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In the past years, a remarkable mapping has been found between the dynamics of a population of M individuals undergoing random mutations and selection, and that of a single system in contact with a thermal bath with temperature 1/M. This…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-28 Tommaso Brotto , Guy Bunin , Jorge Kurchan

We study the emergency of mutual cooperation in evolutionary prisoner's dilemma games when the players are located on a square lattice. The players can choose one of the three strategies: cooperation (C), defection (D) or "tit for tat" (T),…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Gyorgy Szabo , Tibor Antal , Peter Szabo , Michel Droz

We consider a stochastic individual-based model of adaptive dynamics for an asexually reproducing population with mutation, with linear birth and death rates, as well as a density-dependent competition. To depict repeating changes of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-28 Manuel Esser , Anna Kraut

Epidemic models study the spread of an undesired agent through a population, be it infectious diseases through a country, misinformation in online social media, or pests infesting a region. In combating these epidemics, we rely neither on…

The environment undergoes perpetual changes that are influenced by a combination of endogenous and exogenous factors. Consequently, it exerts a substantial influence on an individual's physical and psychological state, directly or…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-11 Yuji Zhang , Minyu Feng , Jürgen Kurths , Attila Szolnoki

We study the effect of random perturbations in the Human and Nature Dynamics (HANDY) model. HANDY models the interactions between human population, depletion, and consumption of natural resources. HANDY explains how endogenous human--nature…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-23 Loic Patry , Pierre Morel , Egle Tomasi-Gustafsson , Eugenia Kalnay , Jorge Rivas , Safa Mote

We study the dynamics of the transmission of the hanta virus infection among mouse populations, taking into account, simultaneously, seasonal variations of the environment and interactions within two classes in the mouse population: adults…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2008-09-26 M. N. Kuperman , V. M. Kenkre

The intensification and increased frequency of weather extremes is emerging as one of the most important aspects of climate change. We use Monte Carlo simulation to understand and predict the consequences of variations in trends (i.e.,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-08-26 Simone Vincenzi , Michele Bellingeri

Variability on external conditions has important consequences for the dynamics and the organization of biological systems. In many cases, the characteristic timescale of environmental changes as well as their correlations play a fundamental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-03 Tommaso Spanio , Jorge Hidalgo , Miguel A. Muñoz

Climate-mediated changes in the spatiotemporal distribution of thermal stress can destabilize animal populations and promote extinction risk. Using quantile, spectral, and wavelet analyses of temperature projections from the latest…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-22 Kate Duffy , Tarik C. Gouhier , Auroop R. Ganguly

We develop a theory of generalist predation showing how alternative prey species are affected by changes in both mean abundance and variability (coefficient of variation) of their predator's primary prey. The theory is motivated by the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-05-13 Frederic Barraquand , Leslie F. New , Stephen Redpath , Jason Matthiopoulos

Human travelling behaviours are markedly regular, to a large extent, predictable, and mostly driven by biological necessities (\eg sleeping, eating) and social constructs (\eg school schedules, synchronisation of labour). Not surprisingly,…

In the past decades human activities caused global Earth system changes, e.g., climate change or biodiversity loss. Simultaneously, these associated impacts have increased environmental awareness within societies across the globe, thereby…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-11 Paul Manuel Müller , Jobst Heitzig , Jürgen Kurths , Kathy Lüdge , Marc Wiedermann

One essential ingredient of evolutionary theory is the concept of fitness as a measure for a species' success in its living conditions. Here, we quantify the effect of environmental fluctuations onto fitness by analytical calculations on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-19 Anna Melbinger , Massimo Vergassola

We propose a general model to study the interplay between spatial dispersal and environment spatiotemporal fluctuations in metapopulation dynamics. An ecological landscape of favorable patches is generated like a L\'{e}vy dust, which allows…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-20 E. H. Colombo , C. Anteneodo

We investigate large-scale effects induced by external fields, phenomenologically interpreted as mass media, in multiagent models evolving with the microscopic dynamics of the binary naming game. In particular, we show that a single…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-19 Filippo Palombi , Stefano Ferriani , Simona Toti

In this investigation we study the effects of climate change on predator-prey population dynamics. The interaction of predator and prey is described by the Variable Territory (VT) model with Allee effects in an Ordinary Differential…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-31 Sylvain Gretchko , Jessa Marley , Rebecca C. Tyson

We study effects of strategy-dependent time delays on equilibria of evolving populations. It is well known that time delays may cause oscillations in dynamical systems. Here we report a novel behavior. We show that microscopic models of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-13 Jacek Miȩkisz , Marek Bodnar

Environmental stochasticity is known to be a destabilizing factor, increasing abundance fluctuations and extinction rates of populations. However, the stability of a community may benefit from the differential response of species to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-10 Matan Danino , Nadav M. Shnerb , Sandro Azaele , William E. Kunin , David A. Kessler

Understanding if and how mutants reach fixation in populations is an important question in evolutionary biology. We study the impact of population growth has on the success of mutants. To systematically understand the effects of growth we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-29 Peter Ashcroft , Cassandra E. R. Smith , Matthew Garrod , Tobias Galla