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Our understanding of a variety of phenomena in physics, biology and economics crucially depends on the analysis of multivariate time series. While a wide range of tools and techniques for time series analysis already exist, the increasing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-27 Lucas Lacasa , Vincenzo Nicosia , Vito Latora

While the disciplines of physics and engineering sciences in many cases have taken advantage from accurate time-series prediction of system behaviour by applying ordinary differential equation systems upon precise basic physical laws such…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-18 Christoph Jahnz

The problem of state reconstruction is considered for uncertain linear time-invariant systems with overparameterization, arbitrary state-space matrices and unknown additive perturbation described by an exosystem. A novel adaptive observer…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-14 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

We contribute to the method of trigonometric series for solving differential equations of certain non linear oscillators. Key Words: series power solution, trigonometric series.

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Raouf Chouikha

We propose a novel method applied to extrasolar planetary dynamics to describe the system stability. The observations in this field serve the measurements mainly of radial velocity, transit time, and/or celestial position. These scalar time…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Tamas Kovacs

Reconstructing noise-driven nonlinear networks from time series of output variables is a challenging problem, which turns to be very difficult when nonlinearity of dynamics, strong noise impacts and low measurement frequencies jointly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-20 Rundong Shi , Gang Hu , Shihong Wang

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

Delay embedding---a method for reconstructing dynamical systems by delay coordinates---is widely used to forecast nonlinear time series as a model-free approach. When multivariate time series are observed, several existing frameworks can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-04 Shunya Okuno , Kazuyuki Aihara , Yoshito Hirata

Analyzing data from paleoclimate archives such as tree rings or lake sediments offers the opportunity of inferring information on past climate variability. Often, such data sets are univariate and a proper reconstruction of the system's…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-29 Jaqueline Lekscha , Reik V. Donner

We apply a recently proposed method for the analysis of time series from systems with delayed feedback to experimental data generated by a CO_2 laser. The method is able to estimate the delay time with an error of the order of the sampling…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 M. J. Bünner , M. Ciofini , A. Giaquinta , R. Hegger , H. Kantz , R. Meucci , A. Politi

When employing non-linear methods to characterise complex systems, it is important to determine to what extent they are capturing genuine non-linear phenomena that could not be assessed by simpler spectral methods. Specifically, we are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-22 Pedro A. M. Mediano , Fernando E. Rosas , Adam B. Barrett , Daniel Bor

The literature is rich with studies, analyses, and examples on parameter estimation for describing the evolution of chaotic dynamical systems based on measurements, even when only partial information is available through observations.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-07 Michele Baia , Tommaso Matteuzzi , Franco Bagnoli

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

Analyzing data from dynamical systems often begins with creating a reconstruction of the trajectory based on one or more variables, but not all variables are suitable for reconstructing the trajectory. The concept of nonlinear observability…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-25 Thomas L. Carroll

We present a quantum algorithm based on repeated measurement to solve initial-value problems for nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), which may be generated from partial differential equations in plasma physics. We map a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-30 Joseph Andress , Alexander Engel , Yuan Shi , Scott Parker

In the nonlinear prediction of scalar time series, the common practice is to reconstruct the state space using time-delay embedding and apply a local model on neighborhoods of the reconstructed space. The method of false nearest neighbors…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-09-15 I. Vlachos , D. Kugiumtzis

In various scientific and engineering fields, the primary research areas have revolved around physics-based dynamical systems modeling and data-driven time series analysis. According to the embedding theory, dynamical systems and time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Jiaxi Hu , Bowen Zhang , Qingsong Wen , Fugee Tsung , Yuxuan Liang

A method for detecting possible non-deterministic dynamics underlying a time series is introduced. Non-deterministic dynamics may arise due to the failure of the Lipschitz condition in the equations of motion. At a singular point, the phase…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 D. D. Dixon , M. Zak , J. P. Zbilut

Reconstructing the equation of motion and thus the network topology of a system from time series is a very important problem. Although many powerful methods have been developed, it remains a great challenge to deal with systems in high…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-08-16 Zishuo Yan , Lili Gui , Kun Xu , Yueheng Lan

We present a novel reformulation of nonsmooth differential equations with state jumps which enables their easier simulation and use in optimal control problems without the need of using integer variables. The main idea is to introduce an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Armin Nurkanović , Tommaso Sartor , Sebastian Albrecht , Moritz Diehl
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