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Differential equations based on physical principals are used to represent complex dynamic systems in all fields of science and engineering. Through repeated use in both academics and industry, these equations have been shown to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-08 Joshua S. North , Christopher K. Wikle , Erin M. Schliep

We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Ibrahim Ayed , Emmanuel de Bézenac , Arthur Pajot , Julien Brajard , Patrick Gallinari

Time series prediction covers a vast field of every-day statistical applications in medical, environmental and economic domains. In this paper we develop nonparametric prediction strategies based on the combination of a set of 'experts' and…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-01-03 Gérard Biau , Kevin Bleakley , László Györfi , György Ottucsák

We introduce a simple method to estimate the system parameters in continuous dynamical systems from the time series. In this method, we construct a modified system by introducing some constants (controlling constants) into the given…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 P. Palaniyandi , M. Lakshmanan

We consider reduction of dimension for nonlinear dynamical systems. We demonstrate that in some cases, one can reduce a nonlinear system of equations into a single equation for one of the state variables, and this can be useful for…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-08-25 Heather A. Harrington , Robert A. Van Gorder

We present new approaches for solving constrained multicomponent nonlinear Schr\"odinger equations in arbitrary dimensions. The idea is to introduce an artificial time and solve an extended damped second order dynamic system whose…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-06-16 M Gulliksson , M Ogren

A scheme is developed for estimating state-dependent drift and diffusion coefficients in a stochastic differential equation from time-series data. The scheme does not require to specify parametric forms for the drift and diffusion…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-09-28 Jun Ohkubo

We propose a reconstruction of the initial system of ordinary differential equations from a single observed variable. The suggested approach is applied to a certain class of systems which includes, in particular, the Rossler system and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-02-12 V. Gorodetskyi , M. Osadchuk

Equations governing the nonlinear dynamics of complex systems are usually unknown and indirect methods are used to reconstruct their manifolds. In turn, they depend on embedding parameters requiring other methods and long temporal sequences…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-06-24 Valeria d'Andrea , Manlio De Domenico

The problem of reconstructing nonlinear and complex dynamical systems from measured data or time series is central to many scientific disciplines including physical, biological, computer, and social sciences, as well as engineering and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-05-01 Wenxu Wang , Ying-Cheng Lai , Celso Grebogi

In this paper it is reconsidered the prediction problem in time series framework by using a new non-parametric approach. Through this reconsideration, the prediction is obtained by a weighted sum of past observed data. These weights are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-27 Pedro Cadahía , Jose Manuel Bravo Caro

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

Linear projection schemes like Proper Orthogonal Decomposition can efficiently reduce the dimensions of dynamical systems but are naturally limited, e.g., for convection-dominated problems. Nonlinear approaches have shown to outperform…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-03 Peter Benner , Pawan Goyal , Jan Heiland , Igor Pontes

We propose a computational method to obtain series expansions in powers of time for general dynamical systems described by a set of hierarchical rate equations. The method is generally applicable to problems in both equilibrium and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Chee Kwan Gan , Jian-Sheng Wang

The determination of a differential equation underlying a measured time series is a frequently arising task in nonlinear time series analysis. In the validation of a proposed model one often faces the dilemma that it is hard to decide…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 J. Timmer , H. Rust , W. Horbelt , H. U. Voss

This study evaluates data-driven models from a dynamical system perspective, such as unstable fixed points, periodic orbits, chaotic saddle, Lyapunov exponents, manifold structures, and statistical values. We find that these dynamical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-10 Miki U Kobayashi , Kengo Nakai , Yoshitaka Saiki , Natsuki Tsutsumi

We present a data-driven method for separating complex, multiscale systems into their constituent time-scale components using a recursive implementation of dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). Local linear models are built from windowed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Daniel Dylewsky , Molei Tao , J. Nathan Kutz

Dynamical Ensemble Equivalence between hydrodynamic dissipative equations and suitable time-reversible dynamical systems has been investigated in a class of dynamical systems for turbulence. The reversible dynamics is obtained from the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-30 L. Biferale , D. Pierotti , A. Vulpiani

We develop a methodology to learn finitely generated random iterated function systems from time-series of partial observations using delay embeddings. We obtain a minimal model representation for the observed dynamics, using a hidden…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-20 Emilia Gibson , Jeroen S. W. Lamb