…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 Antonina N. Fedorova , Michael G. Zeitlin , Zohreh Parsa

We present the applications of variational--wavelet approach for the analytical/numerical treatment of the effects of insertion devices on beam dynamics. We investigate the dynamical models which have polynomial nonlinearities and variable…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Antonina N. Fedorova , Michael G. Zeitlin

We present a method that models the evolution of an unbounded number of time series clusters by switching among an unknown number of regimes with linear dynamics. We develop a Bayesian non-parametric approach using a hierarchical Dirichlet…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Adrián Pérez-Herrero , Paulo Félix , Jesús Presedo , Carl Henrik Ek

An analytical method for investigation of the evolution of dynamical systems {\it with independent on time accuracy} is developed for perturbed Hamiltonian systems. The error-free estimation using of computer algebra enables the application…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-12-13 A. V. Gurzadyan , A. A. Kocharyan

We study partial analyticity of solutions to elliptic systems and analyticity of level sets of solutions to nonlinear elliptic systems. We consider several applications, including analyticity of flow lines for bounded stationary solutions…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-06-23 Herbert Koch , Nikolai Nadirashvili

We present a method for the joint analysis of a panel of possibly nonstationary time series. The approach is Bayesian and uses a covariate-dependent infinite mixture model to incorporate multiple time series, with mixture components…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-05 Michael Bertolacci , Ori Rosen , Edward Cripps , Sally Cripps

This article introduces the class of continuous time locally stationary wavelet processes. Continuous time models enable us to properly provide scale-based time series models for irregularly-spaced observations for the first time, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Henry Antonio Palasciano , Marina I. Knight , Guy P. Nason

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

An extremely challenging problem of significant interest is to predict catastrophes in advance of their occurrences. We present a general approach to predicting catastrophes in nonlinear dynamical systems under the assumption that the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-28 Wen-Xu Wang , Rui Yang , Ying-Cheng Lai , Vassilios Kovanis , Celso Grebogi

In this paper we propose a new adaptive wavelet denoising methodology using complex wavelets. The method is based on a fully Bayesian hierarchical model in the complex wavelet domain that uses a bivariate mixture prior on the wavelet…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-08 Norbert Reményi , Brani Vidakovic

This article combines wavelet analysis techniques with machine learning methods for univariate time series forecasting, focusing on three main contributions. Firstly, we consider the use of Daubechies wavelets with different numbers of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-14 Guy P Nason , James L. Wei