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This paper introduces an algorithm-agnostic approach to feature-based time series clustering via amortized neural inference. By training neural networks to approximate the optimal partitioning rule from simulated data, the proposed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ángel López-Oriona , Ying Sun

This position paper argues that next-generation non-equilibrium-inspired generative models will provide the essential foundation for better modeling real-world complex dynamical systems. While many classical generative algorithms draw…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Jiazhen Liu , Ruikun Li , Huandong Wang , Zihan Yu , Chang Liu , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

This paper captures irregularities in financial time series data, particularly stock prices, in the presence of COVID-19 shock. We conjectured that jumps and irregularities are embedded in stock data due to the pandemic shock, which brings…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Leonard Mushunje , David Allen , Shelton Peiris

We study the modeling and prediction of dynamical systems based on conventional models derived from measurements. Such algorithms are highly desirable in situations where the underlying dynamics are hard to model from physical principles or…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-08-03 Markus Quade , Markus Abel , Kamran Shafi , Robert K. Niven , Bernd R. Noack

In this article, we employ a collection of stochastic differential equations with drift and diffusion coefficients approximated by neural networks to predict the trend of chaotic time series which has big jump properties. Our contributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Luxuan Yang , Ting Gao , Yubin Lu , Jinqiao Duan , Tao Liu

In this paper we propose a scalable version of a state-of-the-art deterministic time-invariant feature extraction approach based on consecutive changes of basis and nonlinearities, namely, the scattering network. The first focus of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-20 Randall Balestriero , Herve Glotin

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

Despite its practical significance, generating realistic synthetic financial time series is challenging due to statistical properties known as stylized facts, such as fat tails, volatility clustering, and seasonality patterns. Various…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-25 Tomonori Takahashi , Takayuki Mizuno

Evolutionary symbolic regression approaches are powerful tools that can approximate an explicit mapping between input features and observation for various problems. However, ensuring that explored expressions maintain consistency with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Maximilian Reissmann , Yuan Fang , Andrew Ooi , Richard Sandberg

In this paper, we apply genetic algorithms to the field of electoral studies. Forecasting election results is one of the most exciting and demanding tasks in the area of market research, especially due to the fact that decisions have to be…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-01-21 Ronald Hochreiter , Christoph Waldhauser

In this paper, we propose a machine learning algorithm for time-inconsistent portfolio optimization. The proposed algorithm builds upon neural network based trading schemes, in which the asset allocation at each time point is determined by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Kristoffer Andersson , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

Much of modern practice in financial forecasting relies on technicals, an umbrella term for several heuristics applying visual pattern recognition to price charts. Despite its ubiquity in financial media, the reliability of its signals…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-12 Sid Ghoshal , Stephen J. Roberts

The application of deep learning techniques for predicting stock market prices is a prominent and widely researched topic in the field of data science. To effectively predict market trends, it is essential to utilize a diversified dataset.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-18 Yuhui Jin

The Gaussian Process with a deep kernel is an extension of the classic GP regression model and this extended model usually constructs a new kernel function by deploying deep learning techniques like long short-term memory networks. A…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-27 Yong Shi , Wei Dai , Wen Long , Bo Li

Spatially resolved genetic data is increasingly used to reconstruct the migrational history of species. To assist such inference, we study, by means of simulations and analytical methods, the dynamics of neutral gene frequencies in a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-15 Oskar Hallatschek , David R. Nelson

The intricate nature of time series data analysis benefits greatly from the distinct advantages offered by time and frequency domain representations. While the time domain is superior in representing local dependencies, particularly in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Hengyu Ye , Jiadong Chen , Shijin Gong , Fuxin Jiang , Tieying Zhang , Jianjun Chen , Xiaofeng Gao

We study a class of growth algorithms for directed graphs that are candidate models for the evolution of genetic regulatory networks. The algorithms involve partial duplication of nodes and their links, together with innovation of new…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 D. V. Foster , S. A. Kauffman , J. E. S. Socolar

We study a genetic regulatory network model developed to demonstrate that genetic robustness can evolve through stabilizing selection for optimal phenotypes. We report preliminary results on whether such selection could result in a…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2010-12-07 Volkan Sevim , Per Arne Rikvold

The era of information explosion had prompted the accumulation of a tremendous amount of time-series data, including stationary and non-stationary time-series data. State-of-the-art algorithms have achieved a decent performance in dealing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Xipei Wang , Haoyu Zhang , Yuanbo Zhang , Meng Wang , Jiarui Song , Tin Lai , Matloob Khushi

Finding repeated patterns or motifs in a time series is an important unsupervised task that has still a number of open issues, starting by the definition of motif. In this paper, we revise the notion of motif support, characterizing it as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Joan Serrà , Aleksandar Matic , Josep Luis Arcos , Alexandros Karatzoglou
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